Tiszakecske FC vs Ajka• NB II, Hungary

#32.8:1.615:00Today1.0:0.8#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.07DAFX3.50BFR23.50B365Margin at best5.5%Books9Markets43Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 10:20 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.07	3.40	3.30	8.0%
Betano	1.98	3.35	3.50	8.9%
Pinnacle	1.93	3.48	3.35	10.4%
1xBet	1.97	3.32	3.32	11.0%
Betfair	1.91	3.50	3.30	11.2%
Bet365	1.90	3.30	3.50	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.95	3.32	3.24	12.3%
William Hill	2.00	3.10	3.20	13.5%
BetVictor	1.80	3.10	3.13	19.8%
Best of all books	2.07	3.50	3.50	5.5%
Average	1.95	3.32	3.32	11.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Tiszakecske FCAjka

Last 10#3Table position#42.00Points per game2.0010Form pts · last 572.8Goals for · last 51.01.6Goals against · last 50.874Attack rating2633Defence rating6752Form rating4860H2H rating4057Goals model4356Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:12 UTC

Tiszakecske FC

4W 4D 2L · goals 21:17 · per match 2.1 for, 1.7 against

20 Sep	A	Soroksar	3-3	D
12 Sep	A	Pécsi MFC	2-3	L
5 Sep	H	Szentlőrinc SE	2-0	W
29 Aug	A	Nagykanizsai ULE	2-1	W
22 Aug	H	Diosgyori VTK	4-1	W
16 Aug	A	Karcag SE	3-3	D
8 Aug	H	Mezokovesd-zsory	1-0	W
1 Aug	A	Kecskeméti TE	1-1	D
25 Jul	H	Szeged 2011	1-1	D
1 Jul	H	Zbrojovka Brno	2-4	L

Ajka

4W 3D 3L · goals 13:14 · per match 1.3 for, 1.4 against

2 Oct	A	Komárno	2-4	L
19 Sep	H	Csakvar	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	BVSC	2-2	D
5 Sep	H	Soroksar	0-3	L
30 Aug	A	Szentlőrinc SE	1-0	W
22 Aug	H	Nagykanizsai ULE	2-0	W
15 Aug	A	Diosgyori VTK	1-1	D
8 Aug	H	Karcag SE	1-1	D
25 Jul	H	Kecskeméti TE	3-1	W
18 Jul	H	Csakvar	0-2	L

Head to head

6Tiszakecske FC wins

1draws

5Ajka wins

12 meetings · goals 19:18 · last 10: 5W 1D 4L for Tiszakecske FC

11 Apr 2026NB II	NB II	Ajka1-4Tiszakecske FC
29 Oct 2025Magyar Kupa	Magyar Kupa	Ajka2-1Tiszakecske FC
19 Oct 2025NB II	NB II	Tiszakecske FC2-1Ajka
5 May 2024NB II	NB II	Tiszakecske FC2-1Ajka
5 Nov 2023NB II	NB II	Ajka1-0Tiszakecske FC
1 Nov 2023Magyar Kupa	Magyar Kupa	Tiszakecske FC1-0Ajka
9 Apr 2023NB II	NB II	Tiszakecske FC1-3Ajka
9 Oct 2022NB II	NB II	Ajka1-1Tiszakecske FC
6 Apr 2022NB II	NB II	Tiszakecske FC4-1Ajka
17 Oct 2021NB II	NB II	Ajka5-1Tiszakecske FC

NB II tableNB IIupdated 10 Oct 12:52 UTC

In the NB II table, Tiszakecske FC sit 3rd with 16 points from 8 games, while Ajka are 4th with 14 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Soroksar	8	6	2	0	23:7	+16	20
2	Kecskeméti TE	8	5	2	1	15:8	+7	17
3	Tiszakecske FC	8	4	4	0	17:10	+7	16
4	Ajka	7	4	2	1	9:6	+3	14
5	Kazincbarcikai	8	3	4	1	13:11	+2	13
6	Gyirmot SE	8	4	1	3	13:14	-1	13
7	Mezokovesd-zsory	7	4	0	3	11:8	+3	12
8	Karcag SE	8	2	5	1	13:11	+2	11
9	Szentlőrinc SE	7	3	1	3	8:9	-1	10
10	Fehérvár FC	8	3	0	5	11:11	0	9
11	Nagykanizsai ULE	8	3	0	5	7:10	-3	9
12	Diosgyori VTK	7	2	1	4	8:15	-7	7
13	Szeged 2011	7	1	3	3	6:8	-2	6
14	BVSC	7	1	1	5	4:9	-5	4
15	Kozarmisleny FC	8	1	1	6	6:16	-10	4
16	Csakvar	8	1	1	6	8:19	-11	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg146%1.95X27%3.31227%3.32

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.02 → 1.95 -3.5%X3.26 → 3.31 +1.5%23.26 → 3.32 +1.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.78	1.99	6.4%
Betano	1.82	1.88	8.1%
1xBet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
BetVictor	1.63	1.70	20.2%
Best of all books	1.85	1.99	4.3%
Average	1.79	1.87	9.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.68	2.02	9.0%
Betano	1.67	2.02	9.4%
William Hill	1.65	2.05	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.68	1.99	9.8%
BetVictor	1.53	1.83	20.0%
Best of all books	1.68	2.05	8.3%
Average	1.64	1.98	11.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tiszakecske FC 45%Draw 45%Ajka 10%

The statistical model rates Tiszakecske FC at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Ajka at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.95 | 3.31 | 3.32, which imply roughly 51.3% for a Tiszakecske FC win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the NB II table: Tiszakecske FC are 3rd (16 pts, 17-10 goals), Ajka 4th (14 pts, 9-6).

Over their last five matches, Tiszakecske FC averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Ajka averaged 1 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Tiszakecske FC or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.95	3.32	3.32

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.25	1.73	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.41	2.43

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.64	1.98

1st half

1	X	2
2.51	2.13	3.80

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.69	9.55	2.36

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	7.48
1.5	1.23	3.20
2.5	1.79	1.87
3.5	2.84	1.30
4.5	4.95	1.09
5.5	11.0	1.04

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.60
1	1.02	8.00
1.25	1.13	4.60
1.75	1.29	3.07
2	1.36	2.59
2.25	1.56	2.11
2.75	1.94	1.65
3	2.28	1.47
3.25	2.68	1.38
3.75	3.58	1.21
4	4.85	1.11
4.25	5.20	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.68	1.34
-0.75	2.16	1.53
-0.5	1.89	1.76
-0.25	1.69	1.96
0	1.43	2.40
+0.25	1.33	2.70

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.30	1.03
-2	6.55	1.05
-1.75	4.55	1.13
-1.5	3.58	1.21
-1.25	3.16	1.28
+0.75	1.17	3.98
+1	1.07	5.95
+1.25	1.05	6.40
+1.5	1.04	6.80
+1.75	1.01	8.90