Marek12th7 pts
Nesebar5th10 pts
Marek12th7 pts
Nesebar5th10 ptsIn the Second League table, Marek sit 12th with 7 points from 6 games, while Nesebar are 5th with 10 points from 6 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Marek at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Nesebar at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.62 | 3.46 | 4.94, which imply roughly 61.7% for a Marek win versus the model's 35%.
Form context from the Second League table: Marek are 12th (7 pts, 6-6 goals), Nesebar 5th (10 pts, 13-9).
Over their last five matches, Marek averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Nesebar averaged 2.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Marek or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Marek vs Nesebar — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Fratria | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
| 2 |  Vihren | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 3 |  Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 4 |  CSKA Sofia II | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 |  Nesebar | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 |  Montana | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Beroe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 |  Yantra 2019 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 |  Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Hebar 1918 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 11 |  Ludogorets II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Marek | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Spartak Pleven | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 14 |  Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 15 |  Rilski Sportist | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Sportist Svoge | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 17 |  Dobrudzha | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 18 |  Pirin Blagoevgrad | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.60
X
3.49
2
4.97
Double chance
1X
1.12
X2
2.12
12
1.22
Both teams to score
Yes
1.98
No
1.72
Match goals
Over 2.5
2.01
Under 2.5
1.71
Over 1.5
1.28
Under 1.5
3.22
Over 3.5
3.52
Under 3.5
1.24
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
9.00
Over 4.5
7.50
Under 4.5
1.06
Over 5.5
13.00
Under 5.5
1.01
Over 2.25
1.78
Under 2.25
1.89
Draw no bet
1
1.21
2
3.78
Asian handicap
Away 1.5
1.38
1st half
1
2.19
X
2.13
2
5.32
First team to score
Home
1.57
No Goal
8.00
Away
2.88