Real Murcia vs Zaragoza• Primera División RFEF - Group 2, Spain

#21.0:1.216:1518/10 · Estadio Enrique Roca, Murcia3.0:1.6#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.61PINX3.28PIN22.50B365Margin at best8.8%Books5Markets48Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 12:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.61	3.28	2.48	9.1%
Bet365	2.55	3.20	2.50	10.5%
1xBet	2.60	3.15	2.40	11.9%
Marathonbet	2.60	3.15	2.40	11.9%
William Hill	2.60	3.00	2.40	13.5%
Best of all books	2.61	3.28	2.50	8.8%
Average	2.59	3.16	2.44	11.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Real MurciaZaragoza

Last 10#2Table position#12.14Points per game2.299Form pts · last 5131.0Goals for · last 53.01.2Goals against · last 51.625Attack rating7557Defence rating4341Form rating590H2H rating10084Goals model1652Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 10:01 UTC

Real Murcia

7W 0D 3L · goals 18:12 · per match 1.8 for, 1.2 against

11 Oct	A	Rayo Majadahonda	1-0	W
7 Oct	A	FC Cartagena	0-1	L
4 Oct	H	Gimnastic	2-0	W
30 Sep	A	Navalcarnero	1-3	L
19 Sep	H	Europa Fc	2-1	W
16 Sep	A	Orihuela	4-1	W
13 Sep	A	Atlético Madrid II	0-4	L
9 Sep	A	Mensajero	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Teruel	4-0	W
29 Aug	A	Hércules	2-1	W

Zaragoza

7W 1D 2L · goals 22:13 · per match 2.2 for, 1.3 against

11 Oct	A	Atlético Madrid II	4-4	D
4 Oct	H	Teruel	4-1	W
25 Sep	A	Ibiza	2-0	W
20 Sep	H	FC Cartagena	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	Juventud Torremolinos	4-3	W
5 Sep	H	Antequera	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	Gimnastic	0-2	L
22 Aug	A	Numancia	1-2	L
21 Aug	H	Athletic Club	3-1	W
15 Aug	A	Villarreal II	2-0	W

Head to head

0Real Murcia wins

0draws

1Zaragoza wins

1 meeting · goals 0:1 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Real Murcia

25 Jul 2023Friendlies Clubs

Friendlies Clubs

Zaragoza1-0Real Murcia

Primera División RFEF - Group 2 tableSegunda B: Group 2updated 16 Oct 15:02 UTC

In the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 table, Real Murcia sit 2nd with 15 points from 7 games, while Zaragoza are 1st with 16 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Zaragoza	7	5	1	1	16:10	+6	16
2	Real Murcia	7	5	0	2	11:7	+4	15
3	Villarreal II	7	4	2	1	15:9	+6	14
4	Hércules	7	4	1	2	6:5	+1	13
5	Alcorcon	7	3	3	1	13:5	+8	12
6	FC Cartagena	7	3	3	1	10:5	+5	12
7	Real Jaén	7	3	3	1	11:8	+3	12
8	Antequera	7	2	4	1	11:9	+2	10
9	Huesca	7	2	4	1	9:9	0	10
10	Ibiza	7	3	1	3	9:9	0	10
11	Atlético Madrid II	7	2	3	2	15:12	+3	9
12	Real Madrid II	7	2	3	2	8:7	+1	9
13	Sant Andreu	7	2	2	3	7:8	-1	8
14	Gimnastic	7	2	2	3	9:11	-2	8
15	Algeciras	7	2	1	4	9:13	-4	7
16	Europa Fc	7	2	1	4	6:11	-5	7
17	Águilas	7	1	3	3	7:12	-5	6
18	Teruel	7	1	2	4	3:12	-9	5
19	Rayo Majadahonda	7	1	1	5	5:8	-3	4
20	Juventud Torremolinos	7	0	2	5	8:18	-10	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.59X28%3.16237%2.44

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.65 → 2.59 -2.3%X3.26 → 3.16 -3.1%22.41 → 2.44 +1.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Pinnacle	1.79	2.01	5.6%
1xBet	1.77	1.90	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.77	1.90	9.1%
Best of all books	1.80	2.01	5.3%
Average	1.78	1.95	7.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
1xBet	1.61	2.16	8.4%
William Hill	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.12	9.3%
Best of all books	1.67	2.20	5.3%
Average	1.62	2.15	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Real Murcia 10%Draw 45%Zaragoza 45%

The statistical model rates Real Murcia at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Zaragoza at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.59 | 3.16 | 2.44, which imply roughly 31.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 table: Real Murcia are 2nd (15 pts, 11-7 goals), Zaragoza 1st (16 pts, 16-10).

Over their last five matches, Real Murcia averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Zaragoza averaged 3 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Zaragoza and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.59	3.16	2.44

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.43	1.40	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.87	1.79

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.62	2.15

1st half

1	X	2
3.19	2.14	2.97

2nd half

1	X	2
2.88	2.46	2.72

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.20	14.3	28.7
HT X	6.30	5.03	5.87
HT 2	30.3	14.3	3.92

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.97	11.4	1.92

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	9.90
1.5	1.22	3.64
2.5	1.78	1.95
3.5	2.92	1.33
4.5	5.37	1.10
5.5	9.75	1.05
6.5	13.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.88
1	1.01	9.00
1.25	1.10	5.00
1.75	1.26	3.30
2	1.33	2.89
2.25	1.55	2.25
2.75	1.97	1.72
3	2.31	1.51
3.25	2.62	1.40
3.75	3.50	1.22
4	4.75	1.12
4.25	5.15	1.10
4.75	7.10	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.58	1.47
-0.25	2.25	1.57
0	1.92	1.81
+0.25	1.64	2.12
+0.5	1.51	2.47
+0.75	1.35	2.93

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	10.0	1.01
-1.75	7.06	1.06
-1.5	5.38	1.11
-1.25	4.83	1.13
-1	4.42	1.16
-0.75	3.13	1.30
+1	1.19	4.02
+1.25	1.16	4.46
+1.5	1.13	4.93
+1.75	1.07	6.64
+2	1.04	8.50
+2.5	1.02	8.70