Gimnastic vs Atlético Madrid II• Primera División RFEF - Group 2, Spain

#141.4:2.214:0018/10 · Nou Estadi de Tarragona, Tarragona2.2:2.0#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.45B365X3.46PIN22.56PINMargin at best8.8%Books5Markets49Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L53.9

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 12:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.43	3.46	2.56	9.1%
Bet365	2.45	3.25	2.55	10.8%
1xBet	2.36	3.40	2.50	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.36	3.40	2.50	11.8%
William Hill	2.40	3.20	2.50	12.9%
Best of all books	2.45	3.46	2.56	8.8%
Average	2.40	3.34	2.52	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GimnasticAtlético Madrid II

Last 10#14Table position#111.14Points per game1.294Form pts · last 551.4Goals for · last 52.22.2Goals against · last 52.039Attack rating6148Defence rating5244Form rating5650H2H rating5048Goals model5244Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 10:01 UTC

Gimnastic

2W 4D 4L · goals 12:17 · per match 1.2 for, 1.7 against

10 Oct	A	Juventud Torremolinos	2-2	D
4 Oct	A	Real Murcia	0-2	L
26 Sep	H	Sant Andreu	1-2	L
20 Sep	A	Alcorcon	0-3	L
11 Sep	H	Algeciras	4-2	W
5 Sep	A	FC Cartagena	0-0	D
30 Aug	H	Zaragoza	2-0	W
22 Aug	A	Espanyol II	0-3	L
13 Aug	H	Huesca	2-2	D
8 Aug	H	Girona	1-1	D

Atlético Madrid II

2W 3D 5L · goals 16:17 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against

11 Oct	H	Zaragoza	4-4	D
2 Oct	A	Real Madrid II	2-3	L
25 Sep	H	Villarreal II	1-3	L
19 Sep	A	Huesca	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Real Murcia	4-0	W
6 Sep	A	Hércules	2-0	W
30 Aug	H	Juventud Torremolinos	2-2	D
13 Aug	H	Mirandes	1-2	L
8 Aug	A	Gimnástica Segoviana	0-2	L
6 Jun	H	Ponferradina	0-1	L

Head to head

1Gimnastic wins

0draws

1Atlético Madrid II wins

2 meetings · goals 2:4 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Gimnastic

21 Feb 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 2	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	Atlético Madrid II1-2Gimnastic
2 Nov 2025Primera División RFEF - Group 2	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	Gimnastic0-3Atlético Madrid II

Primera División RFEF - Group 2 tableSegunda B: Group 2updated 16 Oct 15:02 UTC

In the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 table, Gimnastic sit 14th with 8 points from 7 games, while Atlético Madrid II are 11th with 9 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Zaragoza	7	5	1	1	16:10	+6	16
2	Real Murcia	7	5	0	2	11:7	+4	15
3	Villarreal II	7	4	2	1	15:9	+6	14
4	Hércules	7	4	1	2	6:5	+1	13
5	Alcorcon	7	3	3	1	13:5	+8	12
6	FC Cartagena	7	3	3	1	10:5	+5	12
7	Real Jaén	7	3	3	1	11:8	+3	12
8	Antequera	7	2	4	1	11:9	+2	10
9	Huesca	7	2	4	1	9:9	0	10
10	Ibiza	7	3	1	3	9:9	0	10
11	Atlético Madrid II	7	2	3	2	15:12	+3	9
12	Real Madrid II	7	2	3	2	8:7	+1	9
13	Sant Andreu	7	2	2	3	7:8	-1	8
14	Gimnastic	7	2	2	3	9:11	-2	8
15	Algeciras	7	2	1	4	9:13	-4	7
16	Europa Fc	7	2	1	4	6:11	-5	7
17	Águilas	7	1	3	3	7:12	-5	6
18	Teruel	7	1	2	4	3:12	-9	5
19	Rayo Majadahonda	7	1	1	5	5:8	-3	4
20	Juventud Torremolinos	7	0	2	5	8:18	-10	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.40X27%3.34236%2.52

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.38 → 2.40 +0.8%X3.36 → 3.34 -0.6%22.62 → 2.52 -3.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Pinnacle	1.61	2.25	6.6%
1xBet	1.58	2.18	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.18	9.2%
Best of all books	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Average	1.60	2.21	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
1xBet	1.49	2.42	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.49	2.38	9.1%
William Hill	1.44	2.40	11.1%
Best of all books	1.53	2.42	6.7%
Average	1.49	2.40	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Gimnastic 10%Draw 45%Atlético Madrid II 45%

The statistical model rates Gimnastic at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Atlético Madrid II at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.40 | 3.34 | 2.52, which imply roughly 29.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 table: Gimnastic are 14th (8 pts, 9-11 goals), Atlético Madrid II 11th (9 pts, 15-12).

Over their last five matches, Gimnastic averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Atlético Madrid II averaged 2.2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Atlético Madrid II.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.40	3.34	2.52

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.42	1.46	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.82	1.84

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.49	2.39

1st half

1	X	2
2.88	2.28	3.03

2nd half

1	X	2
2.68	2.59	2.78

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.77	13.3	26.0
HT X	6.17	5.73	6.37
HT 2	25.0	14.0	4.03

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.90	15.1	1.94

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.6
1.5	1.15	4.37
2.5	1.60	2.22
3.5	2.47	1.46
4.5	4.31	1.17
5.5	7.77	1.04
6.5	11.0	1.02
7.5	17.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	–	9.20
1	1.01	9.15
1.25	1.07	5.95
1.75	1.18	3.88
2	1.24	3.50
2.25	1.42	2.61
2.75	1.73	1.98
3	1.94	1.73
3.25	2.20	1.56
3.75	2.86	1.34
4	3.58	1.21
4.25	3.96	1.17
4.75	5.30	1.09
5	7.30	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.85	1.36
-0.5	2.45	1.52
-0.25	2.11	1.65
0	1.82	1.91
+0.25	1.59	2.20
+0.5	1.49	2.51

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.00	1.02
-2	8.60	1.01
-1.75	5.87	1.09
-1.5	4.58	1.15
-1.25	4.18	1.18
-1	3.78	1.21
+0.75	1.32	3.02
+1	1.19	4.03
+1.25	1.16	4.43
+1.5	1.13	4.83
+1.75	1.08	6.46
+2	1.03	8.50
+2.5	1.01	9.40