Algeciras vs Hércules• Primera División RFEF - Group 2, Spain

#151.4:1.619:00Tomorrow · Estadio Nuevo Mirador, Algeciras1.0:0.2#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.70BFRX3.20BFR22.63BFRMargin at best6.3%Books6Markets42Rating36 · 64Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 14:02 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	2.70	3.13	2.60	7.4%
Pinnacle	2.75	2.97	2.55	9.2%
Bet365	2.70	3.00	2.45	11.2%
1xBet	2.55	2.99	2.55	11.9%
Marathonbet	2.55	2.99	2.55	11.9%
William Hill	2.62	2.75	2.50	14.5%
Best of all books	2.75	3.13	2.60	6.8%
Average	2.65	2.97	2.53	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AlgecirasHércules

Last 10#15Table position#41.00Points per game1.867Form pts · last 5131.4Goals for · last 51.01.6Goals against · last 50.258Attack rating4211Defence rating8935Form rating6550H2H rating5015Goals model8536Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 15:01 UTC

Algeciras

2W 2D 6L · goals 11:19 · per match 1.1 for, 1.9 against

11 Oct	A	Europa Fc	1-2	L
4 Oct	H	Rayo Majadahonda	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	Juventud Torremolinos	2-1	W
20 Sep	H	Águilas	1-1	D
11 Sep	A	Gimnastic	2-4	L
4 Sep	A	Villarreal II	1-2	L
29 Aug	H	FC Cartagena	1-3	L
1 Aug	H	Tottenham Hotspur U21	1-1	D
23 May	A	Atlético Madrid II	1-3	L
16 May	H	Hércules	0-2	L

Hércules

4W 3D 3L · goals 7:7 · per match 0.7 for, 0.7 against

12 Oct	H	Sant Andreu	1-0	W
3 Oct	H	Real Jaén	0-0	D
26 Sep	A	Águilas	1-0	W
20 Sep	H	Juventud Torremolinos	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Europa Fc	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Atlético Madrid II	0-2	L
29 Aug	H	Real Murcia	1-2	L
14 Aug	A	Alcoyano	0-1	L
7 Aug	H	Castellón	0-0	D
23 May	H	Gimnastic	1-1	D

Head to head

2Algeciras wins

0draws

2Hércules wins

4 meetings · goals 5:6 · last 4: 2W 0D 2L for Algeciras

16 May 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 2	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	Algeciras0-2Hércules
12 Sep 2025Primera División RFEF - Group 2	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	Hércules0-1Algeciras
11 May 2025Primera División RFEF - Group 2	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	Hércules1-2Algeciras
11 Oct 2024Primera División RFEF - Group 2	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	Algeciras2-3Hércules

Primera División RFEF - Group 2 tableSegunda B: Group 2updated 16 Oct 15:02 UTC

In the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 table, Algeciras sit 15th with 7 points from 7 games, while Hércules are 4th with 13 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Zaragoza	7	5	1	1	16:10	+6	16
2	Real Murcia	7	5	0	2	11:7	+4	15
3	Villarreal II	7	4	2	1	15:9	+6	14
4	Hércules	7	4	1	2	6:5	+1	13
5	Alcorcon	7	3	3	1	13:5	+8	12
6	FC Cartagena	7	3	3	1	10:5	+5	12
7	Real Jaén	7	3	3	1	11:8	+3	12
8	Antequera	7	2	4	1	11:9	+2	10
9	Huesca	7	2	4	1	9:9	0	10
10	Ibiza	7	3	1	3	9:9	0	10
11	Atlético Madrid II	7	2	3	2	15:12	+3	9
12	Real Madrid II	7	2	3	2	8:7	+1	9
13	Sant Andreu	7	2	2	3	7:8	-1	8
14	Gimnastic	7	2	2	3	9:11	-2	8
15	Algeciras	7	2	1	4	9:13	-4	7
16	Europa Fc	7	2	1	4	6:11	-5	7
17	Águilas	7	1	3	3	7:12	-5	6
18	Teruel	7	1	2	4	3:12	-9	5
19	Rayo Majadahonda	7	1	1	5	5:8	-3	4
20	Juventud Torremolinos	7	0	2	5	8:18	-10	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.63X30%3.01235%2.57

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.58 → 2.63 +1.9%X3.06 → 3.01 -1.6%22.62 → 2.57 -1.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.25	1.62	6.2%
Pinnacle	2.26	1.61	6.4%
1xBet	2.24	1.55	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.24	1.55	9.2%
BetVictor	2.16	1.59	9.2%
Best of all books	2.26	1.62	6.0%
Average	2.23	1.58	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.91	1.80	7.9%
BetVictor	1.90	1.80	8.2%
1xBet	1.92	1.77	8.6%
William Hill	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.75	9.2%
Best of all books	1.92	1.83	6.7%
Average	1.90	1.79	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Algeciras 10%Draw 45%Hércules 45%

The statistical model rates Algeciras at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Hércules at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.63 | 3.01 | 2.57, which imply roughly 33.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 table: Algeciras are 15th (7 pts, 9-13 goals), Hércules 4th (13 pts, 6-5).

Over their last five matches, Algeciras averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Hércules averaged 1 scored and 0.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Hércules.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.65	2.97	2.53

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.41	1.39	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.86	1.82

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.90	1.79

1st half

1	X	2
3.36	1.98	3.27

2nd half

1	X	2
3.02	2.23	2.92

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.33	14.8	34.0
HT X	5.93	4.45	5.93
HT 2	34.0	14.8	4.17

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.05	7.20	2.03

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.45
1.5	1.39	2.71
2.5	2.23	1.58
3.5	4.15	1.18
4.5	8.13	1.04
5.5	16.0	1.02
6.5	19.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.06	6.30
1	1.08	5.65
1.25	1.24	3.34
1.75	1.50	2.35
2	1.67	2.03
2.25	1.95	1.74
2.75	2.58	1.42
3	3.36	1.25
3.25	3.75	1.19
3.75	5.20	1.10
4	7.40	1.03
4.25	7.70	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.69	1.42
-0.25	2.26	1.57
0	1.90	1.81
+0.25	1.61	2.15
+0.5	1.47	2.51
+0.75	1.31	3.09

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	7.20	1.03
-1.5	5.60	1.10
-1.25	5.13	1.12
-1	4.67	1.14
-0.75	3.24	1.29
+1	1.16	4.38
+1.25	1.13	4.85
+1.5	1.11	5.35
+1.75	1.06	7.07