Real Jaén vs Villarreal II• Primera División RFEF - Group 2, Spain

#61.0:1.00-1LiveToday · Nuevo Estadio de La Victoria2.0:1.0#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.85BTNX3.40BFR22.38BFRMargin at best6.5%Books9Markets45Rating36 · 64Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 14:10 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.80	3.35	2.41	7.1%
BetVictor	2.88	3.25	2.38	7.5%
Betfair	2.80	3.40	2.30	8.6%
Betano	2.82	3.20	2.35	9.3%
Pinnacle	2.86	3.13	2.36	9.3%
1xBet	2.85	3.08	2.32	10.7%
Marathonbet	2.78	3.08	2.30	11.9%
Bet365	2.55	3.20	2.40	12.1%
William Hill	2.80	2.90	2.30	13.7%
Best of all books	2.88	3.40	2.41	5.6%
Average	2.79	3.18	2.35	9.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Real JaénVillarreal II

Last 10#6Table position#21.83Points per game2.178Form pts · last 5101.0Goals for · last 52.01.0Goals against · last 51.033Attack rating6750Defence rating5044Form rating560H2H rating018Goals model8236Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:12 UTC

Real Jaén

5W 3D 2L · goals 14:10 · per match 1.4 for, 1.0 against

3 Oct	A	Hércules	0-0	D
27 Sep	A	Antequera	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	Ibiza	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Teruel	1-0	W
6 Sep	H	Huesca	2-2	D
30 Aug	A	Europa Fc	3-0	W
6 Aug	H	Cordoba	1-2	L
24 Jul	A	Cacereño	1-1	D
31 May	A	Atlético Baleares	2-1	W
24 May	H	Atlético Baleares	2-1	W

Villarreal II

6W 1D 3L · goals 17:11 · per match 1.7 for, 1.1 against

4 Oct	H	Ibiza	0-1	L
25 Sep	A	Atlético Madrid II	3-1	W
19 Sep	H	Antequera	2-2	D
13 Sep	A	Huesca	3-0	W
4 Sep	H	Algeciras	2-1	W
29 Aug	A	Rayo Majadahonda	2-1	W
15 Aug	H	Zaragoza	0-2	L
4 Aug	A	Eldense	3-1	W
7 Jun	A	Zamora	0-2	L
31 May	H	Zamora	2-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Real Jaén and Villarreal II on record.

Primera División RFEF - Group 2 tableSegunda B: Group 2updated 10 Oct 16:41 UTC

In the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 table, Real Jaén sit 6th with 11 points from 6 games, while Villarreal II are 2nd with 13 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Zaragoza	6	5	0	1	12:6	+6	15
2	Villarreal II	6	4	1	1	12:6	+6	13
3	Alcorcon	6	3	3	0	13:4	+9	12
4	Real Murcia	6	4	0	2	10:7	+3	12
5	FC Cartagena	6	3	2	1	9:4	+5	11
6	Real Jaén	6	3	2	1	8:5	+3	11
7	Ibiza	7	3	1	3	9:9	0	10
8	Hércules	6	3	1	2	5:5	0	10
9	Antequera	6	2	3	1	10:8	+2	9
10	Real Madrid II	7	2	3	2	8:7	+1	9
11	Huesca	6	2	3	1	7:7	0	9
12	Atlético Madrid II	6	2	2	2	11:8	+3	8
13	Sant Andreu	6	2	2	2	7:7	0	8
14	Gimnastic	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7
15	Algeciras	6	2	1	3	8:11	-3	7
16	Águilas	6	1	2	3	5:10	-5	5
17	Rayo Majadahonda	6	1	1	4	5:7	-2	4
18	Europa Fc	6	1	1	4	4:10	-6	4
19	Teruel	6	0	2	4	2:12	-10	2
20	Juventud Torremolinos	6	0	1	5	6:16	-10	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.79X29%3.18239%2.35

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.33 → 2.78 +19.3%X3.24 → 3.17 -2.2%22.68 → 2.34 -12.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.97	1.83	5.4%
Betfair	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Betano	1.93	1.78	8.0%
BetVictor	1.91	1.77	8.9%
1xBet	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Best of all books	1.97	1.85	4.8%
Average	1.93	1.79	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.72	1.98	8.6%
Betano	1.72	1.98	8.6%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
William Hill	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.95	9.4%
Best of all books	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Average	1.73	1.97	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Real Jaén 10%Draw 45%Villarreal II 45%

The statistical model rates Real Jaén at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Villarreal II at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.79 | 3.18 | 2.35, which imply roughly 31.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 table: Real Jaén are 6th (11 pts, 8-5 goals), Villarreal II 2nd (13 pts, 12-6).

Over their last five matches, Real Jaén averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Villarreal II averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Villarreal II.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.79	3.18	2.35

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.51	1.36	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.99	1.73

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.73	1.97

1st half

1	X	2
3.45	2.06	2.98

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.12	9.25	1.90

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.87
1.5	1.28	3.27
2.5	1.93	1.79
3.5	3.32	1.27
4.5	6.34	1.08
5.5	11.5	1.03
6.5	15.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.90
1	1.03	7.30
1.25	1.15	4.25
1.75	1.34	2.89
2	1.45	2.48
2.25	1.70	2.01
2.75	2.19	1.58
3	2.65	1.39
3.25	3.02	1.31
3.75	4.10	1.16
4	5.65	1.08
4.25	6.00	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.78	1.40
-0.25	2.39	1.50
0	2.01	1.72
+0.25	1.71	2.00
+0.5	1.55	2.34
+0.75	1.38	2.77

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.50	1.01
-2	8.40	1.03
-1.75	7.88	1.02
-1.5	5.90	1.09
-1.25	5.46	1.10
-1	4.90	1.13
-0.75	3.43	1.25
+1	1.22	3.72
+1.25	1.18	4.18
+1.5	1.14	4.60
+1.75	1.08	6.03
+2.5	1.02	9.10