Atlético Madrid II vs Zaragoza• Primera División RFEF - Group 2, Spain

#111.8:1.24-4FT11/102.4:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.90BFRX3.50BFR22.31DAFMargin at best6.3%Books10Markets62Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.85	3.45	2.31	7.4%
BetVictor	2.90	3.40	2.30	7.4%
Betfair	2.90	3.50	2.25	7.5%
Pinnacle	2.88	3.41	2.28	7.9%
Betano	2.87	3.35	2.25	9.1%
1xBet	2.84	3.30	2.22	10.6%
Bet365	2.75	3.25	2.25	11.6%
Marathonbet	2.77	3.30	2.20	11.9%
William Hill	2.75	3.10	2.25	13.1%
SBO	2.59	3.12	2.25	15.1%
Best of all books	2.90	3.50	2.31	6.3%
Average	2.81	3.32	2.26	10.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Atlético Madrid IIZaragoza

Last 10#11Table position#11.29Points per game2.295Form pts · last 5131.8Goals for · last 52.41.2Goals against · last 50.843Attack rating5740Defence rating6032Form rating680H2H rating045Goals model5540Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 10:01 UTC

Atlético Madrid II

2W 3D 5L · goals 16:17 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against

11 Oct	H	Zaragoza	4-4	D
2 Oct	A	Real Madrid II	2-3	L
25 Sep	H	Villarreal II	1-3	L
19 Sep	A	Huesca	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Real Murcia	4-0	W
6 Sep	A	Hércules	2-0	W
30 Aug	H	Juventud Torremolinos	2-2	D
13 Aug	H	Mirandes	1-2	L
8 Aug	A	Gimnástica Segoviana	0-2	L
6 Jun	H	Ponferradina	0-1	L

Zaragoza

7W 1D 2L · goals 22:13 · per match 2.2 for, 1.3 against

11 Oct	A	Atlético Madrid II	4-4	D
4 Oct	H	Teruel	4-1	W
25 Sep	A	Ibiza	2-0	W
20 Sep	H	FC Cartagena	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	Juventud Torremolinos	4-3	W
5 Sep	H	Antequera	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	Gimnastic	0-2	L
22 Aug	A	Numancia	1-2	L
21 Aug	H	Athletic Club	3-1	W
15 Aug	A	Villarreal II	2-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Atlético Madrid II and Zaragoza on record.

Primera División RFEF - Group 2 tableSegunda B: Group 2updated 16 Oct 15:02 UTC

In the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 table, Atlético Madrid II sit 11th with 9 points from 7 games, while Zaragoza are 1st with 16 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Zaragoza	7	5	1	1	16:10	+6	16
2	Real Murcia	7	5	0	2	11:7	+4	15
3	Villarreal II	7	4	2	1	15:9	+6	14
4	Hércules	7	4	1	2	6:5	+1	13
5	Alcorcon	7	3	3	1	13:5	+8	12
6	FC Cartagena	7	3	3	1	10:5	+5	12
7	Real Jaén	7	3	3	1	11:8	+3	12
8	Antequera	7	2	4	1	11:9	+2	10
9	Huesca	7	2	4	1	9:9	0	10
10	Ibiza	7	3	1	3	9:9	0	10
11	Atlético Madrid II	7	2	3	2	15:12	+3	9
12	Real Madrid II	7	2	3	2	8:7	+1	9
13	Sant Andreu	7	2	2	3	7:8	-1	8
14	Gimnastic	7	2	2	3	9:11	-2	8
15	Algeciras	7	2	1	4	9:13	-4	7
16	Europa Fc	7	2	1	4	6:11	-5	7
17	Águilas	7	1	3	3	7:12	-5	6
18	Teruel	7	1	2	4	3:12	-9	5
19	Rayo Majadahonda	7	1	1	5	5:8	-3	4
20	Juventud Torremolinos	7	0	2	5	8:18	-10	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.81X27%3.32240%2.26

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.87 → 2.81 -2.1%X3.36 → 3.32 -1.2%22.22 → 2.26 +1.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.88	1.94	4.7%
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Betano	1.78	1.93	8.0%
Betfair	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
BetVictor	1.77	1.90	9.1%
Best of all books	1.88	1.95	4.5%
Average	1.79	1.94	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Betfair	1.60	2.20	8.0%
BetVictor	1.62	2.15	8.2%
William Hill	1.62	2.15	8.2%
1xBet	1.61	2.16	8.4%
Betano	1.62	2.12	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.12	9.3%
Best of all books	1.73	2.20	3.3%
Average	1.63	2.13	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atlético Madrid II 10%Draw 45%Zaragoza 45%

The statistical model rated Atlético Madrid II at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Zaragoza at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.81 | 3.32 | 2.26, which imply roughly 30.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 table: Atlético Madrid II are 11th (9 pts, 15-12 goals), Zaragoza 1st (16 pts, 16-10).

Over their last five matches, Atlético Madrid II averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Zaragoza averaged 2.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Zaragoza and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.81	3.32	2.26

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.55	1.35	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
2.06	1.69

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.63	2.13

1st half

1	X	2
3.35	2.18	2.80

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.09	12.3	1.81

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	10.9
1.5	1.23	3.64
2.5	1.79	1.94
3.5	2.92	1.35
4.5	5.62	1.11
5.5	9.78	1.02
6.5	15.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.80
1	1.01	8.50
1.25	1.11	4.89
1.75	1.28	3.24
2	1.36	2.81
2.25	1.57	2.24
2.75	1.97	1.75
3	2.31	1.52
3.25	2.58	1.42
3.75	3.34	1.24
4	4.40	1.14
4.25	4.75	1.12
4.75	5.85	1.07
5	8.70	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.72	1.41
-0.25	2.41	1.49
0	2.09	1.66
+0.25	1.77	1.95
+0.5	1.60	2.26
+0.75	1.41	2.64

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.60	1.01
-2	10.5	1.01
-1.75	7.13	1.05
-1.5	5.67	1.10
-1.25	5.26	1.12
-1	4.73	1.14
-0.75	3.30	1.28
+1	1.26	3.43
+1.25	1.20	3.84
+1.5	1.17	4.23
+1.75	1.10	5.50
+2	1.03	7.70
+2.5	1.01	8.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.06	5.64
7.5	1.21	3.52
8.5	1.45	2.48
9.5	1.81	1.94
10.5	2.25	1.56
11.5	2.98	1.31
12.5	4.22	1.14
13.5	6.39	1.03

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.08	5.14
8	1.27	3.15
9	1.58	2.21
10	2.01	1.71
11	2.69	1.38
12	3.87	1.17
13	5.97	1.05