FC Cartagena vs Real Murcia• Primera División RFEF - Group 2, Spain

#101.6:0.80-0LiveToday · Estadio Municipal Cartagonova, Cartagena2.0:1.2#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.56SBOX3.25BFR23.10BVCMargin at best2.1%Books10Markets59Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.33	3.20	3.05	7.0%
Betfair	2.30	3.25	3.00	7.6%
BetVictor	2.30	3.13	3.10	7.7%
Pinnacle	2.30	3.12	3.09	7.9%
Betano	2.25	3.10	3.10	9.0%
1xBet	2.25	2.97	3.08	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.23	2.97	3.00	11.8%
Bet365	2.15	3.10	3.00	12.1%
William Hill	2.25	2.88	3.00	12.5%
SBO	2.56	2.90	2.41	15.0%
Best of all books	2.56	3.25	3.10	2.1%
Average	2.29	3.06	2.98	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC CartagenaReal Murcia

Last 10#10Table position#41.60Points per game2.408Form pts · last 591.6Goals for · last 52.00.8Goals against · last 51.244Attack rating5660Defence rating4040Form rating6071H2H rating2987Goals model1362Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 18:41 UTC

FC Cartagena

3W 3D 4L · goals 14:13 · per match 1.4 for, 1.3 against

3 Oct	H	Águilas	4-1	W
20 Sep	A	Zaragoza	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Rayo Majadahonda	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Gimnastic	0-0	D
29 Aug	A	Algeciras	3-1	W
19 Aug	A	Elche II	0-2	L
12 Aug	H	Orihuela	3-0	W
31 Jul	A	Johor Darul Takzim FC	0-2	L
23 May	H	Real Betis II	2-2	D
16 May	A	Ibiza	1-3	L

Real Murcia

7W 1D 2L · goals 22:13 · per match 2.2 for, 1.3 against

4 Oct	H	Gimnastic	2-0	W
30 Sep	A	Navalcarnero	1-3	L
19 Sep	H	Europa Fc	2-1	W
16 Sep	A	Orihuela	4-1	W
13 Sep	A	Atlético Madrid II	0-4	L
9 Sep	A	Mensajero	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Teruel	4-0	W
29 Aug	A	Hércules	2-1	W
8 Aug	A	Albacete	1-1	D
5 Aug	A	Cieza	4-1	W

Head to head

3FC Cartagena wins

0draws

2Real Murcia wins

5 meetings · goals 7:5 · last 5: 3W 0D 2L for FC Cartagena

22 Feb 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 2	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	Real Murcia1-2FC Cartagena
8 Dec 2025Primera División RFEF - Group 2	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	FC Cartagena0-1Real Murcia
5 Aug 2023Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	FC Cartagena3-1Real Murcia
10 Aug 2021Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	FC Cartagena2-0Real Murcia
8 Dec 2019Primera División RFEF - Group 4	Primera División RFEF - Group 4	Real Murcia2-0FC Cartagena

Primera División RFEF - Group 2 tableSegunda B: Group 2updated 7 Oct 18:22 UTC

In the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 table, FC Cartagena sit 10th with 8 points from 5 games, while Real Murcia are 4th with 12 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Zaragoza	6	5	0	1	12:6	+6	15
2	Villarreal II	6	4	1	1	12:6	+6	13
3	Alcorcon	6	3	3	0	13:4	+9	12
4	Real Murcia	5	4	0	1	10:6	+4	12
5	Real Jaén	6	3	2	1	8:5	+3	11
6	Hércules	6	3	1	2	5:5	0	10
7	Antequera	6	2	3	1	10:8	+2	9
8	Ibiza	6	3	0	3	8:8	0	9
9	Huesca	6	2	3	1	7:7	0	9
10	FC Cartagena	5	2	2	1	8:4	+4	8
11	Atlético Madrid II	6	2	2	2	11:8	+3	8
12	Real Madrid II	6	2	2	2	7:6	+1	8
13	Sant Andreu	6	2	2	2	7:7	0	8
14	Gimnastic	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7
15	Algeciras	6	2	1	3	8:11	-3	7
16	Águilas	6	1	2	3	5:10	-5	5
17	Rayo Majadahonda	6	1	1	4	5:7	-2	4
18	Europa Fc	6	1	1	4	4:10	-6	4
19	Teruel	6	0	2	4	2:12	-10	2
20	Juventud Torremolinos	6	0	1	5	6:16	-10	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.29X30%3.06231%2.98

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.45 → 2.29 -6.5%X2.95 → 3.06 +3.7%22.73 → 2.98 +9.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.20	1.66	5.7%
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Betano	2.10	1.65	8.2%
1xBet	2.12	1.62	8.9%
Marathonbet	2.12	1.62	8.9%
BetVictor	2.09	1.63	9.2%
Best of all books	2.20	1.67	5.3%
Average	2.13	1.64	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.91	1.80	7.9%
1xBet	1.84	1.85	8.4%
Betano	1.83	1.85	8.7%
BetVictor	1.85	1.83	8.7%
William Hill	1.83	1.85	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.84	1.82	9.3%
Best of all books	1.91	1.85	6.4%
Average	1.85	1.83	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC Cartagena 45%Draw 45%Real Murcia 10%

The statistical model rates FC Cartagena at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Real Murcia at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.29 | 3.06 | 2.98, which imply roughly 43.7% for a FC Cartagena win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 table: FC Cartagena are 10th (8 pts, 8-4 goals), Real Murcia 4th (12 pts, 10-6).

Over their last five matches, FC Cartagena averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Real Murcia averaged 2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : FC Cartagena or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.29	3.06	2.98

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.35	1.50	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.68	2.09

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.85	1.83

1st half

1	X	2
3.03	1.97	3.64

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.90	7.65	2.17

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.54
1.5	1.35	2.89
2.5	2.13	1.64
3.5	3.81	1.21
4.5	7.60	1.05
5.5	15.0	1.02
6.5	17.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	7.10
1	1.05	6.40
1.25	1.19	3.78
1.75	1.44	2.51
2	1.61	2.15
2.25	1.88	1.82
2.75	2.45	1.46
3	3.13	1.29
3.25	3.48	1.22
3.75	4.89	1.11
4	7.10	1.04
4.25	7.50	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.69	1.40
-0.5	2.23	1.60
-0.25	1.95	1.77
0	1.61	2.19
+0.25	1.43	2.59
+0.5	1.36	2.97

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	5.05	1.03
-2	9.70	1.01
-1.75	6.05	1.09
-1.5	4.55	1.15
-1.25	4.10	1.18
-1	3.64	1.24
+0.75	1.26	3.50
+1	1.12	5.43
+1.25	1.07	6.50
+1.5	1.06	7.07
+2	1.02	9.40

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.08	5.25
7.5	1.24	3.32
8.5	1.50	2.37
9.5	1.85	1.85
10.5	2.35	1.51
11.5	3.16	1.27
12.5	4.54	1.12
13.5	6.97	1.02

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.10	4.76
8	1.31	2.97
9	1.64	2.12
10	2.10	1.65
11	2.85	1.34
12	4.17	1.14
13	6.54	1.03