Lugo vs Deportivo La Coruña II• Primera División RFEF - Group 1, Spain

#11.8:0.63-0FTToday · Estadio Anxo Carro, Lugo1.4:1.2#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.76PINX3.56PIN24.201XBMargin at best8.7%Books5Markets52Rating70 · 31Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.74	3.55	4.24	9.2%
1xBet	1.73	3.45	4.20	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.71	3.45	4.10	11.9%
Bet365	1.75	3.40	3.90	12.2%
William Hill	1.75	3.20	4.00	13.4%
Best of all books	1.75	3.55	4.24	8.9%
Average	1.74	3.41	4.09	11.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LugoDeportivo La Coruña II

Last 10#1Table position#162.75Points per game1.0015Form pts · last 571.8Goals for · last 51.40.6Goals against · last 51.256Attack rating4467Defence rating3368Form rating32100H2H rating087Goals model1370Overall rating31

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:10 UTC

Lugo

8W 1D 1L · goals 15:6 · per match 1.5 for, 0.6 against

12 Oct	H	UD Logroñés	3-1	W
2 Oct	A	Real Avilés	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	Racing Ferrol	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Zamora	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	CD Coria	1-0	W
4 Sep	A	Ponferradina	0-0	D
30 Aug	A	Unionistas de Salamanca	3-1	W
21 Aug	H	Ourense CF	1-0	W
15 Aug	H	Coruxo	2-1	W
29 Jul	A	Deportivo La Coruna	0-1	L

Deportivo La Coruña II

2W 3D 5L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

10 Oct	H	Racing Ferrol	0-1	L
4 Oct	A	UD Logroñés	1-2	L
26 Sep	H	Real Unión	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Athletic Club II	2-2	D
13 Sep	H	Ponferradina	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Cacereño	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Mérida AD	0-1	L
8 Aug	A	Atlético Astorga	2-2	D
5 Aug	H	Real Madrid II	0-1	L
29 Jul	A	Pontevedra	1-2	L

Head to head

1Lugo wins

0draws

0Deportivo La Coruña II wins

1 meeting · goals 3:0 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Lugo

31 Jul 2024Friendlies Clubs

Friendlies Clubs

Lugo3-0Deportivo La Coruña II

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 tableSegunda B: Group 1updated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table, Lugo sit 1st with 22 points from 8 games, while Deportivo La Coruña II are 16th with 8 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Lugo	8	7	1	0	15:4	+11	22
2	UD Logroñés	7	5	1	1	16:10	+6	16
3	Racing Ferrol	8	5	1	2	9:5	+4	16
4	Athletic Club II	7	3	3	1	12:8	+4	12
5	Cacereño	7	3	3	1	7:4	+3	12
6	Zamora	8	3	3	2	10:8	+2	12
7	Ponferradina	8	3	3	2	6:6	0	12
8	Cultural Leonesa	7	3	2	2	8:6	+2	11
9	Mirandes	8	3	2	3	10:10	0	11
10	Real Unión	8	2	4	2	15:13	+2	10
11	Extremadura 1924	8	3	1	4	11:10	+1	10
12	Mérida AD	7	3	0	4	11:12	-1	9
13	Barakaldo	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9
14	Real Avilés	7	2	2	3	11:10	+1	8
15	Pontevedra	7	2	2	3	9:10	-1	8
16	Deportivo La Coruña II	8	2	2	4	8:11	-3	8
17	Unionistas de Salamanca	8	2	1	5	10:14	-4	7
18	CD Coria	7	1	2	4	10:15	-5	5
19	UD Ourense	7	1	2	4	3:10	-7	5
20	Arenas Getxo	7	0	2	5	5:18	-13	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.74X26%3.41222%4.09

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.64 → 1.74 +6.1%X3.66 → 3.41 -6.8%24.70 → 4.06 -13.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.94	1.85	5.6%
1xBet	1.84	1.83	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.84	1.83	9.0%
Best of all books	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Average	1.89	1.84	7.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.78	1.91	8.5%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.78	1.88	9.4%
William Hill	1.80	1.85	9.6%
Best of all books	1.83	1.91	7.0%
Average	1.80	1.87	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lugo 45%Draw 45%Deportivo La Coruña II 10%

The statistical model rated Lugo at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Deportivo La Coruña II at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.74 | 3.41 | 4.09, which imply roughly 57.5% for a Lugo win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table: Lugo are 1st (22 pts, 15-4 goals), Deportivo La Coruña II 16th (8 pts, 8-11).

Over their last five matches, Lugo averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Deportivo La Coruña II averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Lugo or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.74	3.41	4.09

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.16	1.91	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.33	3.05

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.80	1.87

1st half

1	X	2
2.30	2.17	4.66

2nd half

1	X	2
2.12	2.45	4.16

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.65	15.0	41.0
HT X	4.55	5.33	9.27
HT 2	23.7	16.0	7.03

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.60	9.85	2.62

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	8.63
1.5	1.26	3.35
2.5	1.89	1.84
3.5	3.12	1.30
4.5	5.80	1.09
5.5	11.0	1.03
6.5	15.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.20
1	1.03	7.70
1.25	1.14	4.45
1.75	1.32	2.96
2	1.41	2.59
2.25	1.65	2.09
2.75	2.11	1.62
3	2.53	1.43
3.25	2.83	1.35
3.75	3.74	1.19
4	5.05	1.10
4.25	5.35	1.09
5	9.10	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.01	1.33
-1.25	2.65	1.41
-1	2.33	1.54
-0.75	1.94	1.77
-0.5	1.74	2.05
-0.25	1.51	2.35

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	7.50	1.03
-2.5	5.98	1.09
-2.25	5.63	1.10
-2	5.23	1.12
-1.75	3.69	1.22
0	1.30	3.16
+0.25	1.23	3.57
+0.5	1.22	4.15
+0.75	1.11	5.35
+1	1.02	8.10
+1.5	1.01	8.90