Barakaldo vs Mirandes• Primera División RFEF - Group 1, Spain

#131.0:1.22-0FTToday · Campo de Lasesarre, Barakaldo1.6:1.4#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.40BTNX3.30BFR23.00BFRMargin at best5.3%Books6Markets61Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	2.38	3.20	2.90	7.7%
Pinnacle	2.32	3.08	2.98	9.1%
1xBet	2.30	3.05	2.91	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.28	3.05	2.84	11.9%
Bet365	2.20	3.30	2.75	12.1%
William Hill	2.30	2.80	2.90	13.7%
Best of all books	2.38	3.30	2.98	5.9%
Average	2.30	3.08	2.88	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BarakaldoMirandes

Last 10#13Table position#91.13Points per game1.385Form pts · last 581.0Goals for · last 51.61.2Goals against · last 51.438Attack rating6254Defence rating4638Form rating6250H2H rating5054Goals model4647Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:10 UTC

Barakaldo

2W 4D 4L · goals 11:14 · per match 1.1 for, 1.4 against

10 Oct	A	UD Ourense	0-1	L
3 Oct	H	Arenas Getxo	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Real Avilés	3-3	D
19 Sep	A	Racing Ferrol	0-1	L
11 Sep	H	Extremadura 1924	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	CD Coria	1-4	L
30 Aug	H	Cultural Leonesa	0-0	D
14 Aug	A	Portugalete	0-2	L
23 May	H	Celta de Vigo II	1-1	D
17 May	A	Real Avilés	4-1	W

Mirandes

4W 3D 3L · goals 11:12 · per match 1.1 for, 1.2 against

10 Oct	H	Zamora	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	Ponferradina	0-1	L
27 Sep	H	Unionistas de Salamanca	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Real Unión	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	Mérida AD	4-3	W
5 Sep	H	UD Ourense	2-0	W
28 Aug	A	Cacereño	0-1	L
21 Aug	A	UD Logroñés	0-4	L
19 Aug	A	La Calzada	1-0	W
15 Aug	A	Real Madrid II	0-0	D

Head to head

0Barakaldo wins

1draws

0Mirandes wins

1 meeting · goals 1:1 · last 1: 0W 1D 0L for Barakaldo

28 Jul 2024Friendlies Clubs

Friendlies Clubs

Barakaldo1-1Mirandes

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 tableSegunda B: Group 1updated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table, Barakaldo sit 13th with 9 points from 8 games, while Mirandes are 9th with 11 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Lugo	8	7	1	0	15:4	+11	22
2	UD Logroñés	7	5	1	1	16:10	+6	16
3	Racing Ferrol	8	5	1	2	9:5	+4	16
4	Athletic Club II	7	3	3	1	12:8	+4	12
5	Cacereño	7	3	3	1	7:4	+3	12
6	Zamora	8	3	3	2	10:8	+2	12
7	Ponferradina	8	3	3	2	6:6	0	12
8	Cultural Leonesa	7	3	2	2	8:6	+2	11
9	Mirandes	8	3	2	3	10:10	0	11
10	Real Unión	8	2	4	2	15:13	+2	10
11	Extremadura 1924	8	3	1	4	11:10	+1	10
12	Mérida AD	7	3	0	4	11:12	-1	9
13	Barakaldo	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9
14	Real Avilés	7	2	2	3	11:10	+1	8
15	Pontevedra	7	2	2	3	9:10	-1	8
16	Deportivo La Coruña II	8	2	2	4	8:11	-3	8
17	Unionistas de Salamanca	8	2	1	5	10:14	-4	7
18	CD Coria	7	1	2	4	10:15	-5	5
19	UD Ourense	7	1	2	4	3:10	-7	5
20	Arenas Getxo	7	0	2	5	5:18	-13	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.30X29%3.08231%2.88

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.54 → 2.34 -7.9%X3.22 → 3.10 -3.7%22.53 → 2.88 +13.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Pinnacle	2.09	1.70	6.7%
BetVictor	2.04	1.67	8.9%
1xBet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Best of all books	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Average	2.07	1.68	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.91	1.80	7.9%
BetVictor	1.80	1.90	8.2%
1xBet	1.80	1.89	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.86	9.3%
William Hill	1.75	1.91	9.5%
Best of all books	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Average	1.81	1.87	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Barakaldo 10%Draw 45%Mirandes 45%

The statistical model rated Barakaldo at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Mirandes at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.30 | 3.08 | 2.88, which imply roughly 32.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table: Barakaldo are 13th (9 pts, 8-10 goals), Mirandes 9th (11 pts, 10-10).

Over their last five matches, Barakaldo averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Mirandes averaged 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Mirandes.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.30	3.08	2.88

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.34	1.51	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.66	2.08

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.81	1.87

1st half

1	X	2
2.99	2.02	3.63

2nd half

1	X	2
2.65	2.31	3.26

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.70	14.8	36.7
HT X	5.43	4.63	6.47
HT 2	31.7	14.8	4.75

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.86	8.75	2.12

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	8.75
1.5	1.33	3.01
2.5	2.07	1.68
3.5	3.75	1.22
4.5	7.68	1.05
5.5	13.8	1.02
6.5	17.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.80
1	1.04	7.10
1.25	1.17	3.98
1.75	1.41	2.61
2	1.54	2.26
2.25	1.81	1.88
2.75	2.36	1.49
3	2.94	1.32
3.25	3.28	1.25
3.75	4.70	1.12
4	6.75	1.04
4.25	7.10	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.75	1.38
-0.5	2.30	1.57
-0.25	1.98	1.74
0	1.67	2.08
+0.25	1.47	2.45
+0.5	1.40	2.84

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.0	1.01
-2	8.80	1.02
-1.75	6.30	1.07
-1.5	4.73	1.14
-1.25	4.28	1.17
-1	3.77	1.22
+0.75	1.25	3.48
+1	1.11	5.35
+1.25	1.09	5.88
+1.5	1.07	6.33
+1.75	1.01	8.90
+2	1.01	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.05	5.97
7.5	1.19	3.68
8.5	1.42	2.57
9.5	1.74	1.99
10.5	2.17	1.60
11.5	2.86	1.34
12.5	4.00	1.16
13.5	5.98	1.05

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.07	5.46
8	1.25	3.30
9	1.53	2.29
10	1.98	1.78
11	2.58	1.42
12	3.66	1.20
13	5.58	1.06