UD Ourense vs Barakaldo• Primera División RFEF - Group 1, Spain

#190.4:1.80-0LiveToday · Estadio de O Couto1.2:1.8#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.75BFRX3.40BFR22.03DAFMargin at best5.3%Books9Markets61Rating35 · 65Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.55	3.35	2.03	7.3%
BetVictor	3.70	3.30	2.00	7.3%
Betfair	3.70	3.30	1.95	8.6%
Pinnacle	3.39	3.38	2.00	9.1%
Betano	3.45	3.30	2.00	9.3%
1xBet	3.50	3.34	1.92	10.6%
Bet365	3.50	3.20	1.95	11.1%
Marathonbet	3.42	3.34	1.90	11.8%
William Hill	3.40	3.00	1.95	14.0%
Best of all books	3.70	3.38	2.03	5.9%
Average	3.51	3.28	1.97	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

UD OurenseBarakaldo

Last 10#19Table position#160.33Points per game1.002Form pts · last 550.4Goals for · last 51.21.8Goals against · last 51.825Attack rating7550Defence rating5029Form rating710H2H rating00Goals model10035Overall rating65

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 16:51 UTC

UD Ourense

3W 3D 4L · goals 7:11 · per match 0.7 for, 1.1 against

3 Oct	A	Real Unión	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Cacereño	0-0	D
19 Sep	A	Unionistas de Salamanca	1-3	L
12 Sep	H	UD Logroñés	0-3	L
5 Sep	A	Mirandes	0-2	L
29 Aug	H	Ponferradina	0-1	L
31 May	A	Conquense	2-0	W
24 May	H	Conquense	1-0	W
16 May	H	Reddis	2-1	W
9 May	A	Reddis	0-0	D

Barakaldo

3W 4D 3L · goals 13:13 · per match 1.3 for, 1.3 against

3 Oct	H	Arenas Getxo	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Real Avilés	3-3	D
19 Sep	A	Racing Ferrol	0-1	L
11 Sep	H	Extremadura 1924	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	CD Coria	1-4	L
30 Aug	H	Cultural Leonesa	0-0	D
14 Aug	A	Portugalete	0-2	L
23 May	H	Celta de Vigo II	1-1	D
17 May	A	Real Avilés	4-1	W
9 May	H	Mérida AD	2-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between UD Ourense and Barakaldo on record.

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 tableSegunda B: Group 1updated 10 Oct 16:33 UTC

In the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table, UD Ourense sit 19th with 2 points from 6 games, while Barakaldo are 16th with 6 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	UD Logroñés	6	5	1	0	15:7	+8	16
2	Lugo	6	5	1	0	9:3	+6	16
3	Athletic Club II	6	3	2	1	12:8	+4	11
4	Cacereño	6	3	2	1	6:3	+3	11
5	Ponferradina	6	3	2	1	5:3	+2	11
6	Mirandes	6	3	1	2	9:7	+2	10
7	Zamora	6	3	1	2	8:6	+2	10
8	Racing Ferrol	6	3	1	2	7:5	+2	10
9	Real Unión	6	2	2	2	13:11	+2	8
10	Deportivo La Coruña II	6	2	2	2	8:7	+1	8
11	Pontevedra	6	2	2	2	8:8	0	8
12	Cultural Leonesa	6	2	2	2	4:5	-1	8
13	Extremadura 1924	6	2	0	4	5:6	-1	6
14	Mérida AD	6	2	0	4	9:11	-2	6
15	Unionistas de Salamanca	6	2	0	4	9:12	-3	6
16	Barakaldo	6	1	3	2	6:9	-3	6
17	Real Avilés	6	1	2	3	9:10	-1	5
18	CD Coria	6	1	2	3	8:11	-3	5
19	UD Ourense	6	0	2	4	2:10	-8	2
20	Arenas Getxo	6	0	2	4	4:14	-10	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.51X28%3.28246%1.97

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.82 → 3.51 +24.5%X3.14 → 3.28 +4.5%22.32 → 1.97 -15.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Betfair	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Pinnacle	2.14	1.67	6.6%
Betano	2.07	1.67	8.2%
1xBet	2.06	1.65	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.06	1.65	9.1%
BetVictor	2.07	1.64	9.3%
Best of all books	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Average	2.10	1.66	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.90	1.87	6.1%
Bet365	1.91	1.80	7.9%
BetVictor	1.90	1.80	8.2%
1xBet	1.87	1.82	8.4%
William Hill	1.83	1.85	8.7%
Betano	1.88	1.80	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.79	9.3%
Best of all books	1.91	1.87	5.8%
Average	1.88	1.82	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

UD Ourense 10%Draw 45%Barakaldo 45%

The statistical model rates UD Ourense at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Barakaldo at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.51 | 3.28 | 1.97, which imply roughly 30.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table: UD Ourense are 19th (2 pts, 2-10 goals), Barakaldo 16th (6 pts, 6-9).

Over their last five matches, UD Ourense averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Barakaldo averaged 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Barakaldo and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.51	3.28	1.97

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.73	1.24	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
2.54	1.45

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.88	1.82

1st half

1	X	2
4.14	2.06	2.60

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.45	8.25	1.72

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.10
1.5	1.35	2.91
2.5	2.10	1.66
3.5	3.82	1.22
4.5	7.55	1.05
5.5	15.0	1.02
6.5	17.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.40
1	1.04	6.75
1.25	1.19	3.82
1.75	1.44	2.51
2	1.58	2.19
2.25	1.84	1.84
2.75	2.41	1.48
3	3.03	1.31
3.25	3.34	1.24
3.75	4.64	1.12
4	6.45	1.05
4.25	6.80	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.95	1.34
0	2.55	1.44
+0.25	2.03	1.69
+0.5	1.76	1.98
+0.75	1.55	2.26
+1	1.35	2.92

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	7.68	1.02
-1.5	7.40	1.05
-1.25	7.07	1.05
-1	6.83	1.06
-0.75	4.42	1.16
-0.5	3.34	1.30
+1.25	1.28	3.26
+1.5	1.25	3.45
+1.75	1.14	4.73
+2	1.04	6.95
+2.25	1.03	7.30
+2.5	1.02	7.80
+2.75	1.02	8.10

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.11	4.64
7.5	1.30	3.01
8.5	1.59	2.20
9.5	1.99	1.74
10.5	2.55	1.42
11.5	3.52	1.21
12.5	5.20	1.08

6 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.14	4.18
8	1.38	2.68
9	1.79	1.97
10	2.29	1.54
11	3.19	1.26
12	4.81	1.10