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Pontevedra vs Mérida AD• Primera División RFEF - Group 1, Spain

#151.4:1.61-2FT11/10 · Pontevedra1.6:2.2#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.21PINX3.30BFR23.30BFRMargin at best5.9%Books10Markets61Rating43 · 58Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.223.153.356.6%
Betfair2.203.253.257.0%
BetVictor2.203.253.207.5%
Betano2.203.053.259.0%
Pinnacle2.213.063.209.2%
1xBet2.123.043.2810.6%
Marathonbet2.103.043.2011.8%
Bet3652.152.903.2012.2%
William Hill2.152.903.1013.3%
SBO2.083.002.9715.1%
Best of all books2.223.253.355.7%
Average2.163.063.2010.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PontevedraMérida AD
Last 10#15Table position#121.14Points per game1.292Form pts · last 561.4Goals for · last 51.61.6Goals against · last 52.247Attack rating5358Defence rating4263Form rating3820H2H rating80100Goals model043Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 04:20 UTC

Pontevedra

4W 2D 4L · goals 17:14 · per match 1.7 for, 1.4 against

11 OctHMérida AD1-2L
3 OctARacing Ferrol0-2L
27 SepHPonferradina1-1D
18 SepAUD Logroñés1-1D
12 SepHAthletic Club II1-3L
5 SepHArenas Getxo4-1W
28 AugAReal Avilés1-0W
19 AugACoruxo1-3L
15 AugHOurense CF2-1W
8 AugAEstradense5-0W

Mérida AD

4W 0D 6L · goals 13:18 · per match 1.3 for, 1.8 against

11 OctAPontevedra2-1W
4 OctHCacereño2-0W
27 SepHUD Logroñés3-5L
19 SepAPonferradina0-1L
12 SepHMirandes3-4L
6 SepACultural Leonesa0-1L
29 AugHDeportivo La Coruña II1-0W
14 AugHAlcorcon2-1W
7 AugALeganes0-3L
28 JulHAl-Nassr0-2L

Head to head

0Pontevedra wins
2draws
2Mérida AD wins

4 meetings · goals 3:9 · last 4: 0W 2D 2L for Pontevedra

23 Jan 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1Primera División RFEF - Group 1Mérida AD1-1Pontevedra
15 Nov 2025Primera División RFEF - Group 1Primera División RFEF - Group 1Pontevedra1-1Mérida AD
15 Apr 2023Primera División RFEF - Group 1Primera División RFEF - Group 1Pontevedra1-5Mérida AD
1 Oct 2022Primera División RFEF - Group 1Primera División RFEF - Group 1Mérida AD2-0Pontevedra

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 tableSegunda B: Group 1updated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table, Pontevedra sit 15th with 8 points from 7 games, while Mérida AD are 12th with 9 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Lugo871015:4+1122
2UD Logroñés751116:10+616
3Racing Ferrol85129:5+416
4Athletic Club II733112:8+412
5Cacereño73317:4+312
6Zamora833210:8+212
7Ponferradina83326:6012
8Cultural Leonesa73228:6+211
9Mirandes832310:10011
10Real Unión824215:13+210
11Extremadura 1924831411:10+110
12Mérida AD730411:12-19
13Barakaldo82338:10-29
14Real Avilés722311:10+18
15Pontevedra72239:10-18
16Deportivo La Coruña II82248:11-38
17Unionistas de Salamanca821510:14-47
18CD Coria712410:15-55
19UD Ourense71243:10-75
20Arenas Getxo70255:18-132

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.17X30%3.07229%3.18

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 00:029 Oct 15:101 2.16X 3.062 3.22
12.01 → 2.16 +7.5%X3.16 → 3.06 -3.2%23.42 → 3.22 -5.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betfair2.101.735.4%
Bet3652.101.706.4%
Pinnacle2.091.706.7%
Betano2.051.707.6%
1xBet2.041.678.9%
Marathonbet2.041.678.9%
BetVictor2.021.689.0%
Best of all books2.101.735.4%
Average2.061.697.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.802.005.6%
BetVictor1.831.878.1%
1xBet1.821.878.4%
Betano1.781.908.8%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
Marathonbet1.821.849.3%
William Hill1.751.919.5%
Best of all books1.832.004.6%
Average1.801.898.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Pontevedra 35%Draw 35%Mérida AD 30%

The statistical model rated Pontevedra at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Mérida AD at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.17 | 3.07 | 3.18, which imply roughly 46.1% for a Pontevedra win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table: Pontevedra are 15th (8 pts, 9-10 goals), Mérida AD 12th (9 pts, 11-12).

Over their last five matches, Pontevedra averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Mérida AD averaged 1.6 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Pontevedra or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.163.063.20

Double chance

1XX212
1.281.591.30

Draw no bet

12
1.562.30

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.801.89

1st half

1X2
2.822.013.82

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.807.652.30

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.048.12
1.51.333.02
2.52.061.69
3.53.641.24
4.57.381.06
5.514.81.02
6.517.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.046.75
11.066.15
1.251.193.80
1.751.422.59
21.552.25
2.251.811.89
2.752.331.51
32.881.34
3.253.141.27
3.754.351.14
46.001.06
4.256.351.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.521.45
-0.52.171.63
-0.251.861.86
01.552.30
+0.251.392.73
+0.51.323.22
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.58.301.01
-2.257.681.02
-27.601.03
-1.755.351.11
-1.54.081.18
-1.253.651.22
-13.311.27
+0.751.194.02
+11.096.05
+1.251.076.53
+1.51.046.85
+1.751.018.90

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.026.70
6.51.173.92
7.51.402.64
8.51.742.00
9.52.191.59
10.52.921.32
11.54.201.14
12.56.471.03
7 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.046.12
71.223.50
81.512.34
91.981.78
102.621.40
113.821.18
126.021.04