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Ponferradina vs Real Avilés• Primera División RFEF - Group 1, Spain

#70.8:0.60-2FT11/10 · Ponferrada1.8:1.8#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.81DAFX3.49PIN24.50BFRMargin at best6.1%Books10Markets65Rating65 · 35Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.823.404.407.1%
Betfair1.803.404.507.2%
BetVictor1.803.404.507.2%
Betano1.783.454.209.0%
Pinnacle1.763.554.149.1%
1xBet1.733.404.3010.5%
Marathonbet1.713.404.2011.7%
Bet3651.753.204.2012.2%
William Hill1.753.204.0013.4%
SBO1.773.073.8914.8%
Best of all books1.823.554.505.3%
Average1.773.354.2310.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PonferradinaReal Avilés
Last 10#7Table position#141.50Points per game1.147Form pts · last 580.8Goals for · last 51.80.6Goals against · last 51.831Attack rating6975Defence rating2562Form rating3880H2H rating20100Goals model065Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:10 UTC

Ponferradina

4W 4D 2L · goals 11:8 · per match 1.1 for, 0.8 against

11 OctHReal Avilés0-2L
4 OctHMirandes1-0W
27 SepAPontevedra1-1D
19 SepHMérida AD1-0W
13 SepADeportivo La Coruña II1-2L
4 SepHLugo0-0D
29 AugAUD Ourense1-0W
19 AugHReal Madrid II2-2D
8 AugAMarino de Luanco3-0W
1 AugHReal Avilés1-1D

Real Avilés

4W 3D 3L · goals 18:13 · per match 1.8 for, 1.3 against

11 OctAPonferradina2-0W
2 OctHLugo1-2L
27 SepABarakaldo3-3D
19 SepACD Coria1-1D
12 SepHUnionistas de Salamanca3-1W
6 SepAAthletic Club II1-2L
28 AugHPontevedra0-1L
21 AugHSporting Gijón II4-2W
15 AugAMosconia2-0W
13 AugARacing Ferrol1-1D

Head to head

2Ponferradina wins
2draws
0Real Avilés wins

4 meetings · goals 7:2 · last 4: 2W 2D 0L for Ponferradina

1 Aug 2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsPonferradina1-1Real Avilés
9 May 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1Primera División RFEF - Group 1Ponferradina3-1Real Avilés
31 Aug 2025Primera División RFEF - Group 1Primera División RFEF - Group 1Real Avilés0-3Ponferradina
2 Aug 2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsReal Avilés0-0Ponferradina

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 tableSegunda B: Group 1updated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table, Ponferradina sit 7th with 12 points from 8 games, while Real Avilés are 14th with 8 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Lugo871015:4+1122
2UD Logroñés751116:10+616
3Racing Ferrol85129:5+416
4Athletic Club II733112:8+412
5Cacereño73317:4+312
6Zamora833210:8+212
7Ponferradina83326:6012
8Cultural Leonesa73228:6+211
9Mirandes832310:10011
10Real Unión824215:13+210
11Extremadura 1924831411:10+110
12Mérida AD730411:12-19
13Barakaldo82338:10-29
14Real Avilés722311:10+18
15Pontevedra72239:10-18
16Deportivo La Coruña II82248:11-38
17Unionistas de Salamanca821510:14-47
18CD Coria712410:15-55
19UD Ourense71243:10-75
20Arenas Getxo70255:18-132

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.77X27%3.34222%4.22

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 00:029 Oct 15:101 1.77X 3.362 4.22
11.82 → 1.77 -2.7%X3.37 → 3.36 -0.3%23.88 → 4.22 +8.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.141.686.3%
Betfair2.151.676.4%
Bet3652.101.706.4%
Betano2.071.678.2%
BetVictor2.071.658.9%
1xBet2.051.669.0%
Marathonbet2.051.669.0%
Best of all books2.151.705.3%
Average2.091.677.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.001.805.6%
Bet3652.001.737.8%
BetVictor1.951.758.4%
1xBet1.931.768.6%
William Hill1.951.739.1%
Marathonbet1.931.749.3%
Betano1.951.729.4%
Best of all books2.001.805.6%
Average1.961.758.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ponferradina 45%Draw 45%Real Avilés 10%

The statistical model rated Ponferradina at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Real Avilés at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.77 | 3.34 | 4.22, which imply roughly 56.5% for a Ponferradina win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table: Ponferradina are 7th (12 pts, 6-6 goals), Real Avilés 14th (8 pts, 11-10).

Over their last five matches, Ponferradina averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Real Avilés averaged 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Ponferradina or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.773.354.23

Double chance

1XX212
1.171.921.25

Draw no bet

12
1.323.16

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.961.75

1st half

1X2
2.362.074.83

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.608.202.71

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.057.85
1.51.342.97
2.52.091.67
3.53.771.22
4.57.301.06
5.515.51.01
6.517.0–
7.521.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.037.30
11.056.65
1.251.183.84
1.751.432.53
21.572.21
2.251.851.85
2.752.391.49
33.011.31
3.253.281.25
3.754.501.13
46.251.06
4.256.551.05
59.20–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.53.141.30
-1.252.791.37
-12.421.49
-0.751.981.73
-0.51.761.99
-0.251.522.33
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.758.181.02
-2.56.501.07
-2.256.101.09
-25.671.10
-1.753.921.20
01.303.17
+0.251.243.57
+0.51.214.25
+0.751.105.50
+11.018.50
+1.251.027.80
+1.51.038.90

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.017.27
6.51.144.18
7.51.362.77
8.51.672.07
9.52.101.66
10.52.771.36
11.53.911.17
12.55.921.05
7 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.036.66
71.193.74
81.462.46
91.891.87
102.481.45
113.561.21
125.501.06