Lugo vs UD Logroñés• Primera División RFEF - Group 1, Spain

#11.2:0.43-1FT12/10 · Estadio Anxo Carro, Lugo2.6:1.2#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.47BTNX3.30BFR22.80BFRMargin at best6.5%Books9Markets43Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 12 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.47	3.25	2.80	7.0%
BetVictor	2.45	3.25	2.80	7.3%
Betfair	2.40	3.30	2.80	7.7%
Betano	2.47	3.05	2.80	9.0%
Pinnacle	2.45	3.09	2.78	9.2%
Bet365	2.40	3.10	2.70	11.0%
1xBet	2.40	2.97	2.74	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.40	2.97	2.74	11.8%
William Hill	2.40	2.90	2.70	13.2%
Best of all books	2.47	3.30	2.80	6.5%
Average	2.43	3.10	2.76	9.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LugoUD Logroñés

Last 10#1Table position#22.75Points per game2.2915Form pts · last 5101.2Goals for · last 52.60.4Goals against · last 51.232Attack rating6875Defence rating2550Form rating5071H2H rating29100Goals model057Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:10 UTC

Lugo

8W 1D 1L · goals 15:6 · per match 1.5 for, 0.6 against

12 Oct	H	UD Logroñés	3-1	W
2 Oct	A	Real Avilés	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	Racing Ferrol	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Zamora	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	CD Coria	1-0	W
4 Sep	A	Ponferradina	0-0	D
30 Aug	A	Unionistas de Salamanca	3-1	W
21 Aug	H	Ourense CF	1-0	W
15 Aug	H	Coruxo	2-1	W
29 Jul	A	Deportivo La Coruna	0-1	L

UD Logroñés

7W 1D 2L · goals 25:12 · per match 2.5 for, 1.2 against

12 Oct	A	Lugo	1-3	L
4 Oct	H	Deportivo La Coruña II	2-1	W
27 Sep	A	Mérida AD	5-3	W
18 Sep	H	Pontevedra	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	UD Ourense	3-0	W
6 Sep	A	Zamora	2-1	W
31 Aug	H	Extremadura 1924	2-1	W
22 Aug	H	Huesca II	4-0	W
21 Aug	H	Mirandes	4-0	W
14 Aug	H	Zaragoza	1-2	L

Head to head

1Lugo wins

1draws

0UD Logroñés wins

2 meetings · goals 4:3 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Lugo

21 Feb 2021Segunda División	Segunda División	Lugo1-1UD Logroñés
24 Oct 2020Segunda División	Segunda División	UD Logroñés2-3Lugo

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 tableSegunda B: Group 1updated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table, Lugo sit 1st with 22 points from 8 games, while UD Logroñés are 2nd with 16 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Lugo	8	7	1	0	15:4	+11	22
2	UD Logroñés	7	5	1	1	16:10	+6	16
3	Racing Ferrol	8	5	1	2	9:5	+4	16
4	Athletic Club II	7	3	3	1	12:8	+4	12
5	Cacereño	7	3	3	1	7:4	+3	12
6	Zamora	8	3	3	2	10:8	+2	12
7	Ponferradina	8	3	3	2	6:6	0	12
8	Cultural Leonesa	7	3	2	2	8:6	+2	11
9	Mirandes	8	3	2	3	10:10	0	11
10	Real Unión	8	2	4	2	15:13	+2	10
11	Extremadura 1924	8	3	1	4	11:10	+1	10
12	Mérida AD	7	3	0	4	11:12	-1	9
13	Barakaldo	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9
14	Real Avilés	7	2	2	3	11:10	+1	8
15	Pontevedra	7	2	2	3	9:10	-1	8
16	Deportivo La Coruña II	8	2	2	4	8:11	-3	8
17	Unionistas de Salamanca	8	2	1	5	10:14	-4	7
18	CD Coria	7	1	2	4	10:15	-5	5
19	UD Ourense	7	1	2	4	3:10	-7	5
20	Arenas Getxo	7	0	2	5	5:18	-13	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.39X29%3.15233%2.76

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.41 → 2.43 +0.8%X3.13 → 3.10 -1.0%22.71 → 2.76 +1.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betfair	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	2.02	1.76	6.3%
Betano	2.02	1.70	8.3%
1xBet	2.04	1.67	8.9%
Marathonbet	2.04	1.67	8.9%
BetVictor	1.97	1.71	9.2%
Best of all books	2.04	1.80	4.6%
Average	2.01	1.73	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.80	2.00	5.6%
BetVictor	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.79	1.90	8.5%
Betano	1.75	1.93	9.0%
William Hill	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.87	9.3%
Best of all books	1.83	2.00	4.6%
Average	1.78	1.92	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lugo 45%Draw 45%UD Logroñés 10%

The statistical model rated Lugo at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and UD Logroñés at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.39 | 3.15 | 2.76, which imply roughly 41.8% for a Lugo win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table: Lugo are 1st (22 pts, 15-4 goals), UD Logroñés 2nd (16 pts, 16-10).

Over their last five matches, Lugo averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; UD Logroñés averaged 2.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Lugo or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.43	3.10	2.76

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.37	1.47	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.73	1.98

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.78	1.92

1st half

1	X	2
3.10	2.02	3.47

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.93	8.15	2.10

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	7.98
1.5	1.32	3.11
2.5	2.01	1.73
3.5	3.47	1.26
4.5	6.90	1.07
5.5	13.3	1.02
6.5	15.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	7.10
1	1.05	6.50
1.25	1.21	3.73
1.75	1.40	2.64
2	1.55	2.25
2.25	1.78	1.91
2.75	2.31	1.52
3	2.87	1.34
3.25	3.20	1.26
3.75	4.50	1.13
4	6.25	1.06
4.25	6.65	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.89	1.35
-0.5	2.40	1.51
-0.25	2.07	1.67
0	1.74	1.98
+0.25	1.52	2.34
+0.5	1.41	2.73

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	9.40	1.02
-1.75	6.50	1.07
-1.5	4.90	1.13
-1.25	4.47	1.15
-1	4.01	1.20
+0.75	1.27	3.38
+1	1.13	4.82
+1.25	1.11	5.35
+1.5	1.09	5.82
+1.75	1.02	7.80