Real AvilésvsLugo• Primera División RFEF - Group 1,Spain
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Real Avilés13th5 pts
Lugo2nd13 pts
Real Avilés13th5 pts
Lugo2nd13 ptsIn the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table, Real Avilés sit 13th with 5 points from 5 games, while Lugo are 2nd with 13 points from 5 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Real Avilés at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Lugo at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.37 | 3.24 | 2.82, which imply roughly 30.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table: Real Avilés are 13th (5 pts, 8-8 goals), Lugo 2nd (13 pts, 7-2).
Over their last five matches, Real Avilés averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Lugo averaged 1.4 scored and 0.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Lugo.
Real Avilés vs Lugo — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  UD Logroñés | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 2 |  Lugo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 3 |  Athletic Club II | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 |  Cacereño | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 5 |  Mirandes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 |  Pontevedra | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Deportivo La Coruña II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 |  Ponferradina | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 |  Cultural Leonesa | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 |  Real Unión | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 |  Zamora | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 12 |  Racing Ferrol | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Real Avilés | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 14 |  CD Coria | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Barakaldo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 16 |  Extremadura 1924 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 |  Mérida AD | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 18 |  Unionistas de Salamanca | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 19 |  UD Ourense | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 20 |  Arenas Getxo | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.37
X
3.24
2
2.82
Double chance
1X
1.35
X2
1.50
12
1.28
Both teams to score
Yes
1.77
No
1.88
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.32
Under 1.5
3.07
Over 2.5
2.01
Under 2.5
1.73
Over 3.5
3.45
Under 3.5
1.25
Over 0.5
1.06
Under 0.5
7.93
Over 4.5
6.61
Under 4.5
1.06
Over 5.5
10.50
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
17.00
Over 1.75
1.37
Under 1.75
2.66
Over 2
1.49
Under 2
2.30
Over 2.25
1.78
Under 2.25
1.93
Over 2.75
2.28
Under 2.75
1.50
Over 0.75
1.02
Under 0.75
8.30
Over 1
1.03
Under 1
7.50
Over 1.25
1.17
Under 1.25
4.36
Over 3
2.83
Under 3
1.33
Over 3.25
3.28
Under 3.25
1.27
Over 3.75
4.50
Under 3.75
1.13
Over 4
6.40
Under 4
1.05
Over 4.25
7.04
Under 4.25
1.05
Draw no bet
1
1.70
2
1.98
Asian handicap
Away 2.5
1.01
1st half
1
3.05
X
2.06
2
3.47
First team to score
Home
1.90
No Goal
9.00
Away
2.09