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Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club• La Liga, Spain

#121.8:2.612:00Tomorrow · Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid1.2:0.6#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.881XBX3.481XB22.68PINMargin at best0.8%Books10Markets89Rating36 · 64Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 16:16 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.883.482.631.5%
Pinnacle2.783.362.663.3%
Dafabet2.753.402.604.2%
Marathonbet2.803.382.564.4%
Betfair2.703.402.634.5%
Bet3652.703.402.604.9%
Betano2.723.352.605.1%
BetVictor2.703.402.555.7%
William Hill2.703.202.508.3%
SBO2.523.082.4413.1%
Best of all books2.883.482.661.1%
Average2.723.342.585.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club
Last 10#12Table position#101.14Points per game1.337Form pts · last 5111.8Goals for · last 51.22.6Goals against · last 50.660Attack rating4019Defence rating8147Form rating537H2H rating9354Goals model4636Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:52 UTC

Rayo Vallecano

3W 2D 5L · goals 15:23 · per match 1.5 for, 2.3 against

19 SepAOsasuna1-1D
15 SepHEspanyol2-1W
12 SepAReal Madrid1-4L
5 SepHRacing Santander3-2W
31 AugABarcelona2-5L
20 AugHAlaves1-1D
15 AugASevilla1-2L
8 AugAIpswich0-3L
1 AugACharleroi3-2W
26 JulAFeyenoord1-2L

Athletic Club

3W 2D 5L · goals 10:13 · per match 1.0 for, 1.3 against

2 OctAReal Sociedad1-0W
19 SepHAlaves0-0D
12 SepHElche1-1D
5 SepHAtletico Madrid3-0W
30 AugACelta Vigo2-0W
27 AugABarcelona0-2L
22 AugHSevilla1-3L
21 AugAZaragoza1-3L
14 AugAAtalanta0-1L
9 AugAMarseille1-3L

Head to head

3Rayo Vallecano wins
5draws
14Athletic Club wins

22 meetings · goals 20:39 · last 10: 1W 2D 7L for Rayo Vallecano

28 Feb 2026La LigaLa LigaRayo Vallecano1-1Athletic Club
25 Aug 2025La LigaLa LigaAthletic Club1-0Rayo Vallecano
13 Apr 2025La LigaLa LigaAthletic Club3-1Rayo Vallecano
1 Dec 2024La LigaLa LigaRayo Vallecano1-2Athletic Club
25 May 2024La LigaLa LigaRayo Vallecano0-1Athletic Club
2 Dec 2023La LigaLa LigaAthletic Club4-0Rayo Vallecano
5 Mar 2023La LigaLa LigaRayo Vallecano0-0Athletic Club
17 Sep 2022La LigaLa LigaAthletic Club3-2Rayo Vallecano
23 Jan 2022La LigaLa LigaRayo Vallecano0-1Athletic Club
21 Sep 2021La LigaLa LigaAthletic Club1-2Rayo Vallecano

La Liga tableLa Ligaupdated 9 Oct 21:01 UTC

In the La Liga table, Rayo Vallecano sit 12th with 8 points from 7 games, while Athletic Club are 10th with 8 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Barcelona770031:7+2421
2Atletico Madrid751116:7+916
3Real Betis75119:7+216
4Real Madrid750218:8+1015
5Sevilla741210:9+113
6Alaves732211:6+511
7Deportivo La Coruna724110:8+210
8Real Sociedad73139:13-410
9Villarreal722313:12+18
10Athletic Club62227:6+18
11Getafe72234:7-38
12Rayo Vallecano722311:16-58
13Osasuna72236:13-78
14Celta Vigo71428:6+27
15Espanyol721410:1007
16Racing Santander721411:21-107
17Levante61238:12-45
18Elche712411:17-65
19Valencia71154:13-94
20Malaga70343:12-93

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.71X28%3.33237%2.58

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Oct 00:028 Oct 03:311 2.71X 3.332 2.58
12.94 → 2.71 -7.8%X3.36 → 3.33 -0.9%22.34 → 2.58 +10.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.971.971.5%
Pinnacle1.991.902.9%
Betano1.931.933.6%
SBO1.941.923.6%
Bet3651.911.914.7%
Marathonbet1.911.914.7%
Betfair1.901.876.1%
BetVictor1.851.829.0%
Best of all books1.991.971.0%
Average1.931.904.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.672.156.4%
William Hill1.672.156.4%
1xBet1.672.107.5%
Betano1.672.107.5%
Bet3651.702.057.6%
Marathonbet1.672.078.2%
BetVictor1.672.058.7%
Best of all books1.702.155.3%
Average1.672.107.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Rayo Vallecano 10%Draw 45%Athletic Club 45%

The statistical model rates Rayo Vallecano at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Athletic Club at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.71 | 3.33 | 2.58, which imply roughly 30% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the La Liga table: Rayo Vallecano are 12th (8 pts, 11-16 goals), Athletic Club 10th (8 pts, 7-6).

Over their last five matches, Rayo Vallecano averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Athletic Club averaged 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Athletic Club.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.723.352.58

Double chance

1XX212
1.491.441.32

Draw no bet

12
1.911.83

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.672.10

1st half

1X2
3.302.133.11

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.069.801.98

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.039.70
1.51.293.48
2.51.931.90
3.53.171.33
4.56.071.10
5.512.11.04
6.522.51.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.028.20
11.037.60
1.251.164.37
1.751.353.04
21.452.69
2.251.692.19
2.752.141.69
32.551.49
3.252.841.40
3.753.631.22
44.951.12
4.255.201.10
510.01.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.651.48
-0.252.361.60
01.981.86
+0.251.692.16
+0.51.522.53
+0.751.373.00
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.511.01.02
-211.01.01
-1.756.871.06
-1.55.551.12
-1.254.991.14
-14.581.18
-0.753.341.31
+11.214.16
+1.251.174.53
+1.51.145.03
+1.751.086.32
+21.018.90
+2.51.0210.4

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
1.51.058.50
2.51.164.85
3.51.353.03
4.51.821.92
5.52.401.53
6.53.251.31
7.54.701.17
8.56.701.09
9.59.001.04
2 more lines
LineOverUnder
41.472.61
52.081.73

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0114.0
4.51.0212.0
5.51.0210.1
6.51.076.29
7.51.164.22
8.51.332.98
9.51.592.23
10.51.981.75
11.52.521.45
12.53.351.25
13.54.561.14
14.56.261.07
15.58.881.04
16.510.81.03
17.512.51.01
18.514.01.01
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.084.75
81.193.39
8.751.362.69
91.442.55
9.251.512.32
9.751.722.06
101.811.99
10.251.881.78
10.752.111.57
112.271.55
11.252.431.43
11.752.791.29
122.781.29
12.253.241.20
133.691.16
144.791.08