OddsFilter

Elche vs Celta Vigo• La Liga, Spain

#182.0:2.212:00Tomorrow · Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche1.4:0.8#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.931XBX3.40BFR22.71PINMargin at best0.4%Books10Markets89Rating33 · 67Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 13:42 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.933.322.681.6%
Pinnacle2.803.332.673.2%
Marathonbet2.853.242.614.3%
Betfair2.803.302.604.5%
Dafabet2.803.302.604.5%
Betano2.753.302.624.8%
Bet3652.803.202.625.1%
William Hill2.803.102.508.0%
BetVictor2.633.202.509.3%
SBO2.563.042.4313.1%
Best of all books2.933.332.681.5%
Average2.773.232.585.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ElcheCelta Vigo
Last 10#18Table position#150.71Points per game1.004Form pts · last 562.0Goals for · last 51.42.2Goals against · last 50.859Attack rating4127Defence rating7340Form rating6020H2H rating8022Goals model7833Overall rating67

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:11 UTC

Elche

1W 5D 4L · goals 15:21 · per match 1.5 for, 2.1 against

18 SepAEspanyol3-1W
15 SepHReal Madrid2-3L
12 SepAAthletic Club1-1D
7 SepHReal Sociedad2-3L
28 AugARacing Santander2-3L
23 AugHBarcelona0-5L
17 AugADeportivo La Coruna1-1D
31 JulHCordoba2-2D
28 JulHAl Ain2-2D
24 JulHJohor Darul Takzim FC0-0D

Celta Vigo

2W 5D 3L · goals 13:9 · per match 1.3 for, 0.9 against

19 SepHRacing Santander5-0W
16 SepAOmonia Nicosia0-1L
13 SepHMalaga1-1D
7 SepAGetafe1-1D
3 SepAReal Sociedad0-0D
30 AugHAthletic Club0-2L
27 AugHOsasuna1-2L
22 AugAValencia0-0D
8 AugANapoli1-1D
5 AugASassuolo4-1W

Head to head

4Elche wins
2draws
6Celta Vigo wins

12 meetings · goals 9:13 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for Elche

3 May 2026La LigaLa LigaCelta Vigo3-1Elche
28 Sep 2025La LigaLa LigaElche2-1Celta Vigo
26 Apr 2023La LigaLa LigaCelta Vigo1-0Elche
6 Jan 2023La LigaLa LigaElche0-1Celta Vigo
15 May 2022La LigaLa LigaCelta Vigo1-0Elche
3 Oct 2021La LigaLa LigaElche1-0Celta Vigo
12 Feb 2021La LigaLa LigaCelta Vigo3-1Elche
6 Nov 2020La LigaLa LigaElche1-1Celta Vigo
2 Mar 2015La LigaLa LigaCelta Vigo1-1Elche
26 Sep 2014La LigaLa LigaElche0-1Celta Vigo

La Liga tableLa Ligaupdated 9 Oct 23:10 UTC

In the La Liga table, Elche sit 18th with 5 points from 7 games, while Celta Vigo are 15th with 7 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Barcelona770031:7+2421
2Atletico Madrid751116:7+916
3Real Betis75119:7+216
4Real Madrid750218:8+1015
5Sevilla741210:9+113
6Alaves732211:6+511
7Deportivo La Coruna724110:8+210
8Real Sociedad73139:13-410
9Villarreal722313:12+18
10Athletic Club62227:6+18
11Espanyol822411:1108
12Getafe72234:7-38
13Rayo Vallecano722311:16-58
14Osasuna72236:13-78
15Celta Vigo71428:6+27
16Racing Santander721411:21-107
17Levante61238:12-45
18Elche712411:17-65
19Valencia71154:13-94
20Malaga80444:13-94

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.77X29%3.23237%2.58

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.121.841.5%
Pinnacle2.031.863.0%
SBO2.021.843.9%
Betano2.001.854.1%
Marathonbet2.061.784.7%
Bet3652.001.805.6%
Betfair2.051.755.9%
BetVictor1.921.768.9%
Best of all books2.121.860.9%
Average2.031.814.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.801.956.8%
Betano1.722.056.9%
Bet3651.752.007.1%
William Hill1.752.007.1%
1xBet1.761.977.6%
Marathonbet1.761.958.1%
BetVictor1.702.008.8%
Best of all books1.802.054.3%
Average1.751.997.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Elche 10%Draw 45%Celta Vigo 45%

The statistical model rates Elche at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Celta Vigo at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.77 | 3.23 | 2.58, which imply roughly 31% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the La Liga table: Elche are 18th (5 pts, 11-17 goals), Celta Vigo 15th (7 pts, 8-6).

Over their last five matches, Elche averaged 2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Celta Vigo averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Celta Vigo.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.773.232.58

Double chance

1XX212
1.491.421.34

Draw no bet

12
1.941.81

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.751.99

1st half

1X2
3.372.083.17

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.069.351.98

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.049.07
1.51.313.28
2.52.031.81
3.53.441.29
4.56.951.08
5.513.61.03
6.524.71.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.028.15
11.066.78
1.251.194.23
1.751.402.86
21.522.49
2.251.792.05
2.752.321.62
32.791.42
3.253.091.33
3.754.191.17
46.151.07
4.256.551.05
511.01.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.691.47
-0.252.341.61
01.991.86
+0.251.662.19
+0.51.502.57
+0.751.353.11
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.511.01.02
-211.51.01
-1.758.071.03
-1.55.911.10
-1.255.391.12
-14.831.16
-0.753.371.31
+11.194.38
+1.251.154.79
+1.51.135.25
+1.751.077.35
+21.0210.5
+2.51.0211.3

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
1.51.058.25
2.51.164.75
3.51.382.92
4.51.752.05
5.52.351.55
6.53.301.30
7.54.801.16
8.56.801.08
9.59.251.04

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
2.51.0114.0
3.51.0211.3
4.51.058.75
5.51.115.24
6.51.253.38
7.51.492.44
8.51.891.86
9.52.451.49
10.53.371.26
11.54.721.14
12.56.581.07
13.58.791.02
14.511.31.02
15.513.01.01
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
51.045.65
5.751.114.66
61.114.30
6.251.213.56
6.751.193.32
71.252.95
7.251.342.76
7.751.502.37
81.592.25
8.251.722.05
8.751.951.80
92.051.70
9.252.171.53
9.752.531.39
102.651.41
10.253.021.28
10.754.401.13
113.471.18
11.255.601.06
124.641.09
135.821.04