OddsFilter

Valencia vs Real Sociedad• La Liga, Spain

#190.4:2.02-3FT20/09 · Estadio de Mestalla, Valdivia1.2:2.0#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.85PINX3.491XB22.651XBMargin at best1.5%Books9Markets83Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Sep 13:55 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.823.512.661.5%
Pinnacle2.753.412.653.4%
Marathonbet2.753.422.594.2%
Betfair2.803.502.504.3%
Bet3652.703.402.604.9%
Betano2.703.352.625.1%
William Hill2.623.252.508.9%
BetVictor2.603.252.509.2%
SBO2.523.082.4413.1%
Best of all books2.823.512.661.5%
Average2.703.352.566.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ValenciaReal Sociedad
Last 10#19Table position#80.57Points per game1.433Form pts · last 560.4Goals for · last 51.22.0Goals against · last 52.025Attack rating7550Defence rating5030Form rating7050H2H rating500Goals model10040Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:11 UTC

Valencia

1W 2D 7L · goals 6:17 · per match 0.6 for, 1.7 against

20 SepHReal Sociedad2-3L
15 SepAAlaves1-0W
11 SepASevilla0-1L
6 SepHBarcelona0-5L
30 AugADeportivo La Coruna1-3L
25 AugHReal Betis0-1L
22 AugHCelta Vigo0-0D
12 AugHTeruel0-1L
8 AugHNewcastle1-2L
1 AugAStoke City1-1D

Real Sociedad

3W 1D 6L · goals 11:19 · per match 1.1 for, 1.9 against

2 OctHAthletic Club0-1L
20 SepAValencia3-2W
17 SepHBournemouth1-2L
13 SepHAtletico Madrid0-3L
7 SepAElche3-2W
3 SepHCelta Vigo0-0D
29 AugHEspanyol2-1W
26 AugAReal Madrid1-4L
21 AugAReal Betis0-1L
15 AugAChelsea1-3L

Head to head

10Valencia wins
8draws
14Real Sociedad wins

32 meetings · goals 35:44 · last 10: 3W 4D 3L for Valencia

17 May 2026La LigaLa LigaReal Sociedad3-4Valencia
16 Aug 2025La LigaLa LigaValencia1-1Real Sociedad
19 Jan 2025La LigaLa LigaValencia1-0Real Sociedad
28 Sep 2024La LigaLa LigaReal Sociedad3-0Valencia
16 May 2024La LigaLa LigaReal Sociedad1-0Valencia
27 Sep 2023La LigaLa LigaValencia0-1Real Sociedad
25 Feb 2023La LigaLa LigaValencia1-0Real Sociedad
6 Nov 2022La LigaLa LigaReal Sociedad1-1Valencia
6 Feb 2022La LigaLa LigaValencia0-0Real Sociedad
21 Nov 2021La LigaLa LigaReal Sociedad0-0Valencia

La Liga tableLa Ligaupdated 9 Oct 23:10 UTC

In the La Liga table, Valencia sit 19th with 4 points from 7 games, while Real Sociedad are 8th with 10 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Barcelona770031:7+2421
2Atletico Madrid751116:7+916
3Real Betis75119:7+216
4Real Madrid750218:8+1015
5Sevilla741210:9+113
6Alaves732211:6+511
7Deportivo La Coruna724110:8+210
8Real Sociedad73139:13-410
9Villarreal722313:12+18
10Athletic Club62227:6+18
11Espanyol822411:1108
12Getafe72234:7-38
13Rayo Vallecano722311:16-58
14Osasuna72236:13-78
15Celta Vigo71428:6+27
16Racing Santander721411:21-107
17Levante61238:12-45
18Elche712411:17-65
19Valencia71154:13-94
20Malaga80444:13-94

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.80X29%3.34237%2.54

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.981.961.5%
Pinnacle2.001.892.9%
SBO1.941.923.6%
Betano1.931.914.2%
Bet3651.911.914.7%
Marathonbet1.921.904.7%
Betfair1.901.876.1%
BetVictor1.851.829.0%
Best of all books2.001.961.0%
Average1.931.904.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.732.056.6%
William Hill1.732.056.6%
Betano1.702.077.1%
1xBet1.692.077.5%
Bet3651.702.057.6%
Marathonbet1.692.048.2%
BetVictor1.672.058.7%
Best of all books1.732.076.1%
Average1.702.057.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Valencia 10%Draw 45%Real Sociedad 45%

The statistical model rated Valencia at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Real Sociedad at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.80 | 3.34 | 2.54, which imply roughly 29.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the La Liga table: Valencia are 19th (4 pts, 4-13 goals), Real Sociedad 8th (10 pts, 9-13).

Over their last five matches, Valencia averaged 0.4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Real Sociedad averaged 1.2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Real Sociedad.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Valencia

4-4-2

Coach: Óscar Sánchez

Goalkeeper

  • 1S. Dimitrievski

Defence

  • 24Pablo Maffeo
  • 18Pepelu
  • 12J. de Haas
  • 14José Gayà

Midfield

  • 33Aaron Mayol
  • 23F. Ugrinic
  • 2G. Rodríguez
  • 7A. Danjuma

Attack

  • 8Javi Guerra
  • 9Hugo Duro
Substitutes (12)
  • 36Iker Córdoba
  • 15A. Dieng
  • 10H. Elliott
  • 22Arnau Martínez
  • 27David Otorbi
  • 29Alex Panach
  • 19Dani Raba
  • 11Luis Rioja
  • 39R. Sato
  • 21Jesús Vázquez
  • 25K. van Oevelen
  • 37Aimar Blázquez

Real Sociedad

4-4-2

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Goalkeeper

  • 1Álex Remiro

Defence

  • 2J. Aramburu
  • 34Luken Beitia
  • 6Jon Martín
  • 17Sergio Gómez

Midfield

  • 11Gonçalo Guedes
  • 4Jon Gorrotxategi
  • 18Carlos Soler
  • 12J. Ochieng

Attack

  • 24L. Sučić
  • 10Mikel Oyarzabal
Substitutes (12)
  • 7Barrenetxea
  • 22Héctor Fort
  • 21Y. Herrera
  • 14T. Kubo
  • 29Alex Garcia
  • 13Unai Marrero
  • 3Aihen Muñoz
  • 16Jon Pacheco
  • 19M. Sarr
  • 8Beñat Turrientes
  • 23A. Zakharyan
  • 9O. Óskarsson

Match Statistics

ValenciaReal Sociedad
358Passes accurate303
12Shots insidebox15
9Shots outsidebox6
8Blocked Shots7
11Free Kicks9
5Shots on Goal6
3Goalkeeper Saves4
8Shots off Goal8
2Offsides2
425Total passes370
21Total Shots21
2Yellow Cards1
7Corner Kicks5
0Red Cards1
9Fouls12
54%Ball Possession46%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.703.352.56

Double chance

1XX212
1.501.451.30

Draw no bet

12
1.911.83

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.702.05

1st half

1X2
3.282.143.12

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.059.801.99

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.039.66
1.51.293.45
2.51.931.90
3.53.181.33
4.56.151.10
5.512.31.03
6.522.51.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.028.20
11.037.60
1.251.174.34
1.751.363.05
21.462.65
2.251.702.17
2.752.171.68
32.591.48
3.252.881.39
3.753.691.21
45.051.11
4.255.351.09
510.51.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.641.48
-0.252.321.62
01.971.88
+0.251.672.19
+0.51.512.54
+0.751.353.06
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.351.02
-29.201.02
-1.756.771.06
-1.55.381.13
-1.254.971.14
-14.521.18
-0.753.251.33
+11.204.23
+1.251.164.56
+1.51.145.01
+1.751.086.39
+2.51.0211.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
3.51.343.10
4.51.672.10
51.951.83
5.52.251.60
6.53.101.33
7.54.451.18

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0212.0
4.51.049.25
5.51.066.57
6.51.174.17
7.51.372.84
8.51.672.11
9.52.111.67
10.52.761.39
11.53.951.19
12.55.601.09
13.57.871.03
14.510.01.03
15.512.01.02
16.514.01.01
17.514.01.01
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.065.07
6.751.174.05
71.173.55
7.251.283.22
7.751.392.72
81.402.67
8.251.542.32
8.751.731.99
91.881.91
9.251.941.73
9.752.221.54
102.251.57
10.252.591.39
112.851.27
123.851.14
135.021.07