OddsFilter

Sevilla vs Barcelona• La Liga, Spain

#51.4:1.01-3FT19/09 · Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Seville4.6:1.2#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

110.0AVGX6.58AVG21.26AVGMargin4.5%Rating31 · 70Exp. goals L54.1

Price board · 1X2

Average 1X2: 10.0 | 6.58 | 1.26. No per-bookmaker prices for this match.

Team comparison

SevillaBarcelona
Last 10#5Table position#11.86Points per game3.007Form pts · last 5151.4Goals for · last 54.61.0Goals against · last 51.223Attack rating7755Defence rating4540Form rating6020H2H rating8010Goals model9031Overall rating70

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 18:32 UTC

Sevilla

5W 1D 4L · goals 13:14 · per match 1.3 for, 1.4 against

2 OctHAston Villa1-3L
19 SepHBarcelona1-3L
16 SepADeportivo La Coruna1-0W
11 SepHValencia1-0W
6 SepAEspanyol1-1D
29 AugHAtletico Madrid1-3L
22 AugAAthletic Club3-1W
15 AugHRayo Vallecano2-1W
8 AugABayer Leverkusen1-2L
2 AugAUtrecht1-0W

Barcelona

10W 0D 0L · goals 43:11 · per match 4.3 for, 1.1 against

19 SepASevilla3-1W
16 SepHRacing Santander7-2W
13 SepALevante4-2W
9 SepHFeyenoord5-1W
6 SepAValencia5-0W
31 AugHRayo Vallecano5-2W
27 AugHAthletic Club2-0W
23 AugAElche5-0W
19 AugHAl Ahly2-1W
16 AugAFC Basel 18935-2W

Head to head

4Sevilla wins
7draws
28Barcelona wins

39 meetings · goals 38:96 · last 10: 1W 1D 8L for Sevilla

15 Mar 2026La LigaLa LigaBarcelona5-2Sevilla
5 Oct 2025La LigaLa LigaSevilla4-1Barcelona
9 Feb 2025La LigaLa LigaSevilla1-4Barcelona
20 Oct 2024La LigaLa LigaBarcelona5-1Sevilla
26 May 2024La LigaLa LigaSevilla1-2Barcelona
29 Sep 2023La LigaLa LigaBarcelona1-0Sevilla
5 Feb 2023La LigaLa LigaBarcelona3-0Sevilla
3 Sep 2022La LigaLa LigaSevilla0-3Barcelona
3 Apr 2022La LigaLa LigaBarcelona1-0Sevilla
21 Dec 2021La LigaLa LigaSevilla1-1Barcelona

La Liga tableLa Ligaupdated 9 Oct 23:10 UTC

In the La Liga table, Sevilla sit 5th with 13 points from 7 games, while Barcelona are 1st with 21 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Barcelona770031:7+2421
2Atletico Madrid751116:7+916
3Real Betis75119:7+216
4Real Madrid750218:8+1015
5Sevilla741210:9+113
6Alaves732211:6+511
7Deportivo La Coruna724110:8+210
8Real Sociedad73139:13-410
9Villarreal722313:12+18
10Athletic Club62227:6+18
11Espanyol822411:1108
12Getafe72234:7-38
13Rayo Vallecano722311:16-58
14Osasuna72236:13-78
15Celta Vigo71428:6+27
16Racing Santander721411:21-107
17Levante61238:12-45
18Elche712411:17-65
19Valencia71154:13-94
20Malaga80444:13-94

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg110%10.0X15%6.58276%1.26

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.5% margin.

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sevilla 10%Draw 45%Barcelona 45%

The statistical model rated Sevilla at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Barcelona at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 10.04 | 6.58 | 1.26, which imply roughly 15.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the La Liga table: Sevilla are 5th (13 pts, 10-9 goals), Barcelona 1st (21 pts, 31-7).

Over their last five matches, Sevilla averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Barcelona averaged 4.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Barcelona and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Sevilla

4-2-3-1

Coach: Luis García

Goalkeeper

  • 1O. Vlachodimos

Defence

  • 2Juan Iglesias
  • 12A. Sangante
  • 5Andrés Castrín
  • 17G. Suazo

Midfield

  • 6L. Agoumé
  • 8G. Kochorashvili
  • 30M. Sierra
  • 24Y. Fofana
  • 20Félix Correia

Attack

  • 9R. Ure
Substitutes (12)
  • 22José Ángel Carmona
  • 14Manu Bueno
  • 3Julio Díaz del Romo
  • 21C. Ejuke
  • 13Fran González
  • 7Alfon González
  • 18Jon Guridi
  • 23Marcão
  • 34Iker Ortín Muñoz
  • 10Peque Fernández
  • 16Isaac
  • 27N. Guillen

Barcelona

4-3-3

Coach: H. Flick

Goalkeeper

  • 25D. Livaković

Defence

  • 24Eric García
  • 5Pau Cubarsí Paredes
  • 15A. Christensen
  • 2João Cancelo

Midfield

  • 7Fermín
  • 16Rodri
  • 8Pedri

Attack

  • 10Lamine Yamal
  • 11Raphinha
  • 17A. Gordon
Substitutes (12)
  • 14K. Adeyemi
  • 3Alejandro Balde
  • 22Marc Bernal
  • 12X. Espart
  • 9Gabriel Jesus
  • 6Gavi
  • 23J. Koundé
  • 18Gerard Martín
  • 20Dani Olmo
  • 35I. Rodriguez
  • 13W. Szczęsny
  • 29H. Abdelkarim

Match Statistics

SevillaBarcelona
203Passes accurate581
3Shots insidebox12
4Shots outsidebox12
11Free Kicks8
3Shots on Goal7
5Goalkeeper Saves2
4Shots off Goal12
5Offsides2
278Total passes642
7Total Shots24
1Yellow Cards0
1Corner Kicks3
0Blocked Shots5
10Fouls11
0Red Cards0
30%Ball Possession70%