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Athletic Club vs Alaves• La Liga, Spain

#101.4:1.20-0FT19/09 · San Mamés Stadium, Bilbao1.6:1.2#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.64AVGX3.97AVG25.42AVGMargin4.6%Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2

Average 1X2: 1.64 | 3.97 | 5.42. No per-bookmaker prices for this match.

Team comparison

Athletic ClubAlaves
Last 10#10Table position#61.33Points per game1.5711Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 51.61.2Goals against · last 51.247Attack rating5350Defence rating5050Form rating5050H2H rating5059Goals model4152Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:52 UTC

Athletic Club

3W 2D 5L · goals 10:13 · per match 1.0 for, 1.3 against

2 OctAReal Sociedad1-0W
19 SepHAlaves0-0D
12 SepHElche1-1D
5 SepHAtletico Madrid3-0W
30 AugACelta Vigo2-0W
27 AugABarcelona0-2L
22 AugHSevilla1-3L
21 AugAZaragoza1-3L
14 AugAAtalanta0-1L
9 AugAMarseille1-3L

Alaves

5W 3D 2L · goals 16:7 · per match 1.6 for, 0.7 against

19 SepAAthletic Club0-0D
15 SepHValencia0-1L
12 SepARacing Santander1-2L
6 SepHOsasuna5-2W
28 AugHVillarreal1-0W
20 AugARayo Vallecano1-1D
15 AugHGetafe3-0W
7 AugARacing Santander1-1D
31 JulHCastellón3-0W
25 JulAGirona1-0W

Head to head

8Athletic Club wins
7draws
6Alaves wins

21 meetings · goals 21:14 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Athletic Club

2 May 2026La LigaLa LigaAlaves2-4Athletic Club
13 Sep 2025La LigaLa LigaAthletic Club0-1Alaves
22 Jul 2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsAlaves1-0Athletic Club
11 May 2025La LigaLa LigaAthletic Club1-0Alaves
15 Dec 2024La LigaLa LigaAlaves1-1Athletic Club
16 Mar 2024La LigaLa LigaAthletic Club2-0Alaves
16 Jan 2024Copa del ReyCopa del ReyAthletic Club2-0Alaves
22 Sep 2023La LigaLa LigaAlaves0-2Athletic Club
6 Aug 2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsAthletic Club1-1Alaves
9 Jan 2022La LigaLa LigaAlaves0-0Athletic Club

La Liga tableLa Ligaupdated 9 Oct 23:10 UTC

In the La Liga table, Athletic Club sit 10th with 8 points from 6 games, while Alaves are 6th with 11 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Barcelona770031:7+2421
2Atletico Madrid751116:7+916
3Real Betis75119:7+216
4Real Madrid750218:8+1015
5Sevilla741210:9+113
6Alaves732211:6+511
7Deportivo La Coruna724110:8+210
8Real Sociedad73139:13-410
9Villarreal722313:12+18
10Athletic Club62227:6+18
11Espanyol822411:1108
12Getafe72234:7-38
13Rayo Vallecano722311:16-58
14Osasuna72236:13-78
15Celta Vigo71428:6+27
16Racing Santander721411:21-107
17Levante61238:12-45
18Elche712411:17-65
19Valencia71154:13-94
20Malaga80444:13-94

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.64X24%3.97218%5.42

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Athletic Club 45%Draw 45%Alaves 10%

The statistical model rated Athletic Club at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Alaves at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.64 | 3.97 | 5.42, which imply roughly 61% for a Athletic Club win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the La Liga table: Athletic Club are 10th (8 pts, 7-6 goals), Alaves 6th (11 pts, 11-6).

Over their last five matches, Athletic Club averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Alaves averaged 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Athletic Club or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Athletic Club

4-2-3-1

Coach: E. Terzić

Goalkeeper

  • 1Unai Simón

Defence

  • 31J. Louis-Jean
  • 4Aitor Paredes
  • 14Aymeric Laporte
  • 17Yuri

Midfield

  • 16Ruíz de Galarreta
  • 18Mikel Jauregizar
  • 23Robert Navarro
  • 8Oihan Sancet
  • 10Nico Williams

Attack

  • 9I. Williams
Substitutes (12)
  • 25Álvaro Djaló
  • 28Peio Canales
  • 7Álex Berenguer
  • 12Jesús Areso
  • 24Beñat Gerenabarrena
  • 13Álex Padilla
  • 6Beñat Prados
  • 20Alejandro Rego
  • 15Hugo Rincón
  • 21Maroan Sannadi
  • 22Nico Serrano
  • 5Yeray

Alaves

4-4-2

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Goalkeeper

  • 1Sivera

Defence

  • 14N. Tenaglia
  • 16V. Koski
  • 2N. Valentini
  • 17Jonny

Midfield

  • 19Pablo Ibáñez
  • 6Guevara
  • 23C. Benavídez
  • 21A. Rebbach

Attack

  • 9M. Díaz
  • 15L. Boyé
Substitutes (12)
  • 8Antonio Blanco
  • 24Selu Diallo
  • 3Yusi
  • 29Izei Hernández
  • 11Toni Martínez
  • 12Hugo Novoa
  • 27X. Olaiz
  • 7Angel Pérez
  • 13A. Giménez
  • 22Miguel Rodríguez
  • 4Denis Suárez
  • 10Carles Aleñá

Match Statistics

Athletic ClubAlaves
560Passes accurate208
9Shots insidebox0
15Shots outsidebox2
8Blocked Shots0
12Free Kicks14
6Shots on Goal0
10Shots off Goal2
620Total passes279
24Total Shots2
2Yellow Cards0
5Corner Kicks1
0Goalkeeper Saves6
0Offsides3
14Fouls13
0Red Cards0
69%Ball Possession31%