Malaga18th3 pts
Villarreal19th2 pts
Malaga18th3 pts
Villarreal19th2 ptsIn the La Liga table, Malaga sit 18th with 3 points from 5 games, while Villarreal are 19th with 2 points from 5 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Malaga at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Villarreal at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.61 | 3.79 | 1.97, which imply roughly 26.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the La Liga table: Malaga are 18th (3 pts, 2-8 goals), Villarreal 19th (2 pts, 7-10).
Over their last five matches, Malaga averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Villarreal averaged 1.4 scored and 2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Villarreal.
Malaga vs Villarreal — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 |
| 3 |  Atletico Madrid | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 |
| 4 |  Sevilla | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| 6 |  Alaves | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Espanyol | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 |  Athletic Club | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 |  Racing Santander | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Rayo Vallecano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 12 |  Real Sociedad | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Osasuna | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 14 |  Levante | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Getafe | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 16 |  Celta Vigo | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 17 |  Valencia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 18 |  Malaga | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Elche | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
3.56
X
3.72
2
1.96
Double chance
1X
1.84
X2
1.28
12
1.25
Both teams to score
Yes
1.55
No
2.32
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.19
Under 1.5
4.45
Over 2.5
1.64
Under 2.5
2.29
Over 3.5
2.53
Under 3.5
1.50
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
13.81
Over 4.5
4.47
Under 4.5
1.18
Over 7.5
34.00
Over 5.5
8.30
Under 5.5
1.05
Over 6.5
17.00
Under 6.5
1.02
Over 1.75
1.23
Under 1.75
3.91
Over 2
1.29
Under 2
3.47
Over 2.25
1.46
Under 2.25
2.71
Over 2.75
1.79
Under 2.75
2.05
Under 1
10.23
Over 1.25
1.09
Under 1.25
5.87
Over 3
2.00
Under 3
1.79
Over 3.25
2.24
Under 3.25
1.61
Over 3.75
2.90
Under 3.75
1.37
Over 4
3.61
Under 4
1.24
Over 4.25
3.81
Under 4.25
1.19
Over 4.75
5.13
Under 4.75
1.10
Over 5
6.93
Under 5
1.04
Draw no bet
1
2.61
2
1.44
Asian handicap
Away -3.5
12.00
1st half
1
3.87
X
2.33
2
2.46
First team to score
Home
2.30
No Goal
15.25
Away
1.67
Corners 2-Way
Over 15.5
10.75
Under 15.5
1.03
Cards in match
Over 6.5
4.20
Under 6.5
1.20