Alaves4th10 pts
Valencia20th1 pts
Alaves4th10 pts
Valencia20th1 ptsIn the La Liga table, Alaves sit 4th with 10 points from 5 games, while Valencia are 20th with 1 points from 5 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Alaves at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Valencia at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.80 | 3.36 | 5.03, which imply roughly 55.6% for a Alaves win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the La Liga table: Alaves are 4th (10 pts, 11-5 goals), Valencia 20th (1 pts, 1-10).
Over their last five matches, Alaves averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Valencia averaged 0.2 scored and 2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Alaves.
Alaves vs Valencia — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 |  Alaves | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 |  Atletico Madrid | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 |  Espanyol | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 |  Athletic Club | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 |  Racing Santander | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 |  Osasuna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 12 |  Real Sociedad | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Levante | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Celta Vigo | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rayo Vallecano | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Malaga | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 18 |  Villarreal | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 19 |  Elche | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Valencia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.90
X
3.23
2
4.50
Double chance
1X
1.20
X2
1.89
12
1.32
Both teams to score
Yes
1.97
No
1.76
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.39
Under 1.5
2.89
Over 2.5
2.25
Under 2.5
1.66
Over 3.5
3.98
Under 3.5
1.22
Over 0.5
1.06
Under 0.5
7.73
Over 4.5
8.20
Under 4.5
1.05
Over 5.5
16.17
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
41.00
Over 1.75
1.49
Under 1.75
2.54
Over 2
1.66
Under 2
2.18
Over 2.25
1.97
Under 2.25
1.85
Over 2.75
2.58
Under 2.75
1.48
Over 0.75
1.05
Under 0.75
6.80
Over 1
1.09
Under 1
5.78
Over 1.25
1.24
Under 1.25
3.71
Over 3
3.24
Under 3
1.32
Over 3.25
3.55
Under 3.25
1.26
Over 3.75
4.98
Under 3.75
1.12
Over 4
7.20
Under 4
1.04
Over 4.25
7.57
Under 4.25
1.03
Draw no bet
1
1.33
2
3.12
Asian handicap
Away 3.5
1.01
1st half
1
2.58
X
2.01
2
4.82
First team to score
Home
1.67
No Goal
7.70
Away
2.72
Corners 2-Way
Over 17.5
14.00
Under 17.5
1.01
Cards in match
Over 6.5
3.35
Under 6.5
1.30