Sevilla6th7 pts
Valencia20th1 pts
Sevilla6th7 pts
Valencia20th1 ptsIn the La Liga table, Sevilla sit 6th with 7 points from 4 games, while Valencia are 20th with 1 points from 4 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Sevilla at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Valencia at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.00 | 3.32 | 4.10, which imply roughly 50% for a Sevilla win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the La Liga table: Sevilla are 6th (7 pts, 7-6 goals), Valencia 20th (1 pts, 1-9).
Over their last five matches, Sevilla averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Valencia averaged 0.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Sevilla.
Sevilla vs Valencia — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 |  Alaves | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Atletico Madrid | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 |  Osasuna | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 |  Real Sociedad | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Levante | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 13 |  Racing Santander | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 14 |  Rayo Vallecano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 15 |  Getafe | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 |  Celta Vigo | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 17 |  Villarreal | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 18 |  Malaga | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 19 |  Elche | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 20 |  Valencia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.21
X
3.15
2
3.47
Double chance
1X
1.30
X2
1.66
12
1.34
Both teams to score
Yes
1.97
No
1.77
Match goals
Over 3.5
4.31
Under 3.5
1.20
Over 0.5
1.08
Under 0.5
7.42
Over 4.5
8.93
Under 4.5
1.05
Over 5.5
19.00
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
45.67
Over 1.75
1.55
Under 1.75
2.40
Over 2
1.74
Under 2
2.06
Over 2.25
2.06
Under 2.25
1.78
Over 2.75
2.75
Under 2.75
1.43
Over 0.75
1.07
Under 0.75
6.06
Over 1
1.10
Under 1
5.30
Over 1.5
1.43
Under 1.5
2.73
Over 2.5
2.34
Under 2.5
1.60
Over 1.25
1.27
Under 1.25
3.50
Over 3
3.54
Under 3
1.28
Over 3.25
3.82
Under 3.25
1.23
Over 3.75
5.19
Under 3.75
1.11
Over 4
7.30
Under 4
1.04
Over 4.25
7.50
Under 4.25
1.03
Draw no bet
1
1.54
2
2.37
Asian handicap
Away 3.5
1.01
1st half
1
2.85
X
2.00
2
4.14
First team to score
Home
1.85
No Goal
7.20
Away
2.40
Corners 2-Way
Under 1.5
50.00
Cards in match
Over 6.5
2.75
Under 6.5
1.38