Celta Vigo15th4 pts
Malaga17th3 pts
Celta Vigo15th4 pts
Malaga17th3 ptsIn the La Liga table, Celta Vigo sit 15th with 4 points from 6 games, while Malaga are 17th with 3 points from 5 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Celta Vigo at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Malaga at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.72 | 3.62 | 5.06, which imply roughly 58.1% for a Celta Vigo win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the La Liga table: Celta Vigo are 15th (4 pts, 3-6 goals), Malaga 17th (3 pts, 2-8).
Over their last five matches, Celta Vigo averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Malaga averaged 0.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Celta Vigo or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Celta Vigo vs Malaga — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| 3 |  Alaves | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  Real Betis | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Espanyol | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 |  Athletic Club | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 |  Racing Santander | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 |  Osasuna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 12 |  Real Sociedad | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Levante | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Celta Vigo | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rayo Vallecano | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Malaga | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 18 |  Villarreal | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 19 |  Elche | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Valencia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Starting Lineups
Celta Vigo
3-4-3Coach: Claudio Giráldez
Goalkeeper
- 13I. Radu
Defence
- 21S. Cáceres
- 18Yoel Lago
- 3Marcos Alonso
Midfield
- 17Javi Rueda
- 8Miguel Román
- 6I. Moriba
- 5Sergio Carreira
Attack
- 16Hugo González
- 9Ferran Jutglà
- 23Hugo Álvarez
Substitutes (12)
- 25Iván Villar
- 19W. Swedberg
- 2C. Starfelt
- 20Javi Rodríguez
- 15Álvaro Núñez
- 22Javi Galán
- 11Pablo Durán
- 24C. Driouech
- 30H. Burcio
- 1A. Bayındır
- 10Iago Aspas
- 4A. Faye
Malaga
4-4-2Coach: Funes
Goalkeeper
- 1Alfonso Herrero
Defence
- 31Rafita
- 15Ángel Recio
- 4Einar Galilea
- 12José Salinas
Midfield
- 10David Larrubia
- 23Izan Merino
- 18Pablo Martínez
- 11Joaquín Muñoz
Attack
- 22Dani Lorenzo
- 9Chupe
Substitutes (10)
- 25Juan Berrocal
- 2J. Cajuste
- 19Juan Cruz
- 6Ramón Enríquez
- 32J. Fernandez
- 17Eneko Jauregi
- 13Carlos López
- 21Adrián Niño Heredia
- 3Puga
- 14Rafa Rodríguez
Match Statistics
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.72
X
3.62
2
5.04
Double chance
1X
1.17
X2
2.12
12
1.26
Both teams to score
Yes
1.95
No
1.79
Match goals
Over 6.5
24.83
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.43
Under 1.75
2.75
Over 2
1.55
Under 2
2.40
Over 2.25
1.83
Under 2.25
2.00
Over 2.75
2.36
Under 2.75
1.57
Over 0.75
1.04
Under 0.75
7.29
Over 1
1.07
Under 1
6.35
Over 1.25
1.21
Under 1.25
4.07
Over 3
2.90
Under 3
1.39
Over 3.25
3.15
Under 3.25
1.33
Over 3.75
4.29
Under 3.75
1.16
Over 4
5.85
Under 4
1.08
Over 4.25
6.15
Under 4.25
1.06
Over 5
11.00
Under 5
1.01
Over 4.5
7.13
Under 4.5
1.07
Over 7.5
50.50
Over 5.5
14.50
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 1.5
1.34
Under 1.5
3.15
Over 2.5
2.09
Under 2.5
1.76
Over 3.5
3.60
Under 3.5
1.27
Over 0.5
1.05
Under 0.5
8.43
Draw no bet
1
1.26
2
3.56
Asian handicap
Away 2.25
1.12
1st half
1
2.31
X
2.13
2
5.26
First team to score
Home
1.58
No Goal
8.40
Away
2.92
Corners 2-Way
Over 15.5
12.50
Under 15.5
1.01
Cards in match
Over 4.5
1.83
Under 4.5
1.95