Real Madrid4th6 pts
Malaga18th1 pts
Real Madrid4th6 pts
Malaga18th1 ptsIn the La Liga table, Real Madrid sit 4th with 6 points from 2 games, while Malaga are 18th with 1 points from 2 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Real Madrid at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Malaga at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.11 | 10.07 | 21.37, which imply roughly 90.1% for a Real Madrid win versus the model's 50%.
Form context from the La Liga table: Real Madrid are 4th (6 pts, 6-2 goals), Malaga 18th (1 pts, 1-3).
Over their last five matches, Real Madrid averaged 3 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Malaga averaged 0.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Real Madrid and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Real Madrid vs Malaga — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Madrid | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 2 |  Alaves | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 |  Barcelona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Real Betis | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 |  Osasuna | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 |  Racing Santander | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 |  Levante | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 |  Espanyol | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 |  Getafe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 14 |  Villarreal | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 |  Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 |  Celta Vigo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 17 |  Valencia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 18 |  Malaga | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 19 |  Elche | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 20 |  Athletic Club | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.12
X
9.48
2
19.46
Double chance
1X
1.02
X2
6.37
12
1.07
Both teams to score
Yes
2.14
No
1.66
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.07
Under 1.5
7.27
Over 2.5
1.32
Under 2.5
3.29
Over 3.5
1.83
Under 3.5
1.98
Over 4.5
2.79
Under 4.5
1.42
Over 5.5
4.72
Under 5.5
1.16
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
24.00
Over 8.5
24.83
Under 8.5
1.01
Over 7.5
14.88
Under 7.5
1.02
Over 6.5
8.65
Under 6.5
1.07
Over 1.75
1.07
Under 1.75
6.17
Over 2
1.08
Under 2
5.80
Over 2.25
1.19
Under 2.25
3.96
Over 2.75
1.37
Under 2.75
2.96
Over 3
1.44
Under 3
2.70
Over 3.25
1.65
Under 3.25
2.25
Over 3.75
2.02
Under 3.75
1.81
Over 4
2.26
Under 4
1.61
Over 4.25
2.50
Under 4.25
1.50
Over 4.75
3.12
Under 4.75
1.31
Over 5
3.84
Under 5
1.19
Over 5.25
4.10
Under 5.25
1.16
Over 6
6.95
Under 6
1.04
Over 1
1.01
Under 1
20.00
Draw no bet
1
1.02
2
13.63
Asian handicap
Home
1.02
Away
15.00
1st half
1
1.40
X
3.42
2
11.56
Corners 2-Way
Over 13
4.30
Under 13
1.11
Cards in match
Over 5.5
3.40
Under 5.5
1.27
First team to score
Home
1.17
No Goal
29.67
Away
4.91