Valladolid vs Castellón• Segunda División, Spain

#122.8:1.813:00Tomorrow · Estadio José Zorrilla, Valladolid1.8:0.6#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.20B365X3.77PIN22.271XBMargin at best1.8%Books10Markets81Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 20:48 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.98	3.79	2.29	3.6%
1xBet	3.00	3.73	2.27	4.2%
Betano	3.05	3.60	2.25	5.0%
Dafabet	3.00	3.60	2.26	5.4%
Bet365	2.90	3.50	2.30	6.5%
Marathonbet	2.91	3.62	2.20	7.4%
William Hill	2.88	3.40	2.20	9.6%
BetVictor	2.88	3.50	2.15	9.8%
Betfair	2.80	3.50	2.15	10.8%
SBO	2.72	3.12	2.16	15.1%
Best of all books	3.05	3.79	2.30	2.7%
Average	2.91	3.54	2.22	7.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ValladolidCastellón

Last 10#12Table position#21.38Points per game2.259Form pts · last 5102.8Goals for · last 51.81.8Goals against · last 50.661Attack rating3925Defence rating7553Form rating4750H2H rating5029Goals model7140Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Nov 00:01 UTC

Valladolid

5W 2D 3L · goals 21:16 · per match 2.1 for, 1.6 against

8 Nov	A	Sporting Gijon	2-1	W
2 Nov	H	Leganes	4-3	W
29 Oct	A	Covadonga	1-0	W
23 Oct	A	Granada CF	1-2	L
18 Oct	H	Eldense	2-3	L
12 Oct	H	Albacete	5-0	W
4 Oct	A	Las Palmas	2-2	D
27 Sep	H	Cordoba	3-1	W
20 Sep	A	AD Ceuta FC	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Oviedo	0-3	L

Castellón

7W 2D 1L · goals 23:4 · per match 2.3 for, 0.4 against

1 Nov	A	Burgos	1-1	D
29 Oct	A	Conquense	3-0	W
25 Oct	H	Sporting Gijon	4-0	W
17 Oct	A	Las Palmas	3-0	W
11 Oct	A	FC Andorra	0-1	L
4 Oct	H	AD Ceuta FC	1-1	D
28 Sep	A	Leganes	2-0	W
19 Sep	H	Tenerife	5-0	W
12 Sep	A	Girona	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Albacete	2-0	W

Head to head

1Valladolid wins

0draws

1Castellón wins

2 meetings · goals 1:4 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Valladolid

8 Feb 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Valladolid0-4Castellón
22 Aug 2025Segunda División	Segunda División	Castellón0-1Valladolid

Segunda División tableSegundaupdated 13 Nov 21:30 UTC

In the Segunda División table, Valladolid sit 12th with 18 points from 13 games, while Castellón are 2nd with 27 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Almeria	13	9	2	2	24:10	+14	29
2	Castellón	12	8	3	1	23:5	+18	27
3	Burgos	13	7	3	3	19:14	+5	24
4	Eibar	12	7	2	3	21:14	+7	23
5	Granada CF	12	7	2	3	20:14	+6	23
6	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	15:7	+8	22
7	Sporting Gijon	13	7	1	5	14:15	-1	22
8	Girona	13	6	3	4	22:12	+10	21
9	Oviedo	13	6	3	4	19:16	+3	21
10	Las Palmas	13	6	2	5	19:21	-2	20
11	Cordoba	13	6	1	6	22:22	0	19
12	Valladolid	13	5	3	5	22:20	+2	18
13	Sabadell	13	4	6	3	12:11	+1	18
14	Tenerife	12	3	6	3	15:17	-2	15
15	Eldense	13	4	2	7	13:19	-6	14
16	Celta de Vigo II	13	3	4	6	19:25	-6	13
17	Real Sociedad II	13	3	3	7	15:22	-7	12
18	Leganes	13	3	3	7	11:23	-12	12
19	FC Andorra	12	3	2	7	17:22	-5	11
20	Cadiz	13	2	4	7	16:18	-2	10
21	Albacete	13	3	1	9	13:24	-11	10
22	AD Ceuta FC	13	1	2	10	10:30	-20	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%2.96X26%3.55242%2.20

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.75 → 2.96 +7.6%X3.46 → 3.55 +2.6%22.33 → 2.20 -5.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.75	2.15	3.7%
Pinnacle	1.72	2.19	3.8%
1xBet	1.70	2.21	4.1%
SBO	1.69	2.14	5.9%
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Marathonbet	1.65	2.15	7.1%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
BetVictor	1.64	2.08	9.1%
Best of all books	1.75	2.21	2.4%
Average	1.69	2.14	6.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.60	2.27	6.6%
Betfair	1.57	2.30	7.2%
1xBet	1.53	2.34	8.1%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
William Hill	1.62	2.15	8.2%
BetVictor	1.53	2.30	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.30	8.8%
Best of all books	1.62	2.34	4.5%
Average	1.56	2.27	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Valladolid 10%Draw 45%Castellón 45%

The statistical model rates Valladolid at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Castellón at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.96 | 3.55 | 2.20, which imply roughly 28.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: Valladolid are 12th (18 pts, 22-20 goals), Castellón 2nd (27 pts, 23-5).

Over their last five matches, Valladolid averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Castellón averaged 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Castellón.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.91	3.54	2.22

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.62	1.36	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
2.18	1.64

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.56	2.27

1st half

1	X	2
3.38	2.26	2.77

2nd half

1	X	2
3.10	2.59	2.50

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.76	13.5	22.9
HT X	7.07	5.86	5.66
HT 2	27.8	13.5	3.51

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.07	14.1	1.80

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.7
1.5	1.20	4.26
2.5	1.69	2.14
3.5	2.67	1.45
4.5	4.95	1.16
5.5	9.15	1.05
6.5	14.9	1.02
7.5	26.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.55
1.25	1.09	5.60
1.75	1.23	3.63
2	1.33	3.25
2.25	1.48	2.53
2.75	1.84	1.93
3	2.12	1.70
3.25	2.35	1.55
3.75	2.97	1.33
4	3.85	1.21
4.25	4.15	1.17
4.75	5.50	1.09
5	7.50	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.95	1.42
-0.25	2.50	1.49
0	2.19	1.66
+0.25	1.84	1.94
+0.5	1.65	2.23
+0.75	1.47	2.57

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	11.0	1.02
-1.75	6.98	1.07
-1.5	5.75	1.10
-1.25	5.27	1.13
-1	4.85	1.15
-0.75	3.47	1.28
+1	1.31	3.36
+1.25	1.25	3.72
+1.5	1.20	3.97
+1.75	1.13	5.13
+2	1.05	7.18
+2.5	1.04	8.50

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
5	1.33	3.04
5.5	1.65	2.16
6	1.77	2.02
6.5	2.04	1.73
7	2.50	1.48
7.5	2.65	1.45

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.03	9.75
5.5	1.08	5.80
6.5	1.17	4.07
7.5	1.35	2.83
8.5	1.65	2.10
9.5	2.10	1.66
10.5	2.73	1.38
11.5	3.68	1.21
12.5	5.02	1.10
13.5	6.26	1.06
14.5	9.50	1.04
15.5	11.5	1.02

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.08	4.77
7	1.20	3.32
7.75	1.36	2.69
8	1.47	2.44
8.25	1.51	2.26
8.75	1.70	1.96
9	1.87	1.89
9.25	1.94	1.73
9.75	2.22	1.54
10	2.42	1.47
10.25	2.58	1.40
10.75	3.04	1.29
11	3.07	1.23
12	4.12	1.12
13	5.32	1.05

Next Segunda División matches

14 Nov	Real Sociedad II – Sporting Gijon
14 Nov	Mallorca – Cordoba
14 Nov	Oviedo – Girona
15 Nov	Tenerife – AD Ceuta FC
15 Nov	Granada CF – Las Palmas
15 Nov	Eldense – Sabadell

All Segunda División fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División results

13 Nov	Leganes 3-1 Burgos
9 Nov	Sabadell 0-0 Real Sociedad II
9 Nov	Las Palmas 2-0 Eldense
8 Nov	Sporting Gijon 1-2 Valladolid
8 Nov	Girona 0-1 Almeria
7 Nov	Leganes 1-3 Albacete