Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II• Segunda División, Spain

#181.0:2.019:00Today · Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo1.4:1.8#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.77PINX3.551XB22.57PINMargin at best3.2%Books10Markets80Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 18:02 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.77	3.53	2.57	3.3%
1xBet	2.71	3.55	2.56	4.1%
Betano	2.72	3.40	2.57	5.1%
Dafabet	2.70	3.45	2.55	5.2%
Bet365	2.70	3.30	2.55	6.6%
Marathonbet	2.62	3.44	2.48	7.6%
BetVictor	2.55	3.40	2.45	9.4%
William Hill	2.62	3.25	2.45	9.8%
Betfair	2.60	3.30	2.38	10.8%
SBO	2.56	3.20	2.46	11.0%
Best of all books	2.77	3.55	2.57	3.2%
Average	2.66	3.38	2.50	7.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Celta de Vigo IIReal Sociedad II

Last 10#18Table position#161.00Points per game1.004Form pts · last 531.0Goals for · last 51.42.0Goals against · last 51.842Attack rating5847Defence rating5350Form rating5036H2H rating6432Goals model6841Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:12 UTC

Celta de Vigo II

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:15 · per match 1.2 for, 1.5 against

4 Oct	A	Sporting Gijon	2-3	L
26 Sep	H	Sabadell	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	Almeria	0-2	L
14 Sep	H	Eibar	0-4	L
5 Sep	A	AD Ceuta FC	2-0	W
31 Aug	H	Castellón	1-2	L
24 Aug	H	FC Andorra	4-2	W
15 Aug	A	Cadiz	0-0	D
1 Aug	A	Vizela	1-0	W
25 Jul	A	Lugo	1-1	D

Real Sociedad II

3W 2D 5L · goals 16:18 · per match 1.6 for, 1.8 against

4 Oct	H	Granada CF	2-3	L
30 Sep	A	Leicester City U21	4-0	W
26 Sep	A	AD Ceuta FC	1-3	L
19 Sep	H	Mallorca	0-1	L
15 Sep	A	Aston Villa U21	1-5	L
12 Sep	A	FC Andorra	3-1	W
5 Sep	H	Tenerife	1-1	D
31 Aug	A	Burgos	2-2	D
22 Aug	A	Albacete	2-1	W
14 Aug	H	Castellón	0-1	L

Head to head

1Celta de Vigo II wins

1draws

2Real Sociedad II wins

4 meetings · goals 3:5 · last 4: 1W 1D 2L for Celta de Vigo II

24 May 2025Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Real Sociedad II2-0Celta de Vigo II
11 Jan 2025Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Celta de Vigo II2-1Real Sociedad II
4 May 2024Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Real Sociedad II0-0Celta de Vigo II
26 Nov 2023Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Celta de Vigo II1-2Real Sociedad II

Segunda División tableSegundaupdated 10 Oct 18:21 UTC

In the Segunda División table, Celta de Vigo II sit 18th with 8 points from 8 games, while Real Sociedad II are 16th with 8 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Eibar	8	7	0	1	18:7	+11	21
2	Castellón	8	6	2	0	15:3	+12	20
3	Almeria	8	6	0	2	13:5	+8	18
4	Sabadell	9	4	4	1	10:7	+3	16
5	Girona	8	4	2	2	14:8	+6	14
6	Mallorca	8	4	2	2	8:3	+5	14
7	Burgos	8	4	2	2	12:9	+3	14
8	Sporting Gijon	8	4	1	3	8:8	0	13
9	Granada CF	8	3	2	3	13:13	0	11
10	Oviedo	8	3	2	3	8:8	0	11
11	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	12:13	-1	11
12	Tenerife	8	3	2	3	10:12	-2	11
13	Leganes	8	3	2	3	6:11	-5	11
14	Valladolid	8	2	3	3	8:11	-3	9
15	Cordoba	8	3	0	5	13:18	-5	9
16	Real Sociedad II	8	2	2	4	11:13	-2	8
17	Eldense	8	2	2	4	8:10	-2	8
18	Celta de Vigo II	8	2	2	4	10:14	-4	8
19	Cadiz	8	1	4	3	11:10	+1	7
20	FC Andorra	8	2	1	5	12:15	-3	7
21	AD Ceuta FC	9	1	2	6	8:20	-12	5
22	Albacete	8	0	1	7	5:15	-10	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.66X28%3.38237%2.50

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.25 → 2.66 +18.2%X3.43 → 3.38 -1.5%22.89 → 2.50 -13.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.81	2.08	3.3%
Betano	1.78	2.10	3.8%
1xBet	1.76	2.12	4.0%
SBO	1.81	2.03	4.5%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Marathonbet	1.71	2.06	7.0%
Betfair	1.75	1.95	8.4%
BetVictor	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Best of all books	1.81	2.12	2.4%
Average	1.77	2.04	5.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.57	2.30	7.2%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
1xBet	1.57	2.26	7.9%
Betfair	1.60	2.20	8.0%
BetVictor	1.60	2.20	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.22	8.7%
Best of all books	1.67	2.30	3.4%
Average	1.61	2.20	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Celta de Vigo II 10%Draw 45%Real Sociedad II 45%

The statistical model rates Celta de Vigo II at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Real Sociedad II at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.66 | 3.38 | 2.50, which imply roughly 29.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: Celta de Vigo II are 18th (8 pts, 10-14 goals), Real Sociedad II 16th (8 pts, 11-13).

Over their last five matches, Celta de Vigo II averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Real Sociedad II averaged 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Real Sociedad II and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Celta de Vigo II

3-4-3

Coach: Fredi

Goalkeeper

1Coke Carrillo

Defence

21Alexis Olmedo
3K. Ribes
18Joel López

Midfield

2P. Gavian
16AdriÃ Capdevila
29M. Sobral
11Ángel Arcos

Attack

15A. Kibet
9A. Marin
10O. Marcos

Substitutes (11)

19A. Davila Outerelo
17H. Cuenca
31Raúl Blanco
25M. Gonzalez
13Caio Barone
28Vladimir Henrique Silva
23G. Miller
4S. M. Ndiaye
14Jan Oliveras
26Jorge Pérez-Lafuente Rey
27Noah Rodríguez Guallar

Real Sociedad II

4-4-2

Coach: Ion Ansotegi

Goalkeeper

1Aitor Fraga

Defence

22Rupérez
15I. Calderon
5K. Kita
3Jon Balda

Midfield

17Lander Astiazarán
14Tomás Carbonell
6A. Lebarbier
16Gorka Gorosabel

Attack

7Dani Díaz
20Sydney Osazuwa

Substitutes (12)

34Andrews Adjabeng
23Unax Agote
8Ibai Aguirre
24A. Unax
21Jon Eceizabarrena
38Xuban Fernandez
35Daniel Galilea Tellaeche
36Hodei Garitaonaindia
2Jon Garro
32Lander Olasagasti
12J. Oleaga
19Javier Soroeta

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.66	3.38	2.50

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.49	1.44	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.91	1.83

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.61	2.20

1st half

1	X	2
3.18	2.20	3.06

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.90	13.4	1.98

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.5
1.5	1.22	3.94
2.5	1.77	2.04
3.5	2.88	1.38
4.5	5.52	1.12
5.5	9.98	1.04
6.5	20.0	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.98
1	1.02	8.80
1.25	1.09	5.30
1.75	1.23	3.43
2	1.35	3.02
2.25	1.56	2.37
2.75	1.94	1.80
3	2.25	1.60
3.25	2.50	1.47
3.75	3.14	1.27
4	4.20	1.15
4.25	4.55	1.13
4.75	6.15	1.06
5	8.60	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.63	1.48
-0.25	2.29	1.60
0	1.96	1.83
+0.25	1.66	2.13
+0.5	1.53	2.50
+0.75	1.36	2.95

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.97	1.01
-2	9.05	1.02
-1.75	6.70	1.07
-1.5	5.28	1.12
-1.25	4.64	1.16
-1	4.24	1.21
-0.75	3.09	1.33
+1	1.21	3.99
+1.25	1.17	4.30
+1.5	1.14	4.85
+1.75	1.08	6.23
+2.5	1.04	10.3

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
5	1.37	2.89
5.5	1.63	2.20
6	1.84	1.95
6.5	2.04	1.72
7	2.66	1.43
7.5	2.65	1.45

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.04	9.50
5.5	1.07	6.01
6.5	1.18	3.97
7.5	1.36	2.79
8.5	1.66	2.09
9.5	2.11	1.65
10.5	2.77	1.36
11.5	3.75	1.20
12.5	4.93	1.12
13.5	7.20	1.06
14.5	9.75	1.03
15.5	11.8	1.02

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.08	4.75
7	1.20	3.29
7.25	1.26	3.12
7.75	1.38	2.60
8	1.46	2.47
8.25	1.55	2.22
8.75	1.75	1.91
9	1.89	1.88
9.25	1.98	1.70
9.75	2.25	1.50
10	2.42	1.48
10.25	2.65	1.36
11	3.10	1.23
12	4.15	1.12
13	5.35	1.05