Almeria3rd15 pts
Burgos4th14 pts
Almeria3rd15 pts
Burgos4th14 ptsIn the Segunda División table, Almeria sit 3rd with 15 points from 7 games, while Burgos are 4th with 14 points from 7 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Almeria at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Burgos at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.60 | 3.76 | 5.26, which imply roughly 62.5% for a Almeria win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Segunda División table: Almeria are 3rd (15 pts, 11-4 goals), Burgos 4th (14 pts, 11-7).
Over their last five matches, Almeria averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Burgos averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Almeria or draw.
Almeria vs Burgos — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 |
| 2 |  Eibar | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18 |
| 3 |  Almeria | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 |
| 4 |  Burgos | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 |  Girona | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 |  Sabadell | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 |  Oviedo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Tenerife | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Leganes | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Sporting Gijon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Granada CF | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 15 |  Celta de Vigo II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 16 |  Valladolid | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 17 |  FC Andorra | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 18 |  Cordoba | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 19 |  Eldense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 21 |  AD Ceuta FC | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 22 |  Albacete | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.56
X
3.85
2
5.57
Double chance
1X
1.13
X2
2.33
12
1.22
Both teams to score
Yes
1.95
No
1.78
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.28
Under 1.5
3.42
Over 2.5
1.92
Under 2.5
1.88
Over 3.5
3.24
Under 3.5
1.31
Over 0.5
1.05
Under 0.5
9.32
Over 4.5
6.35
Under 4.5
1.09
Over 7.5
50.50
Over 5.5
11.83
Under 5.5
1.03
Over 6.5
24.83
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.33
Under 1.75
3.02
Over 2
1.45
Under 2
2.62
Over 2.25
1.68
Under 2.25
2.14
Over 2.75
2.15
Under 2.75
1.68
Over 0.75
1.01
Under 0.75
8.65
Over 1
1.02
Under 1
8.10
Over 1.25
1.12
Under 1.25
4.64
Over 3
2.55
Under 3
1.46
Over 3.25
2.75
Under 3.25
1.39
Over 3.75
3.58
Under 3.75
1.21
Over 4
4.80
Under 4
1.12
Over 4.25
5.10
Under 4.25
1.10
Over 5
9.20
Under 5
1.02
Draw no bet
1
1.19
2
4.40
Asian handicap
Away 3.5
1.03
1st half
1
2.12
X
2.21
2
5.62
First team to score
Home
1.47
No Goal
9.40
Away
3.12
Corners 2-Way
Over 13
5.19
Under 13
1.06