OddsFilter

Leganes vs Castellón• Segunda División, Spain

#161.0:0.80-2FT28/09 · Municipal de Butarque, Leganes2.2:0.4#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.41PINX3.40B36522.27PINMargin at best2.8%Books9Markets63Rating31 · 69Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Sep 20:47 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet3.083.382.374.2%
Betano3.103.302.374.8%
Pinnacle3.123.262.365.1%
Bet3652.803.402.387.1%
Marathonbet2.983.282.307.5%
BetVictor2.883.302.259.5%
William Hill2.753.252.3010.6%
Betfair2.803.302.2011.5%
SBO2.803.052.1515.0%
Best of all books3.123.402.383.5%
Average2.923.282.308.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LeganesCastellón
Last 10#16Table position#31.22Points per game2.223Form pts · last 5101.0Goals for · last 52.20.8Goals against · last 50.431Attack rating6933Defence rating6743Form rating579H2H rating9140Goals model6031Overall rating69

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 15 Oct 13:30 UTC

Leganes

3W 3D 4L · goals 6:14 · per match 0.6 for, 1.4 against

11 OctAAlmeria0-3L
3 OctACadiz0-4L
28 SepHCastellón0-2L
20 SepHGranada CF3-2W
13 SepATenerife0-2L
4 SepALas Palmas0-0D
29 AugHEldense1-0W
22 AugAOviedo1-0W
16 AugAGirona1-1D
8 AugHTenerife0-0D

Castellón

6W 2D 2L · goals 16:7 · per match 1.6 for, 0.7 against

11 OctAFC Andorra0-1L
4 OctHAD Ceuta FC1-1D
28 SepALeganes2-0W
19 SepHTenerife5-0W
12 SepAGirona2-1W
6 SepHAlbacete2-0W
31 AugACelta de Vigo II2-1W
23 AugHSabadell0-0D
14 AugAReal Sociedad II1-0W
8 AugHLevante1-3L

Head to head

0Leganes wins
1draws
3Castellón wins

4 meetings · goals 0:5 · last 4: 0W 1D 3L for Leganes

16 Jan 2026Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónCastellón2-0Leganes
29 Sep 2025Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónLeganes0-1Castellón
6 Mar 2021Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónLeganes0-0Castellón
4 Oct 2020Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónCastellón2-0Leganes

Segunda División tableSegundaupdated 15 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Segunda División table, Leganes sit 16th with 11 points from 9 games, while Castellón are 3rd with 20 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Almeria970216:5+1121
2Eibar970219:10+921
3Castellón962115:4+1120
4Mallorca952211:4+717
5Sabadell944110:7+316
6Sporting Gijon95139:8+116
7Girona943215:9+615
8Burgos942312:10+214
9Oviedo942311:9+214
10Granada CF942314:13+114
11Valladolid933313:11+212
12Tenerife933311:13-212
13Celta de Vigo II932414:15-111
14Eldense932410:11-111
15Las Palmas932413:16-311
16Leganes93246:14-811
17FC Andorra931513:15-210
18Cordoba930614:20-69
19Real Sociedad II922512:17-58
20Cadiz914411:1107
21AD Ceuta FC91268:20-125
22Albacete90185:20-151

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg130%3.11X28%3.28242%2.22

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

25 Sep 00:0128 Sep 17:111 3.17X 3.282 2.20
12.92 → 3.17 +8.6%X3.28 → 3.28 0.0%22.30 → 2.20 -4.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.852.004.1%
1xBet1.832.024.1%
Pinnacle1.901.934.4%
SBO1.891.934.7%
Bet3651.851.955.3%
Marathonbet1.781.976.9%
BetVictor1.801.879.0%
Best of all books1.902.022.1%
Average1.841.955.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano1.622.207.2%
Bet3651.672.107.5%
William Hill1.672.107.5%
1xBet1.612.188.0%
BetVictor1.652.108.2%
Marathonbet1.612.158.6%
Best of all books1.672.205.3%
Average1.642.147.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Leganes 10%Draw 45%Castellón 45%

The statistical model rated Leganes at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Castellón at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.11 | 3.28 | 2.22, which imply roughly 30.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: Leganes are 16th (11 pts, 6-14 goals), Castellón 3rd (20 pts, 15-4).

Over their last five matches, Leganes averaged 1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Castellón averaged 2.2 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Castellón.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Leganes

4-4-2

Coach: Rubén Albés

Goalkeeper

  • 13L. Zidane

Defence

  • 11Naim García
  • 6Lalo Aguilar
  • 3Javi Montero
  • 2Marvel

Midfield

  • 22Álex Sancris
  • 20Miguel Atienza
  • 10Z. Buurmeester
  • 8Y. Kechta

Attack

  • 21Álvaro Morata
  • 19P. Soko
Substitutes (12)
  • 32Suleiman El Haddadi Mohamed
  • 18Andrés Campos
  • 1Raúl Fernández
  • 33J. Herrero
  • 31Nico Lozano
  • 9Álex Millán
  • 5Ignasi Miquel
  • 36Sulaiman Mulumba
  • 4Rubén Pulido
  • 14Dani Rodríguez
  • 23Álvaro Tejero
  • 16U. del Cura

Castellón

4-4-2

Coach: Pablo Hernández

Goalkeeper

  • 13R. Matthys

Defence

  • 22J. Mellot
  • 5Alberto Jiménez
  • 4A. Sienra
  • 14Iñigo Córdoba

Midfield

  • 2Juanjo Nieto
  • 21Álvaro Martín
  • 8Barri
  • 10Israel Suero

Attack

  • 16A. Jakobsen
  • 9Ousmane Camara
Substitutes (12)
  • 24D. Muale Nzanza
  • 15I. Kostis
  • 23Varo García
  • 27A. Gala
  • 20Martín Conde
  • 11F. Ceccherini
  • 17F. Castillo
  • 19Hamza Bellari
  • 12Lucas Alcázar
  • 18Pablo Santiago
  • 7Raúl Sánchez
  • 35Sergi Torner

Match Statistics

LeganesCastellón
319Passes accurate434
7Shots insidebox10
8Shots outsidebox10
3Blocked Shots7
10Free Kicks17
2Shots on Goal6
4Goalkeeper Saves2
10Shots off Goal7
3Offsides0
389Total passes506
15Total Shots20
6Yellow Cards1
4Corner Kicks3
0Red Cards1
17Fouls11
44%Ball Possession56%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.923.282.30

Double chance

1XX212
1.561.371.30

Draw no bet

12
2.081.69

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.642.14

1st half

1X2
3.512.132.86

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.0911.51.83

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0510.2
1.51.243.69
2.51.841.95
3.53.051.34
4.55.841.11
5.511.11.05
6.522.31.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.00
1.251.105.10
1.751.323.18
21.382.84
2.251.622.26
2.752.041.72
32.381.52
3.252.601.43
3.753.421.23
44.651.12
4.255.001.10
4.757.201.04
58.401.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.981.40
-0.252.541.49
02.141.68
+0.251.781.98
+0.51.602.31
+0.751.412.72
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.512.01.02
-1.757.781.05
-1.56.071.09
-1.255.681.10
-15.101.12
-0.753.671.25
+11.253.63
+1.251.214.05
+1.51.164.42
+1.751.105.73
+21.018.60
+2.51.029.10

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.075.02
6.51.193.81
7.51.352.84
8.51.642.12
9.52.081.67
10.52.711.39
11.53.601.21
12.54.301.11
13.55.421.05
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.084.80
71.203.35
81.432.44
91.851.91
102.351.46
113.051.24
124.101.12
135.301.06