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Geoje Citizen vs Pyeongtaek Citizen• K4 League, South-Korea

#61.4:1.03-0FT11/102.2:1.6#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.65B365X4.40BFR24.801XBMargin at best4.2%Books7Markets49Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 00:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betfair1.534.404.609.8%
Betano1.604.204.1010.7%
1xBet1.514.204.8010.9%
Bet3651.654.203.7511.1%
Marathonbet1.504.204.6012.2%
Pinnacle1.524.114.4312.7%
BetVictor1.503.703.9019.3%
Best of all books1.654.404.804.2%
Average1.544.144.3112.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Geoje CitizenPyeongtaek Citizen
Last 10#6Table position#121.55Points per game0.6410Form pts · last 551.4Goals for · last 52.21.0Goals against · last 51.639Attack rating6162Defence rating3867Form rating33100H2H rating064Goals model3658Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 04:50 UTC

Geoje Citizen

5W 1D 4L · goals 15:12 · per match 1.5 for, 1.2 against

11 OctHPyeongtaek Citizen3-0W
3 OctAJinju Citizen0-0D
19 SepAJecheon Citizen2-0W
12 SepASeosan Pioneer1-0W
25 JulAJincheon1-4L
15 JulABusan I Park0-4L
11 JulAPyeongchang United3-1W
5 JulHIncheon Seogot4-0W
20 JunHSejong SA1-2L
7 JunANamyangju0-1L

Pyeongtaek Citizen

1W 3D 6L · goals 15:22 · per match 1.5 for, 2.2 against

4 OctHSejong SA7-1W
13 SepANamyangju2-2D
5 SepAGeumsan Insam0-0D
29 AugHGijang United2-3L
26 JulHJinju Citizen0-2L
12 JulHSeosan Pioneer0-5L
5 JulHYeoju Sejong1-3L
27 JunHJungnang Chorus Mustang1-1D
21 JunHJecheon Citizen2-3L
6 JunHHaman0-2L

Head to head

1Geoje Citizen wins
0draws
0Pyeongtaek Citizen wins

1 meeting · goals 3:2 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Geoje Citizen

17 May 2026K4 LeagueK4 LeaguePyeongtaek Citizen2-3Geoje Citizen

K4 League tableRegular Seasonupdated 16 Oct 16:31 UTC

In the K4 League table, Geoje Citizen sit 6th with 31 points from 20 games, while Pyeongtaek Citizen are 12th with 14 points from 22.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Jinju Citizen22163351:18+3351
2Jincheon22126443:21+2242
3Namyangju23116632:29+339
4Jungnang Chorus Mustang22114740:27+1337
5Geumsan Insam2298535:25+1035
6Geoje Citizen2094736:26+1031
7Jecheon Citizen2287729:32-331
8Pyeongchang United22931030:33-330
9Sejong SA22921135:49-1429
10Gijang United22821231:43-1226
11Haman21621323:37-1420
12Pyeongtaek Citizen22351427:48-2114
13Seosan Pioneer22421624:48-2414

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.54X22%4.14221%4.31

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

10 Oct 09:1010 Oct 18:101 1.54X 4.142 4.31
11.65 → 1.54 -6.7%X4.20 → 4.14 -1.4%23.75 → 4.31 +14.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.402.757.8%
1xBet1.342.7810.6%
Marathonbet1.342.7810.6%
BetVictor1.292.3819.5%
Best of all books1.402.787.4%
Average1.342.6711.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.432.569.0%
Marathonbet1.432.509.9%
BetVictor1.332.2519.6%
Best of all books1.432.569.0%
Average1.402.4412.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Geoje Citizen 45%Draw 45%Pyeongtaek Citizen 10%

The statistical model rated Geoje Citizen at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Pyeongtaek Citizen at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.54 | 4.14 | 4.31, which imply roughly 64.9% for a Geoje Citizen win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the K4 League table: Geoje Citizen are 6th (31 pts, 36-26 goals), Pyeongtaek Citizen 12th (14 pts, 27-48).

Over their last five matches, Geoje Citizen averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Pyeongtaek Citizen averaged 2.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Geoje Citizen or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.544.144.31

Double chance

1XX212
1.162.171.14

Draw no bet

12
1.263.05

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.402.44

1st half

1X2
1.992.534.30

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4922.52.50

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.5–21.0
1.51.115.10
2.51.342.67
3.51.891.73
4.52.861.28
5.55.301.11
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0210.0
21.105.00
2.251.233.42
2.751.422.50
31.512.18
3.251.701.89
3.752.091.57
42.401.41
4.252.781.35
54.701.12

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.291.48
-1.252.081.60
-11.861.77
-0.751.651.99
-0.51.542.16
-0.251.402.67
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.55.801.09
-37.001.04
-2.755.251.16
-2.54.081.19
-2.253.901.24
-23.411.25
-1.752.711.38
01.263.42
+0.251.213.85
+0.51.253.80
+0.751.184.65
+11.048.00
+1.251.107.00
+1.51.048.75

Latest K4 League results

17 OctGeoje Citizen 1-0 Haman
11 OctSeosan Pioneer 1-1 Jincheon
10 OctSejong SA 5-2 Gijang United
10 OctGeumsan Insam 2-0 Namyangju
10 OctJungnang Chorus Mustang 2-0 Haman
4 OctPyeongtaek Citizen 7-1 Sejong SA