Warta Sieradz vs Wigry Suwałki• III Liga - Group 1, Poland

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Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.65DAFX3.60WH22.50BVCMargin at best5.5%Books8Markets38Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.65	3.45	2.43	7.9%
BetVictor	2.50	3.40	2.50	9.4%
Betano	2.57	3.35	2.37	11.0%
Bet365	2.60	3.60	2.20	11.7%
William Hill	2.60	3.60	2.20	11.7%
1xBet	2.41	3.38	2.43	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.41	3.38	2.43	12.2%
Pinnacle	2.47	3.18	2.47	12.4%
Best of all books	2.65	3.60	2.50	5.5%
Average	2.53	3.42	2.38	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Warta SieradzWigry Suwałki

Last 10#9Table position#21.50Points per game2.008Form pts · last 5102.0Goals for · last 52.21.4Goals against · last 51.448Attack rating5250Defence rating5044Form rating5675H2H rating2526Goals model7448Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 13:20 UTC

Warta Sieradz

4W 3D 3L · goals 18:16 · per match 1.8 for, 1.6 against

3 Oct	H	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Olimpia Zambrów	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	2-1	W
4 Sep	H	Olimpia Elbląg	4-1	W
29 Aug	A	Swit	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Ząbkovia Ząbki	0-4	L
19 Aug	A	Troszyn	4-1	W
15 Aug	H	Jagiellonia II	2-2	D
9 Aug	A	ŁKS Łódź II	1-0	W
1 Aug	H	Mławianka Mława	1-2	L

Wigry Suwałki

5W 3D 2L · goals 17:14 · per match 1.7 for, 1.4 against

3 Oct	H	Wisła Płock II	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	2-0	W
20 Sep	H	Widzew II	6-3	W
12 Sep	A	Olimpia Zambrów	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	1-3	L
1 Sep	H	Nieciecza	1-5	L
29 Aug	A	Olimpia Elbląg	3-1	W
23 Aug	H	Swit	0-0	D
19 Aug	A	Ząbkovia Ząbki	1-1	D
14 Aug	H	Troszyn	1-0	W

Head to head

3Warta Sieradz wins

0draws

1Wigry Suwałki wins

4 meetings · goals 7:8 · last 4: 3W 0D 1L for Warta Sieradz

22 May 2026III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Warta Sieradz2-1Wigry Suwałki
8 Nov 2025III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Wigry Suwałki1-2Warta Sieradz
31 May 2025III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Warta Sieradz3-2Wigry Suwałki
8 Nov 2024III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Wigry Suwałki4-0Warta Sieradz

III Liga - Group 1 tableGroup Iupdated 9 Oct 00:43 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 1 table, Warta Sieradz sit 9th with 15 points from 10 games, while Wigry Suwałki are 2nd with 22 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Weszlo	11	8	2	1	24:10	+14	26
2	Wigry Suwałki	11	6	4	1	19:10	+9	22
3	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	11	6	3	2	27:18	+9	21
4	Swit	11	6	2	3	20:12	+8	20
5	Pelikan Łowicz	11	6	2	3	17:13	+4	20
6	Wisła Płock II	11	5	3	3	22:18	+4	18
7	Ząbkovia Ząbki	10	5	1	4	19:18	+1	16
8	Jagiellonia II	10	4	3	3	22:20	+2	15
9	Warta Sieradz	10	4	3	3	18:16	+2	15
10	Widzew II	10	4	2	4	21:18	+3	14
11	Olimpia Zambrów	11	4	2	5	23:27	-4	14
12	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	11	4	1	6	21:23	-2	13
13	Olimpia Elbląg	11	4	1	6	16:20	-4	13
14	ŁKS Łódź II	10	3	2	5	16:19	-3	11
15	Mławianka Mława	11	3	1	7	22:32	-10	10
16	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	11	2	3	6	16:22	-6	9
17	Troszyn	10	1	4	5	12:24	-12	7
18	Łomża	11	0	3	8	10:25	-15	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.53X26%3.42238%2.38

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.22 → 2.53 +14.0%X3.43 → 3.42 -0.3%22.90 → 2.38 -17.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Pinnacle	1.65	2.07	8.9%
1xBet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
BetVictor	1.64	2.08	9.1%
Betano	1.65	2.02	10.1%
Best of all books	1.66	2.20	5.7%
Average	1.65	2.08	8.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.53	2.30	8.8%
William Hill	1.53	2.30	8.8%
1xBet	1.54	2.26	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.54	2.22	10.0%
Best of all books	1.54	2.30	8.4%
Average	1.53	2.27	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Warta Sieradz 35%Draw 35%Wigry Suwałki 30%

The statistical model rates Warta Sieradz at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Wigry Suwałki at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.53 | 3.42 | 2.38, which imply roughly 39.5% for a Warta Sieradz win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 1 table: Warta Sieradz are 9th (15 pts, 18-16 goals), Wigry Suwałki 2nd (22 pts, 19-10).

Over their last five matches, Warta Sieradz averaged 2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Wigry Suwałki averaged 2.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Warta Sieradz or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.53	3.42	2.38

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.48	1.41	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.92	1.78

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.54	2.27

1st half

1	X	2
3.01	2.25	2.89

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.95	13.5	1.87

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	13.0
1.5	1.18	4.04
2.5	1.65	2.08
3.5	2.61	1.40
4.5	4.77	1.12
5.5	9.00	1.05

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	7.30
1.75	1.22	3.50
2	1.28	3.12
2.25	1.47	2.41
2.75	1.81	1.85
3	2.06	1.64
3.25	2.32	1.51
3.75	3.08	1.28
4	3.98	1.17

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.44	1.47
-0.25	2.12	1.61
0	1.83	1.84
+0.25	1.63	2.10
+0.5	1.47	2.44
+0.75	1.35	2.82

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.50	1.04
-2	8.70	1.01
-1.5	4.60	1.13
-1.25	4.25	1.15
-1	3.82	1.18
-0.75	2.85	1.33
+1	1.18	3.88
+1.25	1.21	3.58
+1.5	1.12	4.70
+2	1.01	8.80
+2.5	1.02	8.10