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Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.• III Liga - Group 1, Poland

#141.2:2.01-2FT03/101.4:1.4#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.721XBX4.571XB24.031XBMargin at best4.8%Books3Markets11Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 16:16 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.674.004.139.1%
Betano1.703.953.7510.8%
Bet3651.674.003.8011.2%
Best of all books1.704.004.138.0%
Average1.683.983.8910.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Lechia T. MazowieckiPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
Last 10#14Table position#151.08Points per game1.003Form pts · last 551.2Goals for · last 51.42.0Goals against · last 51.446Attack rating5441Defence rating5944Form rating5650H2H rating5060Goals model4050Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 12:20 UTC

Lechia T. Mazowiecki

4W 1D 5L · goals 20:21 · per match 2.0 for, 2.1 against

3 OctHPolonia Lidzbark Warm.1-2L
26 SepAOlimpia Elbląg2-1W
18 SepHSwit1-2L
11 SepAZąbkovia Ząbki2-4L
5 SepHTroszyn0-2L
29 AugAJagiellonia II1-1D
23 AugHŁKS Łódź II4-3W
19 AugAMławianka Mława3-2W
14 AugHŁomża5-2W
8 AugAWisła Płock II1-2L

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.

1W 3D 6L · goals 14:21 · per match 1.4 for, 2.1 against

26 SepHWeszlo1-1D
19 SepAPelikan Łowicz0-1L
12 SepHWarta Sieradz1-2L
6 SepAWigry Suwałki3-1W
29 AugHMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki2-2D
23 AugAWidzew II1-4L
19 AugHOlimpia Zambrów2-3L
15 AugHWisła Płock II1-1D
7 AugAOlimpia Elbląg2-4L
1 AugHSwit1-2L

Head to head

1Lechia T. Mazowiecki wins
0draws
1Polonia Lidzbark Warm. wins

2 meetings · goals 4:3 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Lechia T. Mazowiecki

24 Nov 2024III Liga - Group 1III Liga - Group 1Lechia T. Mazowiecki3-1Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
3 Aug 2024III Liga - Group 1III Liga - Group 1Polonia Lidzbark Warm.2-1Lechia T. Mazowiecki

III Liga - Group 1 tableGroup Iupdated 14 Oct 17:10 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 1 table, Lechia T. Mazowiecki sit 14th with 13 points from 12 games, while Polonia Lidzbark Warm. are 15th with 12 points from 12.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Weszlo1292126:10+1629
2Wigry Suwałki1274122:11+1125
3Pelikan Łowicz1272321:14+723
4Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki1263328:22+621
5Wisła Płock II1263324:19+521
6Swit1262422:19+320
7Ząbkovia Ząbki1152421:20+117
8Olimpia Zambrów1252526:27-117
9Jagiellonia II1244424:23+116
10Olimpia Elbląg1251618:21-316
11Warta Sieradz1143419:19015
12ŁKS Łódź II1142523:21+214
13Widzew II1142521:20+114
14Lechia T. Mazowiecki1241721:26-513
15Polonia Lidzbark Warm.1233619:24-512
16Mławianka Mława1231823:34-1110
17Troszyn1224614:26-1210
18Łomża1203912:28-163

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.89X24%3.80228%3.27

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

2 Oct 16:313 Oct 07:311 1.69X 4.002 3.86
11.68 → 1.69 +0.6%X3.98 → 4.00 +0.5%23.89 → 3.86 -0.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.502.506.7%
Best of all books1.502.506.7%
Average1.502.506.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lechia T. Mazowiecki 35%Draw 35%Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 30%

The statistical model rated Lechia T. Mazowiecki at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Polonia Lidzbark Warm. at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.89 | 3.80 | 3.27, which imply roughly 52.9% for a Lechia T. Mazowiecki win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 1 table: Lechia T. Mazowiecki are 14th (13 pts, 21-26 goals), Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 15th (12 pts, 19-24).

Over their last five matches, Lechia T. Mazowiecki averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Polonia Lidzbark Warm. averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Lechia T. Mazowiecki or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.683.983.89

Double chance

1XX212
1.201.971.19

Draw no bet

12
1.352.89

1st half

1X2
2.192.453.98

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5717.02.38

Match goals

LineOverUnder
2.51.502.50
31.721.91
3.52.121.57

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.751.851.85
01.303.00