Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.• III Liga - Group 1, Poland
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 16:16 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.13 | 9.1% |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.95 | 3.75 | 10.8% |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 4.00 | 3.80 | 11.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.13 | 8.0% |
| Average | 1.68 | 3.98 | 3.89 | 10.3% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 12:20 UTC
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
4W 1D 5L · goals 20:21 · per match 2.0 for, 2.1 against
| 3 Oct | H | Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 1-2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Olimpia Elbląg | 2-1 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Swit | 1-2 | L |
| 11 Sep | A | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 2-4 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | Troszyn | 0-2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Jagiellonia II | 1-1 | D |
| 23 Aug | H | ŁKS Łódź II | 4-3 | W |
| 19 Aug | A | Mławianka Mława | 3-2 | W |
| 14 Aug | H | Łomża | 5-2 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | Wisła Płock II | 1-2 | L |
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
1W 3D 6L · goals 14:21 · per match 1.4 for, 2.1 against
| 26 Sep | H | Weszlo | 1-1 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Pelikan Łowicz | 0-1 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Warta Sieradz | 1-2 | L |
| 6 Sep | A | Wigry Suwałki | 3-1 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 2-2 | D |
| 23 Aug | A | Widzew II | 1-4 | L |
| 19 Aug | H | Olimpia Zambrów | 2-3 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | Wisła Płock II | 1-1 | D |
| 7 Aug | A | Olimpia Elbląg | 2-4 | L |
| 1 Aug | H | Swit | 1-2 | L |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 4:3 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Lechia T. Mazowiecki
| 24 Nov 2024III Liga - Group 1 | III Liga - Group 1 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki3-1Polonia Lidzbark Warm. |
| 3 Aug 2024III Liga - Group 1 | III Liga - Group 1 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.2-1Lechia T. Mazowiecki |
III Liga - Group 1 tableGroup Iupdated 14 Oct 17:10 UTC
In the III Liga - Group 1 table, Lechia T. Mazowiecki sit 14th with 13 points from 12 games, while Polonia Lidzbark Warm. are 15th with 12 points from 12.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weszlo | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 26:10 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 | Wigry Suwałki | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:11 | +11 | 25 |
| 3 | Pelikan Łowicz | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 28:22 | +6 | 21 |
| 5 | Wisła Płock II | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24:19 | +5 | 21 |
| 6 | Swit | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:19 | +3 | 20 |
| 7 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 21:20 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 | Olimpia Zambrów | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 26:27 | -1 | 17 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 24:23 | +1 | 16 |
| 10 | Olimpia Elbląg | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:21 | -3 | 16 |
| 11 | Warta Sieradz | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | ŁKS Łódź II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:21 | +2 | 14 |
| 13 | Widzew II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 21:20 | +1 | 14 |
| 14 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 13 |
| 15 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19:24 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 | Mławianka Mława | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 23:34 | -11 | 10 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14:26 | -12 | 10 |
| 18 | Łomża | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12:28 | -16 | 3 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 6.7% |
| Best of all books | 1.50 | 2.50 | 6.7% |
| Average | 1.50 | 2.50 | 6.7% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Lechia T. Mazowiecki at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Polonia Lidzbark Warm. at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.89 | 3.80 | 3.27, which imply roughly 52.9% for a Lechia T. Mazowiecki win versus the model's 35%.
Form context from the III Liga - Group 1 table: Lechia T. Mazowiecki are 14th (13 pts, 21-26 goals), Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 15th (12 pts, 19-24).
Over their last five matches, Lechia T. Mazowiecki averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Polonia Lidzbark Warm. averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Lechia T. Mazowiecki or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.68 | 3.98 | 3.89 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.20 | 1.97 | 1.19 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.35 | 2.89 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.19 | 2.45 | 3.98 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.57 | 17.0 | 2.38 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| 3 | 1.72 | 1.91 |
| 3.5 | 2.12 | 1.57 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
| 0 | 1.30 | 3.00 |