Jagiellonia II vs Troszyn• III Liga - Group 1, Poland

#92.8:2.40-1FTToday1.2:1.6#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.72PINX4.00B36524.20B365Margin at best6.9%Books7Markets44Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.72	4.00	3.95	8.5%
BetVictor	1.70	4.00	3.90	9.5%
Bet365	1.62	4.00	4.20	10.5%
1xBet	1.66	3.82	4.08	10.9%
Betano	1.72	3.85	3.70	11.1%
Marathonbet	1.64	3.82	3.98	12.3%
Pinnacle	1.72	3.75	3.59	12.7%
Best of all books	1.72	4.00	4.20	6.9%
Average	1.68	3.89	3.91	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Jagiellonia IITroszyn

Last 10#9Table position#171.33Points per game0.837Form pts · last 552.8Goals for · last 51.22.4Goals against · last 51.670Attack rating3040Defence rating6058Form rating4220H2H rating8075Goals model2549Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 14:50 UTC

Jagiellonia II

3W 4D 3L · goals 21:20 · per match 2.1 for, 2.0 against

10 Oct	A	Ząbkovia Ząbki	2-2	D
25 Sep	A	Wisła Płock II	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	ŁKS Łódź II	2-3	L
12 Sep	H	Mławianka Mława	7-4	W
5 Sep	A	Łomża	2-1	W
29 Aug	H	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	1-1	D
23 Aug	A	Weszlo	0-4	L
19 Aug	H	Pelikan Łowicz	3-0	W
15 Aug	A	Warta Sieradz	2-2	D
7 Aug	H	Wigry Suwałki	1-1	D

Troszyn

1W 4D 5L · goals 12:21 · per match 1.2 for, 2.1 against

10 Oct	A	Wisła Płock II	1-2	L
26 Sep	H	ŁKS Łódź II	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Mławianka Mława	1-4	L
12 Sep	H	Łomża	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	2-0	W
29 Aug	H	Weszlo	3-3	D
23 Aug	A	Pelikan Łowicz	1-1	D
19 Aug	H	Warta Sieradz	1-4	L
14 Aug	A	Wigry Suwałki	0-1	L
8 Aug	H	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	1-4	L

Head to head

0Jagiellonia II wins

1draws

1Troszyn wins

2 meetings · goals 1:2 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Jagiellonia II

17 May 2026III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Jagiellonia II0-1Troszyn
31 Oct 2025III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Troszyn1-1Jagiellonia II

III Liga - Group 1 tableGroup Iupdated 14 Oct 17:10 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 1 table, Jagiellonia II sit 9th with 16 points from 12 games, while Troszyn are 17th with 10 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Weszlo	12	9	2	1	26:10	+16	29
2	Wigry Suwałki	12	7	4	1	22:11	+11	25
3	Pelikan Łowicz	12	7	2	3	21:14	+7	23
4	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	12	6	3	3	28:22	+6	21
5	Wisła Płock II	12	6	3	3	24:19	+5	21
6	Swit	12	6	2	4	22:19	+3	20
7	Ząbkovia Ząbki	11	5	2	4	21:20	+1	17
8	Olimpia Zambrów	12	5	2	5	26:27	-1	17
9	Jagiellonia II	12	4	4	4	24:23	+1	16
10	Olimpia Elbląg	12	5	1	6	18:21	-3	16
11	Warta Sieradz	11	4	3	4	19:19	0	15
12	ŁKS Łódź II	11	4	2	5	23:21	+2	14
13	Widzew II	11	4	2	5	21:20	+1	14
14	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	12	4	1	7	21:26	-5	13
15	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	12	3	3	6	19:24	-5	12
16	Mławianka Mława	12	3	1	8	23:34	-11	10
17	Troszyn	12	2	4	6	14:26	-12	10
18	Łomża	12	0	3	9	12:28	-16	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.70X23%3.90224%3.83

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.52 → 1.68 +10.5%X4.22 → 3.89 -7.8%24.81 → 3.91 -18.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
BetVictor	1.40	2.70	8.5%
Pinnacle	1.43	2.51	9.8%
1xBet	1.41	2.52	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.41	2.52	10.6%
Best of all books	1.44	2.70	6.5%
Average	1.42	2.57	9.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.44	2.60	7.9%
1xBet	1.44	2.53	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.44	2.47	9.9%
Best of all books	1.44	2.60	7.9%
Average	1.44	2.53	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Jagiellonia II 10%Draw 45%Troszyn 45%

The statistical model rated Jagiellonia II at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Troszyn at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.70 | 3.90 | 3.83, which imply roughly 25.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 1 table: Jagiellonia II are 9th (16 pts, 24-23 goals), Troszyn 17th (10 pts, 14-26).

Over their last five matches, Jagiellonia II averaged 2.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Troszyn averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Troszyn and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.68	3.89	3.91

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.16	2.05	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.32	3.13

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.44	2.53

1st half

1	X	2
2.15	2.43	4.12

2nd half

1	X	2
1.96	2.86	3.82

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.41	14.3	33.0
HT X	4.83	7.17	10.1
HT 2	19.0	15.3	6.93

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.48	18.6	2.60

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.11	5.38
2.5	1.42	2.57
3.5	2.05	1.66
4.5	3.43	1.24
5.5	6.13	1.09

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.14	4.40
2.25	1.28	3.08
2.75	1.52	2.28
3	1.65	2.03
3.25	1.86	1.80
3.75	2.34	1.49
4	2.82	1.34
4.25	3.08	1.28
4.75	3.50	1.22
5	5.40	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.56	1.42
-1.25	2.34	1.53
-1	2.11	1.63
-0.75	1.85	1.81
-0.5	1.68	1.99
-0.25	1.49	2.34

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	7.10	1.04
-2.5	4.90	1.11
-2	4.20	1.16
-1.75	3.14	1.27
0	1.30	2.98
+0.25	1.23	3.42
+1	1.03	7.40
+1.5	1.02	8.30