Polonia Środa vs Kluczevia Stargard• III Liga - Group 2, Poland

#12.8:1.82-0FTToday1.4:1.2#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.76PINX4.10DAF24.00DAFMargin at best6.2%Books8Markets45Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.70	4.10	4.00	8.2%
BetVictor	1.73	4.00	3.80	9.1%
Betano	1.70	3.85	3.85	10.8%
1xBet	1.71	3.80	3.83	10.9%
Bet365	1.67	4.00	3.80	11.2%
William Hill	1.67	4.00	3.80	11.2%
Marathonbet	1.69	3.80	3.74	12.2%
Pinnacle	1.76	3.68	3.50	12.6%
Best of all books	1.76	4.10	4.00	6.2%
Average	1.70	3.90	3.79	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Polonia ŚrodaKluczevia Stargard

Last 10#1Table position#32.45Points per game1.909Form pts · last 562.8Goals for · last 51.41.8Goals against · last 51.267Attack rating3340Defence rating6050Form rating5050H2H rating5055Goals model4551Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 13:20 UTC

Polonia Środa

7W 3D 0L · goals 32:18 · per match 3.2 for, 1.8 against

3 Oct	A	Wda Świecie	4-0	W
26 Sep	H	Elana Toruń	2-2	D
19 Sep	A	Noteć Czarnków	0-0	D
11 Sep	H	Unia Swarzędz	4-3	W
5 Sep	A	Grom Nowy Staw	4-4	D
1 Sep	H	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	3-2	W
28 Aug	H	Gedania Gdansk	4-3	W
22 Aug	A	Lipno Stęszew	3-2	W
19 Aug	H	Stargard Szczeciński	4-1	W
14 Aug	A	Chemik Bydgoszcz	4-1	W

Kluczevia Stargard

6W 1D 3L · goals 21:16 · per match 2.1 for, 1.6 against

27 Sep	A	Kalisz	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	Wda Świecie	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Elana Toruń	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Noteć Czarnków	1-3	L
1 Sep	H	Pogoń Siedlce	2-3	L
28 Aug	H	Unia Swarzędz	2-0	W
23 Aug	A	Grom Nowy Staw	4-3	W
19 Aug	H	Gedania Gdansk	2-2	D
15 Aug	A	Lipno Stęszew	4-1	W
8 Aug	H	Stargard Szczeciński	2-1	W

Head to head

2Polonia Środa wins

0draws

2Kluczevia Stargard wins

4 meetings · goals 5:7 · last 4: 2W 0D 2L for Polonia Środa

23 May 2026III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Kluczevia Stargard1-2Polonia Środa
7 Nov 2025III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Polonia Środa1-4Kluczevia Stargard
27 Apr 2022III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Polonia Środa0-2Kluczevia Stargard
18 Sep 2021III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Kluczevia Stargard0-2Polonia Środa

III Liga - Group 2 tableGroup IIupdated 9 Oct 20:11 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 2 table, Polonia Środa sit 1st with 27 points from 11 games, while Kluczevia Stargard are 3rd with 19 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Środa	11	8	3	0	33:16	+17	27
2	Luzino	11	8	1	2	31:13	+18	25
3	Kluczevia Stargard	10	6	1	3	19:16	+3	19
4	Stargard Szczeciński	11	5	3	3	27:19	+8	18
5	Wda Świecie	10	5	3	2	15:14	+1	18
6	Kalisz	11	4	5	2	16:15	+1	17
7	Noteć Czarnków	11	5	1	5	18:15	+3	16
8	Lech Poznań II	9	4	3	2	17:15	+2	15
9	Bałtyk Koszalin	11	4	3	4	15:15	0	15
10	Flota Świnoujście	12	4	2	6	15:21	-6	14
11	Unia Swarzędz	11	4	1	6	20:19	+1	13
12	Grom Nowy Staw	11	4	1	6	28:28	0	13
13	Elana Toruń	12	3	4	5	17:22	-5	13
14	Chemik Bydgoszcz	11	2	6	3	17:21	-4	12
15	Gedania Gdansk	11	2	5	4	23:24	-1	11
16	Kotwica Kórnik	11	3	1	7	18:32	-14	10
17	Victoria Września	11	1	5	5	11:23	-12	8
18	Lipno Stęszew	11	1	2	8	11:23	-12	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.70X23%3.90224%3.79

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.63 → 1.70 +4.3%X4.25 → 3.90 -8.2%24.17 → 3.79 -9.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
BetVictor	1.40	2.80	7.1%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Pinnacle	1.39	2.66	9.5%
1xBet	1.36	2.69	10.7%
Marathonbet	1.36	2.69	10.7%
Best of all books	1.44	2.80	5.2%
Average	1.39	2.69	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.40	2.70	8.5%
1xBet	1.39	2.69	9.1%
William Hill	1.40	2.60	9.9%
Marathonbet	1.39	2.63	10.0%
Best of all books	1.40	2.70	8.5%
Average	1.39	2.66	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Polonia Środa 35%Draw 35%Kluczevia Stargard 30%

The statistical model rated Polonia Środa at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Kluczevia Stargard at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.70 | 3.90 | 3.79, which imply roughly 58.8% for a Polonia Środa win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 2 table: Polonia Środa are 1st (27 pts, 33-16 goals), Kluczevia Stargard 3rd (19 pts, 19-16).

Over their last five matches, Polonia Środa averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Kluczevia Stargard averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Polonia Środa or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.70	3.90	3.79

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.19	1.97	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.34	3.01

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.39	2.66

1st half

1	X	2
2.15	2.48	3.92

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.56	20.5	2.37

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	21.0
1.5	1.10	6.15
2.5	1.39	2.69
3.5	1.96	1.72
4.5	3.19	1.28
5.5	6.00	1.10

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.0
2	1.12	4.75
2.25	1.24	3.34
2.75	1.46	2.42
3	1.58	2.16
3.25	1.78	1.89
3.75	2.20	1.55
4	2.60	1.39
4.25	2.88	1.32
5	4.90	1.11

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.72	1.36
-1.25	2.49	1.44
-1	2.18	1.57
-0.75	1.89	1.79
-0.5	1.70	1.99
-0.25	1.52	2.27

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.50	1.04
-3	7.20	1.05
-2.5	5.00	1.10
-2	4.33	1.14
-1.75	3.28	1.25
0	1.34	2.84
+0.25	1.27	3.16
+1	1.04	6.75
+1.5	1.03	7.50