Kalisz vs Lech Poznań II• III Liga - Group 2, Poland

#61.2:2.00-3LiveToday · Stadion Miejski, Kalisz1.6:1.6#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.29PINX3.70B36522.80DAFMargin at best6.4%Books7Markets36Rating53 · 47 levelExp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.28	3.55	2.80	7.7%
BetVictor	2.25	3.60	2.70	9.3%
Betano	2.25	3.40	2.70	10.9%
Bet365	2.15	3.70	2.62	11.7%
1xBet	2.25	3.38	2.62	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.25	3.38	2.62	12.2%
Pinnacle	2.29	3.25	2.62	12.6%
Best of all books	2.29	3.70	2.80	6.4%
Average	2.25	3.47	2.67	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

KaliszLech Poznań II

Last 10#6Table position#91.55Points per game1.676Form pts · last 581.2Goals for · last 51.62.0Goals against · last 51.643Attack rating5744Defence rating5643Form rating5762H2H rating3866Goals model3453Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 12:21 UTC

Kalisz

3W 5D 2L · goals 15:15 · per match 1.5 for, 1.5 against

3 Oct	A	Stargard Szczeciński	0-5	L
27 Sep	H	Kluczevia Stargard	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Chemik Bydgoszcz	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Wda Świecie	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Victoria Września	3-3	D
29 Aug	H	Elana Toruń	5-1	W
23 Aug	A	Bałtyk Koszalin	1-1	D
19 Aug	H	Noteć Czarnków	0-1	L
15 Aug	A	Kotwica Kórnik	2-2	D
9 Aug	H	Unia Swarzędz	1-0	W

Lech Poznań II

4W 4D 2L · goals 19:17 · per match 1.9 for, 1.7 against

19 Sep	A	Elana Toruń	0-0	D
12 Sep	H	Noteć Czarnków	2-1	W
4 Sep	A	Unia Swarzędz	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Grom Nowy Staw	2-4	L
23 Aug	A	Gedania Gdansk	3-2	W
19 Aug	H	Lipno Stęszew	1-0	W
15 Aug	A	Stargard Szczeciński	2-4	L
8 Aug	H	Chemik Bydgoszcz	1-1	D
1 Aug	A	Victoria Września	5-2	W
25 Jul	A	Kalisz	2-2	D

Head to head

3Kalisz wins

4draws

3Lech Poznań II wins

10 meetings · goals 17:14 · last 10: 3W 4D 3L for Kalisz

25 Jul 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Kalisz2-2Lech Poznań II
1 Feb 2025Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Lech Poznań II3-2Kalisz
4 May 2024II Liga - East	II Liga - East	Lech Poznań II1-1Kalisz
20 Oct 2023II Liga - East	II Liga - East	Kalisz2-1Lech Poznań II
23 Apr 2023II Liga - East	II Liga - East	Lech Poznań II0-4Kalisz
18 Sep 2022II Liga - East	II Liga - East	Kalisz2-2Lech Poznań II
1 May 2022II Liga - East	II Liga - East	Lech Poznań II1-0Kalisz
23 Oct 2021II Liga - East	II Liga - East	Kalisz2-2Lech Poznań II
15 May 2021II Liga - East	II Liga - East	Lech Poznań II2-0Kalisz
21 Nov 2020II Liga - East	II Liga - East	Kalisz2-0Lech Poznań II

III Liga - Group 2 tableGroup IIupdated 10 Oct 16:10 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 2 table, Kalisz sit 6th with 17 points from 11 games, while Lech Poznań II are 9th with 15 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Środa	12	9	3	0	35:16	+19	30
2	Luzino	12	9	1	2	34:13	+21	28
3	Kluczevia Stargard	11	6	1	4	19:18	+1	19
4	Stargard Szczeciński	12	5	3	4	30:23	+7	18
5	Wda Świecie	11	5	3	3	15:17	-2	18
6	Kalisz	11	4	5	2	16:15	+1	17
7	Noteć Czarnków	11	5	1	5	18:15	+3	16
8	Bałtyk Koszalin	12	4	4	4	16:16	0	16
9	Lech Poznań II	9	4	3	2	17:15	+2	15
10	Unia Swarzędz	12	4	2	6	21:20	+1	14
11	Flota Świnoujście	12	4	2	6	15:21	-6	14
12	Grom Nowy Staw	12	4	1	7	28:29	-1	13
13	Elana Toruń	12	3	4	5	17:22	-5	13
14	Chemik Bydgoszcz	11	2	6	3	17:21	-4	12
15	Gedania Gdansk	11	2	5	4	23:24	-1	11
16	Victoria Września	12	2	5	5	12:23	-11	11
17	Kotwica Kórnik	11	3	1	7	18:32	-14	10
18	Lipno Stęszew	12	2	2	8	15:26	-11	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.25X26%3.47234%2.67

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.19 → 2.25 +2.7%X3.53 → 3.47 -1.7%22.74 → 2.67 -2.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
BetVictor	1.58	2.19	9.0%
1xBet	1.58	2.18	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.18	9.2%
Pinnacle	1.57	2.19	9.4%
Betano	1.60	2.12	9.7%
Best of all books	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Average	1.59	2.19	8.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.47	2.45	8.8%
1xBet	1.49	2.39	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.49	2.34	9.8%
Best of all books	1.49	2.45	7.9%
Average	1.48	2.39	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Kalisz 45%Draw 45%Lech Poznań II 10%

The statistical model rates Kalisz at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Lech Poznań II at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.25 | 3.47 | 2.67, which imply roughly 44.4% for a Kalisz win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 2 table: Kalisz are 6th (17 pts, 16-15 goals), Lech Poznań II 9th (15 pts, 17-15).

Over their last five matches, Kalisz averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Lech Poznań II averaged 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Kalisz or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.25	3.47	2.67

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.37	1.51	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.68	2.05

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.48	2.39

1st half

1	X	2
2.77	2.24	3.22

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.81	14.9	2.01

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.16	4.30
2.5	1.59	2.19
3.5	2.39	1.47
4.5	4.30	1.16
5.5	8.50	1.04

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.19	3.80
2	1.24	3.34
2.25	1.41	2.59
2.75	1.72	1.96
3	1.92	1.74
3.25	2.15	1.58
3.75	2.79	1.34
4	3.50	1.22

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.62	1.39
-0.5	2.25	1.55
-0.25	1.97	1.73
0	1.71	2.00
+0.25	1.52	2.29
+0.5	1.41	2.58

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.10	1.02
-2	7.50	1.03
-1.5	4.15	1.16
-1.25	3.78	1.19
-1	3.34	1.24
+0.75	1.28	3.08
+1	1.15	4.25
+1.5	1.10	5.05