Lipno Stęszew vs Chemik Bydgoszcz• III Liga - Group 2, Poland

#181.2:2.20-1FT03/101.8:2.4#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.341XBX4.031XB22.651XBMargin at best5.3%Books4Markets32Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 16:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.34	4.03	2.65	5.3%
Betano	2.30	3.45	2.60	10.9%
Bet365	2.25	3.50	2.60	11.5%
Marathonbet	2.27	3.45	2.55	12.3%
Best of all books	2.34	4.03	2.65	5.3%
Average	2.29	3.61	2.60	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Lipno StęszewChemik Bydgoszcz

Last 10#18Table position#150.67Points per game1.004Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 51.82.2Goals against · last 52.440Attack rating6052Defence rating4850Form rating500H2H rating050Goals model5048Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 12:21 UTC

Lipno Stęszew

1W 1D 8L · goals 10:22 · per match 1.0 for, 2.2 against

3 Oct	H	Chemik Bydgoszcz	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	Victoria Września	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Bałtyk Koszalin	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Kotwica Kórnik	1-4	L
5 Sep	H	Flota Świnoujście	1-3	L
28 Aug	A	Luzino	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Polonia Środa	2-3	L
19 Aug	A	Lech Poznań II	0-1	L
15 Aug	H	Kluczevia Stargard	1-4	L
8 Aug	A	Wda Świecie	1-2	L

Chemik Bydgoszcz

1W 5D 4L · goals 13:23 · per match 1.3 for, 2.3 against

3 Oct	A	Lipno Stęszew	1-0	W
26 Sep	H	Stargard Szczeciński	3-3	D
19 Sep	H	Kalisz	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Victoria Września	2-2	D
5 Sep	H	Bałtyk Koszalin	2-2	D
1 Sep	H	Piast Gliwice	0-3	L
28 Aug	A	Kotwica Kórnik	1-4	L
22 Aug	H	Flota Świnoujście	1-1	D
19 Aug	A	Luzino	1-3	L
14 Aug	H	Polonia Środa	1-4	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Lipno Stęszew and Chemik Bydgoszcz on record.

III Liga - Group 2 tableGroup IIupdated 13 Oct 17:30 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 2 table, Lipno Stęszew sit 18th with 8 points from 12 games, while Chemik Bydgoszcz are 15th with 12 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Środa	12	9	3	0	35:16	+19	30
2	Luzino	12	9	1	2	34:13	+21	28
3	Kluczevia Stargard	11	6	1	4	19:18	+1	19
4	Stargard Szczeciński	12	5	3	4	30:23	+7	18
5	Lech Poznań II	10	5	3	2	21:17	+4	18
6	Wda Świecie	11	5	3	3	15:17	-2	18
7	Noteć Czarnków	12	5	2	5	19:16	+3	17
8	Kalisz	12	4	5	3	18:19	-1	17
9	Bałtyk Koszalin	12	4	4	4	16:16	0	16
10	Unia Swarzędz	12	4	2	6	21:20	+1	14
11	Gedania Gdansk	12	3	5	4	26:26	0	14
12	Flota Świnoujście	12	4	2	6	15:21	-6	14
13	Grom Nowy Staw	12	4	1	7	28:29	-1	13
14	Elana Toruń	12	3	4	5	17:22	-5	13
15	Chemik Bydgoszcz	12	2	6	4	19:24	-5	12
16	Victoria Września	12	2	5	5	12:23	-11	11
17	Kotwica Kórnik	12	3	2	7	19:33	-14	11
18	Lipno Stęszew	12	2	2	8	15:26	-11	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.30X26%3.53235%2.59

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.29 → 2.30 +0.4%X3.61 → 3.54 -1.9%22.60 → 2.60 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.58	2.34	6.0%
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Marathonbet	1.54	2.27	9.0%
Betano	1.55	2.15	11.0%
Best of all books	1.58	2.35	5.8%
Average	1.56	2.28	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.46	2.46	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.41	10.0%
Best of all books	1.46	2.46	9.1%
Average	1.46	2.44	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lipno Stęszew 10%Draw 45%Chemik Bydgoszcz 45%

The statistical model rated Lipno Stęszew at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Chemik Bydgoszcz at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.30 | 3.53 | 2.59, which imply roughly 28.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 2 table: Lipno Stęszew are 18th (8 pts, 15-26 goals), Chemik Bydgoszcz 15th (12 pts, 19-24).

Over their last five matches, Lipno Stęszew averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Chemik Bydgoszcz averaged 1.8 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Chemik Bydgoszcz and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.29	3.61	2.60

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.39	1.49	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.72	1.96

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.46	2.44

1st half

1	X	2
2.82	2.34	3.11

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.83	16.3	1.94

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.15	4.54
2.5	1.56	2.28
3.5	2.29	1.53
4.5	3.98	1.19
5.5	8.00	1.03

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.17	4.00
2	1.21	3.58
2.25	1.40	2.74
2.75	1.65	2.00
3	1.83	1.80
3.25	2.12	1.65
3.75	2.69	1.36
4	3.34	1.24

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.42	1.23
-0.75	2.62	1.38
-0.25	1.97	1.68
0	1.75	1.97
+0.25	1.53	2.21
+0.75	1.30	2.98

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	7.50	1.03
-1.5	4.15	1.16
-1.25	3.80	1.19
+1	1.16	4.10
+1.5	1.11	4.85
+2	1.01	8.90