Lech Poznań II vs Wda Świecie• III Liga - Group 2, Poland

#51.8:1.61-4FTToday · Amica Wronki Stadium, Wronki0.8:2.2#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.75BFRX4.00BFR24.301XBMargin at best5.4%Books8Markets44Rating69 · 31Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.75	4.00	3.90	7.8%
BetVictor	1.67	4.00	4.10	9.3%
Betfair	1.75	4.00	3.50	10.7%
Betano	1.75	3.75	3.70	10.8%
1xBet	1.63	3.85	4.24	10.9%
Bet365	1.75	3.90	3.50	11.4%
Marathonbet	1.61	3.85	4.15	12.2%
Pinnacle	1.64	3.81	3.92	12.7%
Best of all books	1.75	4.00	4.24	5.7%
Average	1.69	3.90	3.88	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Lech Poznań IIWda Świecie

Last 10#5Table position#61.80Points per game1.648Form pts · last 541.8Goals for · last 50.81.6Goals against · last 52.269Attack rating3158Defence rating4267Form rating3391H2H rating951Goals model4969Overall rating31

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 11:50 UTC

Lech Poznań II

5W 3D 2L · goals 21:17 · per match 2.1 for, 1.7 against

10 Oct	A	Kalisz	4-2	W
19 Sep	A	Elana Toruń	0-0	D
12 Sep	H	Noteć Czarnków	2-1	W
4 Sep	A	Unia Swarzędz	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Grom Nowy Staw	2-4	L
23 Aug	A	Gedania Gdansk	3-2	W
19 Aug	H	Lipno Stęszew	1-0	W
15 Aug	A	Stargard Szczeciński	2-4	L
8 Aug	H	Chemik Bydgoszcz	1-1	D
1 Aug	A	Victoria Września	5-2	W

Wda Świecie

5W 2D 3L · goals 14:16 · per match 1.4 for, 1.6 against

10 Oct	A	Luzino	0-3	L
3 Oct	H	Polonia Środa	0-4	L
19 Sep	H	Kluczevia Stargard	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Kalisz	1-1	D
4 Sep	A	Elana Toruń	2-1	W
28 Aug	H	Noteć Czarnków	2-1	W
23 Aug	A	Unia Swarzędz	1-0	W
19 Aug	H	Grom Nowy Staw	4-2	W
15 Aug	A	Gedania Gdansk	1-1	D
8 Aug	H	Lipno Stęszew	2-1	W

Head to head

3Lech Poznań II wins

1draws

0Wda Świecie wins

4 meetings · goals 11:3 · last 4: 3W 1D 0L for Lech Poznań II

10 Apr 2026III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Wda Świecie2-3Lech Poznań II
21 Sep 2025III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Lech Poznań II6-0Wda Świecie
15 Mar 2025III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Wda Świecie1-1Lech Poznań II
21 Aug 2024III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Lech Poznań II1-0Wda Świecie

III Liga - Group 2 tableGroup IIupdated 13 Oct 17:30 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 2 table, Lech Poznań II sit 5th with 18 points from 10 games, while Wda Świecie are 6th with 18 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Środa	12	9	3	0	35:16	+19	30
2	Luzino	12	9	1	2	34:13	+21	28
3	Kluczevia Stargard	11	6	1	4	19:18	+1	19
4	Stargard Szczeciński	12	5	3	4	30:23	+7	18
5	Lech Poznań II	10	5	3	2	21:17	+4	18
6	Wda Świecie	11	5	3	3	15:17	-2	18
7	Noteć Czarnków	12	5	2	5	19:16	+3	17
8	Kalisz	12	4	5	3	18:19	-1	17
9	Bałtyk Koszalin	12	4	4	4	16:16	0	16
10	Unia Swarzędz	12	4	2	6	21:20	+1	14
11	Gedania Gdansk	12	3	5	4	26:26	0	14
12	Flota Świnoujście	12	4	2	6	15:21	-6	14
13	Grom Nowy Staw	12	4	1	7	28:29	-1	13
14	Elana Toruń	12	3	4	5	17:22	-5	13
15	Chemik Bydgoszcz	12	2	6	4	19:24	-5	12
16	Victoria Września	12	2	5	5	12:23	-11	11
17	Kotwica Kórnik	12	3	2	7	19:33	-14	11
18	Lipno Stęszew	12	2	2	8	15:26	-11	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.69X23%3.90223%3.88

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.74 → 1.69 -2.9%X3.89 → 3.90 +0.3%23.67 → 3.90 +6.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
BetVictor	1.44	2.60	7.9%
Betfair	1.50	2.40	8.3%
Pinnacle	1.44	2.49	9.6%
1xBet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
Best of all books	1.50	2.60	5.1%
Average	1.45	2.50	8.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.50	2.40	8.3%
BetVictor	1.44	2.55	8.7%
1xBet	1.45	2.50	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.45	2.44	9.9%
Best of all books	1.50	2.55	5.9%
Average	1.46	2.47	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lech Poznań II 45%Draw 45%Wda Świecie 10%

The statistical model rated Lech Poznań II at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Wda Świecie at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.69 | 3.90 | 3.88, which imply roughly 59.2% for a Lech Poznań II win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 2 table: Lech Poznań II are 5th (18 pts, 21-17 goals), Wda Świecie 6th (18 pts, 15-17).

Over their last five matches, Lech Poznań II averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Wda Świecie averaged 0.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Lech Poznań II or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.69	3.90	3.88

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.20	1.94	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.34	3.03

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.46	2.47

1st half

1	X	2
2.18	2.38	4.14

2nd half

1	X	2
1.95	2.85	3.90

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.68	13.5	27.8
HT X	4.94	6.73	8.81
HT 2	16.9	14.1	6.08

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.54	17.4	2.44

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	17.0
1.5	1.11	5.30
2.5	1.45	2.50
3.5	2.12	1.62
4.5	3.65	1.22
5.5	6.83	1.07

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.0
2	1.14	4.40
2.25	1.28	3.08
2.75	1.53	2.26
3	1.67	2.01
3.25	1.89	1.78
3.75	2.38	1.47
4	2.88	1.32
4.25	3.20	1.26
5	5.80	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.60	1.39
-1.25	2.37	1.49
-1	2.09	1.63
-0.75	1.84	1.85
-0.5	1.70	2.02
-0.25	1.45	2.44

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	4.95	1.11
-2	4.20	1.15
-1.75	3.14	1.27
0	1.27	3.17
+0.25	1.21	3.58
+1	1.02	8.30