Polonia Nysa vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra• III Liga - Group 3, Poland

#151.2:1.42-2FTToday1.4:1.0#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.90BVCX3.50WH22.20BVCMargin at best8.5%Books6Markets40Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	2.90	3.40	2.20	9.3%
1xBet	2.85	3.44	2.14	10.9%
Bet365	2.75	3.50	2.15	11.4%
William Hill	2.75	3.50	2.15	11.4%
Marathonbet	2.78	3.44	2.12	12.2%
Pinnacle	2.77	3.39	2.10	13.2%
Best of all books	2.90	3.50	2.20	8.5%
Average	2.80	3.45	2.14	11.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Polonia NysaKarkonosze Jelenia Góra

Last 10#15Table position#80.92Points per game1.506Form pts · last 591.2Goals for · last 51.41.4Goals against · last 51.046Attack rating5442Defence rating5840Form rating600H2H rating10060Goals model4040Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 18:02 UTC

Polonia Nysa

3W 1D 6L · goals 11:19 · per match 1.1 for, 1.9 against

10 Oct	A	Warta Gorzów	1-0	W
2 Oct	H	Miedź Legnica II	1-2	L
26 Sep	A	Kluczbork	3-1	W
18 Sep	H	Rakow II	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	Sparta Katowice	0-4	L
29 Aug	H	Ślęza Wrocław	1-3	L
22 Aug	A	Goczałkowice Zdrój	0-2	L
19 Aug	H	Stal Brzeg	3-2	W
15 Aug	A	Stilon Gorzów	1-1	D

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra

4W 2D 4L · goals 12:9 · per match 1.2 for, 0.9 against

10 Oct	H	Sparta Katowice	1-0	W
3 Oct	A	Ślęza Wrocław	0-2	L
26 Sep	H	Goczałkowice Zdrój	2-0	W
19 Sep	A	Stal Brzeg	0-1	L
13 Sep	H	Stilon Gorzów	4-2	W
5 Sep	A	Zagłębie Lubin II	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Odra Bytom Odrzański	0-0	D
23 Aug	A	Górnik Polkowice	1-2	L
19 Aug	H	Barycz Sułów	3-0	W
14 Aug	A	Carina Gubin	1-1	D

Head to head

0Polonia Nysa wins

0draws

2Karkonosze Jelenia Góra wins

2 meetings · goals 1:7 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Polonia Nysa

17 May 2026III Liga - Group 3	III Liga - Group 3	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra3-1Polonia Nysa
31 Oct 2025III Liga - Group 3	III Liga - Group 3	Polonia Nysa0-4Karkonosze Jelenia Góra

III Liga - Group 3 tableGroup IIIupdated 16 Oct 19:52 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 3 table, Polonia Nysa sit 15th with 11 points from 12 games, while Karkonosze Jelenia Góra are 8th with 18 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	12	8	1	3	17:9	+8	25
2	Sparta Katowice	12	7	3	2	19:8	+11	24
3	Zagłębie Lubin II	12	6	6	0	24:14	+10	24
4	Odra Bytom Odrzański	12	7	3	2	13:6	+7	24
5	Barycz Sułów	12	6	3	3	19:14	+5	21
6	ROW Rybnik	12	6	2	4	25:19	+6	20
7	Górnik Polkowice	12	5	3	4	23:19	+4	18
8	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	12	5	3	4	13:9	+4	18
9	Miedź Legnica II	12	5	2	5	27:22	+5	17
10	Stilon Gorzów	12	4	4	4	20:19	+1	16
11	Warta Gorzów	12	3	5	4	11:18	-7	14
12	Stal Brzeg	12	3	3	6	19:18	+1	12
13	Goczałkowice Zdrój	12	3	3	6	11:16	-5	12
14	Kluczbork	11	4	0	7	10:18	-8	12
15	Polonia Nysa	12	3	2	7	13:24	-11	11
16	Ślęza Wrocław	12	3	1	8	18:28	-10	10
17	Rakow II	11	2	3	6	13:20	-7	9
18	Carina Gubin	12	2	3	7	8:22	-14	9

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.80X26%3.45242%2.14

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.74 → 2.80 +2.2%X3.50 → 3.45 -1.4%22.19 → 2.14 -2.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.08	5.9%
1xBet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
BetVictor	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Pinnacle	1.69	2.00	9.2%
Best of all books	1.73	2.08	5.9%
Average	1.71	2.01	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.58	2.19	9.0%
William Hill	1.62	2.10	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.15	9.8%
Best of all books	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Average	1.59	2.17	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Polonia Nysa 10%Draw 45%Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 45%

The statistical model rated Polonia Nysa at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Karkonosze Jelenia Góra at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.80 | 3.45 | 2.14, which imply roughly 29% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 3 table: Polonia Nysa are 15th (11 pts, 13-24 goals), Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 8th (18 pts, 13-9).

Over their last five matches, Polonia Nysa averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Karkonosze Jelenia Góra averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Karkonosze Jelenia Góra.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.80	3.45	2.14

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.56	1.34	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
2.13	1.66

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.59	2.17

1st half

1	X	2
3.36	2.22	2.72

2nd half

1	X	2
3.12	2.47	2.51

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.47	14.5	24.5
HT X	6.80	5.70	5.70
HT 2	28.0	14.5	3.45

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.08	13.1	1.80

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.4
1.5	1.19	3.93
2.5	1.71	2.01
3.5	2.76	1.37
4.5	5.33	1.10
5.5	10.5	1.03

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	8.65
1.75	1.25	3.32
2	1.32	2.91
2.25	1.50	2.32
2.75	1.88	1.79
3	2.17	1.57
3.25	2.45	1.45
3.75	3.34	1.24
4	4.55	1.13

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.72	1.36
-0.25	2.45	1.45
0	2.13	1.61
+0.25	1.80	1.89
+0.5	1.62	2.12
+0.75	1.43	2.50

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.05	1.06
-1	5.10	1.10
-0.75	3.42	1.23
+1	1.26	3.24
+1.25	1.19	3.78
+1.5	1.15	4.20
+2	1.01	8.50
+2.5	1.04	8.50