The statistical model rates Portuguesa at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Marcílio Dias at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.64 | 3.26 | 5.30, which imply roughly 61% for a Portuguesa win versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Portuguesa averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Marcílio Dias averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Portuguesa or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 22 | |
| 2 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 | |
| 3 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | |
| 4 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | |
| 5 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | |
| 6 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 |
1
1.64
X
3.26
2
5.30
1X
1.11
X2
2.05
12
1.26
Yes
2.03
No
1.67
Over 1.5
1.35
Under 1.5
2.83
Over 2.5
2.14
Under 2.5
1.62
Over 3.5
3.78
Under 3.5
1.20
Over 0.5
1.06
Under 0.5
7.36
Over 4.5
7.40
Under 4.5
1.06
Over 5.5
11.00
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
17.00
Over 1.75
1.43
Under 1.75
2.46
Over 2
1.57
Under 2
2.14
Over 2.25
1.86
Under 2.25
1.81
Over 2.75
2.43
Under 2.75
1.44
Over 1
1.06
Under 1
6.10
Over 1.25
1.20
Under 1.25
3.72
Over 3
3.05
Under 3
1.28
Over 3.25
3.42
Under 3.25
1.23
Over 4
6.90
Under 4
1.04
1
1.21
2
3.65
Away 2.25
1.15
1
2.26
X
2.04
2
5.70
Home
1.52
No Goal
7.45
Away
3.06