KarpatyvsShakhtar Donetsk• Premier League,Ukraine
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Karpaty3rd10 pts
Shakhtar Donetsk2nd12 pts
Karpaty3rd10 pts
Shakhtar Donetsk2nd12 ptsIn the Premier League table, Karpaty sit 3rd with 10 points from 5 games, while Shakhtar Donetsk are 2nd with 12 points from 5 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Karpaty at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Shakhtar Donetsk at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.63 | 3.53 | 1.72, which imply roughly 28.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Premier League table: Karpaty are 3rd (10 pts, 12-4 goals), Shakhtar Donetsk 2nd (12 pts, 10-4).
Over their last five matches, Karpaty averaged 2.8 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Shakhtar Donetsk averaged 2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Shakhtar Donetsk.
Karpaty vs Shakhtar Donetsk — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Polessya | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| 3 |  Karpaty | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 |  FC Kharkiv | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 |  Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 |  Dynamo Kyiv | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Zorya Luhansk | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 |  Bukovyna | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 |  Veres Rivne | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 |  Kryvbas KR | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 11 |  LNZ Cherkasy | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 |  Livyi Bereh | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 |  Chornomorets | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 14 |  Obolon'-Brovar | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 |  Kolos Kovalivka | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 |  Kudrivka | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Starting Lineups
Karpaty
4-2-3-1Coach: Fran Fernandez
Goalkeeper
- 1Denys Marchenko
Defence
- 14Ivan Calero
- 4Vladislav Baboglo
- 47Jean Pedroso
- 73Rostyslav Liakh
Midfield
- 8Ambrosiy Chachua
- 10Moha Moukhliss
- 70Xeber Alkain
- 7Fellipe Vieira Cardoso
- 17Roman Vantukh
Attack
- 31Nazariy Rusyn
Substitutes (12)
- 80Roman Mysak
- 36Anton Zhylkin
- 5Andrii Buleza
- 11Denis Miroshnichenko
- 55Timur Stetskov
- 20Marko Sapuga
- 56Vladyslav Reznik
- 21Bruno Iglesias
- 19Yaroslav Karabin
- 77Joaquinete
- 28Oleksandr Diedov
- 9Joseph Sery
Shakhtar Donetsk
4-2-3-1Coach: Arda Turan
Goalkeeper
- 31Dmytro Riznyk
Defence
- 20Oleksandr Karavaiev
- 5Valerii Bondar
- 22Mykola Matvienko
- 13Pedro Henrique
Midfield
- 6Marlon Gomes
- 29Yehor Nazaryna
- 30Alisson Santana
- 27Oleg Ocheretko
- 11Newerton Palmares
Attack
- 49Luca Meirelles
Substitutes (12)
- 48Denys Tvardovskyi
- 17Vinícius Tobias
- 18Alaa Ghram
- 8Dmytro Kryskiv
- 37Lucas Ferreira
- 14Isaque
- 24Viktor Tsukanov
- 77Gleiker Mendoza
- 68Prosper Obah
- 2Lassina Traoré
- 9Kauã Elias
- 25Gabriel Carvalho
Betting Odds
Full time
1
5.49
X
4.24
2
1.52
Double chance
1X
2.44
X2
1.13
12
1.20
Both teams to score
Yes
1.77
No
1.95
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.19
Under 1.5
4.12
Over 1.75
1.25
Under 1.75
3.54
Over 2
1.31
Under 2
3.13
Over 2.25
1.51
Under 2.25
2.46
Over 2.5
1.69
Under 2.5
2.11
Over 2.75
1.85
Under 2.75
1.86
Over 3.5
2.68
Under 3.5
1.41
Over 1
1.04
Under 1
9.25
Over 1.25
1.11
Under 1.25
5.36
Over 3
2.13
Under 3
1.64
Over 4.5
4.88
Under 4.5
1.14
Over 3.25
2.41
Under 3.25
1.51
Over 3.75
3.14
Under 3.75
1.30
Over 4
4.08
Under 4
1.19
Over 4.25
4.41
Under 4.25
1.16
Over 4.75
5.85
Under 4.75
1.09
Over 5
7.95
Under 5
1.04
Over 5.5
8.67
Under 5.5
1.03
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
12.45
Over 0.75
1.03
Under 0.75
9.90
Over 5.25
8.25
Under 5.25
1.05
Over 6.5
12.30
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 5.75
10.10
Under 5.75
1.03
Over 6.25
12.50
Under 6.25
1.01
Over 6
12.30
Under 6
1.01
Asian handicap
Away -3.75
10.10
1st half
1
5.35
X
2.37
2
2.03
First team to score
Home
3.06
No Goal
14.00
Away
1.41