Newry City AFC vs Dundela• Championship, Northern-Ireland

#71.8:1.818:45Today · The Showgrounds, Newry2.2:2.0#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.85BTNX3.90DAF23.90DAFMargin at best5.3%Books8Markets53Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L53.9

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.79	3.90	3.90	7.1%
Betano	1.85	3.70	3.55	9.3%
BetVictor	1.83	3.80	3.50	9.5%
1xBet	1.76	3.55	3.86	10.9%
Bet365	1.80	3.60	3.50	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.74	3.55	3.76	12.2%
Pinnacle	1.83	3.51	3.41	12.5%
William Hill	1.80	3.60	3.30	13.6%
Best of all books	1.85	3.90	3.90	5.3%
Average	1.80	3.65	3.60	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Newry City AFCDundela

Last 10#7Table position#121.50Points per game1.106Form pts · last 581.8Goals for · last 52.21.8Goals against · last 52.045Attack rating5553Defence rating4743Form rating5750H2H rating5036Goals model6445Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 13:10 UTC

Newry City AFC

4W 3D 3L · goals 16:18 · per match 1.6 for, 1.8 against

3 Oct	A	Loughgall	1-2	L
25 Sep	H	H&W Welders	3-2	W
18 Sep	H	Annagh United	1-1	D
11 Sep	A	Strabane Athletic	2-2	D
4 Sep	H	Armagh City	2-2	D
29 Aug	A	Institute	3-1	W
21 Aug	H	Warrenpoint Town	0-3	L
15 Aug	A	Rathfriland	2-1	W
11 Aug	H	Glenavon FC	1-4	L
8 Aug	A	Ballinamallard United	1-0	W

Dundela

2W 5D 3L · goals 18:20 · per match 1.8 for, 2.0 against

3 Oct	H	Queen's University	0-2	L
26 Sep	A	Armagh City	2-0	W
18 Sep	H	Strabane Athletic	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Newington Youth	5-5	D
5 Sep	H	Glenavon FC	3-2	W
28 Aug	A	H&W Welders	0-2	L
22 Aug	A	Ballinamallard United	1-2	L
15 Aug	H	Annagh United	2-2	D
11 Aug	A	Ards	2-2	D
8 Aug	H	Moyola Park	2-2	D

Head to head

4Newry City AFC wins

5draws

2Dundela wins

11 meetings · goals 13:9 · last 10: 4W 4D 2L for Newry City AFC

14 Mar 2025Championship	Championship	Newry City AFC1-1Dundela
22 Nov 2024Championship	Championship	Newry City AFC0-2Dundela
10 Aug 2024Championship	Championship	Dundela1-0Newry City AFC
6 Aug 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Newry City AFC2-1Dundela
4 Feb 2022Irish Cup	Irish Cup	Newry City AFC1-0Dundela
28 Jan 2022Championship	Championship	Newry City AFC1-0Dundela
26 Nov 2021Championship	Championship	Dundela2-2Newry City AFC
25 Sep 2021Championship	Championship	Newry City AFC1-1Dundela
29 Feb 2020Championship	Championship	Dundela0-0Newry City AFC
21 Dec 2019Championship	Championship	Newry City AFC4-0Dundela

Championship tableChampionship 1updated 9 Oct 15:40 UTC

In the Championship table, Newry City AFC sit 7th with 15 points from 10 games, while Dundela are 12th with 11 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Annagh United	10	6	3	1	24:13	+11	21
2	Glenavon FC	10	6	2	2	25:13	+12	20
3	Newington Youth	10	6	2	2	24:18	+6	20
4	Queen's University	10	6	1	3	20:7	+13	19
5	Institute	10	5	1	4	20:17	+3	16
6	H&W Welders	10	5	0	5	18:16	+2	15
7	Newry City AFC	10	4	3	3	16:18	-2	15
8	Warrenpoint Town	10	4	2	4	18:15	+3	14
9	Ballinamallard United	10	4	2	4	16:16	0	14
10	Loughgall	10	3	4	3	14:19	-5	13
11	Ards	10	3	3	4	12:13	-1	12
12	Dundela	10	2	5	3	18:20	-2	11
13	Moyola Park	10	3	2	5	10:20	-10	11
14	Strabane Athletic	10	2	3	5	10:19	-9	9
15	Rathfriland	10	2	0	8	9:22	-13	6
16	Armagh City	10	0	5	5	8:16	-8	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.80X25%3.65225%3.60

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.64 → 1.80 +9.8%X3.87 → 3.65 -5.7%24.28 → 3.60 -15.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
BetVictor	1.55	2.30	8.0%
Betano	1.50	2.37	8.9%
Pinnacle	1.48	2.38	9.6%
1xBet	1.48	2.33	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.48	2.33	10.5%
Best of all books	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Average	1.51	2.34	8.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
BetVictor	1.45	2.50	9.0%
1xBet	1.47	2.44	9.0%
Betano	1.47	2.42	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.47	2.39	9.9%
William Hill	1.44	2.40	11.1%
Best of all books	1.62	2.50	1.7%
Average	1.49	2.39	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Newry City AFC 10%Draw 45%Dundela 45%

The statistical model rates Newry City AFC at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Dundela at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.80 | 3.65 | 3.60, which imply roughly 27.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Newry City AFC are 7th (15 pts, 16-18 goals), Dundela 12th (11 pts, 18-20).

Over their last five matches, Newry City AFC averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Dundela averaged 2.2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Dundela and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.80	3.65	3.60

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.20	1.90	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.41	2.68

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.49	2.39

1st half

1	X	2
2.31	2.33	3.94

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.55	15.6	2.44

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.0
1.5	1.15	4.49
2.5	1.51	2.34
3.5	2.25	1.56
4.5	3.82	1.21
5.5	6.53	1.09
6.5	10.5	1.02
7.5	17.0	–
8.5	21.0	–

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	8.50
1.75	1.16	4.10
2	1.18	3.90
2.25	1.33	2.84
2.75	1.60	2.13
3	1.77	1.90
3.25	1.98	1.70
3.75	2.53	1.41
4	3.08	1.28
4.25	3.34	1.24
5	6.05	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.81	1.36
-1.25	2.55	1.44
-1	2.18	1.61
-0.75	1.93	1.77
-0.5	1.78	1.96
-0.25	1.54	2.29

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.80	1.01
-3	7.50	1.04
-2.75	6.40	1.12
-2.5	5.27	1.12
-2.25	4.46	1.17
-2	4.52	1.15
-1.75	3.37	1.26
0	1.34	2.94
+0.25	1.27	3.32
+0.5	1.21	4.25
+0.75	1.14	5.75
+1	1.04	6.98
+1.5	1.02	7.80