Newington Youth vs Ards• Championship, Northern-Ireland

#32.0:2.618:45Today0.6:0.8#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.91WHX4.00DAF23.50BVCMargin at best5.9%Books8Markets54Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.88	4.00	3.50	6.8%
Betano	1.87	3.85	3.40	8.9%
BetVictor	1.85	3.75	3.50	9.3%
1xBet	1.87	3.82	3.20	10.9%
Bet365	1.90	3.60	3.20	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.84	3.84	3.14	12.2%
Pinnacle	1.91	3.97	2.86	12.5%
William Hill	1.91	3.50	3.10	13.2%
Best of all books	1.91	4.00	3.50	5.9%
Average	1.88	3.79	3.24	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Newington YouthArds

Last 10#3Table position#112.00Points per game1.207Form pts · last 552.0Goals for · last 50.62.6Goals against · last 50.877Attack rating2324Defence rating7658Form rating4238H2H rating6260Goals model4050Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 13:01 UTC

Newington Youth

6W 2D 2L · goals 24:18 · per match 2.4 for, 1.8 against

3 Oct	A	Institute	0-7	L
26 Sep	H	Ballinamallard United	4-0	W
19 Sep	A	Glenavon FC	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Dundela	5-5	D
5 Sep	A	Warrenpoint Town	1-0	W
28 Aug	A	Strabane Athletic	2-1	W
22 Aug	H	Rathfriland	4-0	W
15 Aug	H	Queen's University	2-1	W
11 Aug	A	Loughgall	2-2	D
8 Aug	H	Annagh United	4-1	W

Ards

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:13 · per match 1.2 for, 1.3 against

3 Oct	A	Ballinamallard United	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Strabane Athletic	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	Moyola Park	0-0	D
12 Sep	H	Rathfriland	1-0	W
4 Sep	A	Annagh United	1-2	L
28 Aug	H	Queen's University	0-3	L
22 Aug	H	Loughgall	1-2	L
15 Aug	A	Warrenpoint Town	3-1	W
11 Aug	H	Dundela	2-2	D
8 Aug	A	Glenavon FC	3-1	W

Head to head

5Newington Youth wins

4draws

5Ards wins

14 meetings · goals 24:22 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Newington Youth

3 Feb 2026Championship	Championship	Ards2-1Newington Youth
17 Jan 2026Championship	Championship	Newington Youth2-0Ards
4 Oct 2025Championship	Championship	Newington Youth0-3Ards
22 Feb 2025Championship	Championship	Ards1-1Newington Youth
2 Nov 2024Championship	Championship	Newington Youth2-2Ards
17 Aug 2024Championship	Championship	Ards3-2Newington Youth
13 Apr 2024Championship	Championship	Ards1-1Newington Youth
27 Feb 2024Championship	Championship	Newington Youth1-0Ards
2 Dec 2023Championship	Championship	Newington Youth4-1Ards
5 Aug 2023Championship	Championship	Ards1-3Newington Youth

Championship tableChampionship 1updated 9 Oct 15:40 UTC

In the Championship table, Newington Youth sit 3rd with 20 points from 10 games, while Ards are 11th with 12 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Annagh United	10	6	3	1	24:13	+11	21
2	Glenavon FC	10	6	2	2	25:13	+12	20
3	Newington Youth	10	6	2	2	24:18	+6	20
4	Queen's University	10	6	1	3	20:7	+13	19
5	Institute	10	5	1	4	20:17	+3	16
6	H&W Welders	10	5	0	5	18:16	+2	15
7	Newry City AFC	10	4	3	3	16:18	-2	15
8	Warrenpoint Town	10	4	2	4	18:15	+3	14
9	Ballinamallard United	10	4	2	4	16:16	0	14
10	Loughgall	10	3	4	3	14:19	-5	13
11	Ards	10	3	3	4	12:13	-1	12
12	Dundela	10	2	5	3	18:20	-2	11
13	Moyola Park	10	3	2	5	10:20	-10	11
14	Strabane Athletic	10	2	3	5	10:19	-9	9
15	Rathfriland	10	2	0	8	9:22	-13	6
16	Armagh City	10	0	5	5	8:16	-8	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.88X24%3.79228%3.24

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.71 → 1.88 +9.9%X3.85 → 3.79 -1.6%23.92 → 3.24 -17.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Betano	1.50	2.37	8.9%
Pinnacle	1.48	2.38	9.6%
1xBet	1.45	2.41	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.45	2.41	10.5%
Best of all books	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Average	1.48	2.41	9.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
BetVictor	1.44	2.55	8.7%
Betano	1.50	2.37	8.9%
1xBet	1.44	2.53	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.44	2.46	10.1%
William Hill	1.44	2.40	11.1%
Best of all books	1.50	2.55	5.9%
Average	1.46	2.47	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Newington Youth 35%Draw 35%Ards 30%

The statistical model rates Newington Youth at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Ards at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.88 | 3.79 | 3.24, which imply roughly 53.2% for a Newington Youth win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Championship table: Newington Youth are 3rd (20 pts, 24-18 goals), Ards 11th (12 pts, 12-13).

Over their last five matches, Newington Youth averaged 2 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Ards averaged 0.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Newington Youth or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.88	3.79	3.24

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.25	1.81	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.41	2.72

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.46	2.47

1st half

1	X	2
2.35	2.42	3.56

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.60	20.0	2.25

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	16.9
1.5	1.15	4.70
2.5	1.48	2.41
3.5	2.22	1.57
4.5	3.69	1.22
5.5	6.37	1.09
6.5	10.0	1.03
7.5	15.0	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.50
1.75	1.15	4.20
2	1.16	4.05
2.25	1.32	2.90
2.75	1.58	2.15
3	1.76	1.91
3.25	1.97	1.71
3.75	2.54	1.41
4	3.14	1.27
4.25	3.42	1.23
4.75	4.00	1.17
5	6.30	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.78	1.38
-1	2.49	1.47
-0.75	2.04	1.68
-0.5	1.82	1.90
-0.25	1.64	2.10
0	1.44	2.56

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.50	1.04
-3	7.80	1.03
-2.75	6.80	1.10
-2.5	6.02	1.09
-2.25	4.65	1.15
-2	5.22	1.12
-1.75	3.83	1.21
-1.5	3.05	1.31
+0.25	1.36	2.87
+0.5	1.24	3.90
+0.75	1.20	4.21
+1	1.08	5.57
+1.25	1.11	4.90
+1.5	1.05	6.43