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Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion• League One, England

#122.6:1.06-1LiveToday · Stadium MK, Milton Keynes0.8:1.2#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.60BTNX4.66PIN25.54PINMargin at best2.0%Books10Markets75Rating71 · 29Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.554.665.544.0%
Dafabet1.594.405.204.9%
Betfair1.534.405.506.3%
BetVictor1.554.335.256.7%
Betano1.604.105.006.9%
1xBet1.574.255.076.9%
Marathonbet1.554.255.157.5%
Bet3651.534.105.507.9%
William Hill1.534.205.009.2%
SBO1.493.834.6914.5%
Best of all books1.604.665.542.0%
Average1.554.255.197.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Milton Keynes DonsBurton Albion
Last 10#12Table position#151.38Points per game1.2115Form pts · last 572.6Goals for · last 50.81.0Goals against · last 51.276Attack rating2455Defence rating4571Form rating2985H2H rating1570Goals model3071Overall rating29

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Nov 00:10 UTC

Milton Keynes Dons

8W 0D 2L · goals 29:14 · per match 2.9 for, 1.4 against

10 NovABromley2-1W
7 NovHSwindon Town2-1W
31 OctHDoncaster6-1W
27 OctHBromley4-1W
24 OctAStevenage1-0W
20 OctABlackpool0-2L
17 OctHLuton2-1W
10 OctHReading1-5L
6 OctHBrentford U217-1W
22 SepHCrawley Town4-1W

Burton Albion

3W 3D 4L · goals 10:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.2 against

10 NovHNotts County0-3L
7 NovHAFC Rushden & Diamonds4-0W
31 OctAWycombe0-2L
24 OctHLeyton Orient2-1W
20 OctHBradford0-0D
17 OctAPeterborough2-2D
10 OctADoncaster0-1L
6 OctAGrimsby0-0D
3 OctHHuddersfield1-3L
26 SepAPlymouth1-0W

Head to head

4Milton Keynes Dons wins
3draws
2Burton Albion wins

9 meetings · goals 8:8 · last 9: 4W 3D 2L for Milton Keynes Dons

7 May 2023League OneLeague OneBurton Albion0-0Milton Keynes Dons
3 Dec 2022League OneLeague OneMilton Keynes Dons1-1Burton Albion
25 Jan 2022League OneLeague OneBurton Albion0-1Milton Keynes Dons
20 Nov 2021League OneLeague OneMilton Keynes Dons1-0Burton Albion
31 Aug 2021EFL TrophyEFL TrophyBurton Albion1-2Milton Keynes Dons
20 Mar 2021League OneLeague OneBurton Albion1-2Milton Keynes Dons
12 Dec 2020League OneLeague OneMilton Keynes Dons1-1Burton Albion
14 Jan 2020League OneLeague OneBurton Albion1-0Milton Keynes Dons
5 Oct 2019League OneLeague OneMilton Keynes Dons0-3Burton Albion

League One tableLeague Oneupdated 14 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the League One table, Milton Keynes Dons sit 12th with 18 points from 13 games, while Burton Albion are 15th with 17 points from 14.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Huddersfield1485128:12+1629
2Stockport County1482426:14+1226
3Oxford United1375122:11+1126
4Luton1473427:21+624
5Plymouth1472521:19+223
6Reading1464425:15+1022
7Bradford1364310:8+222
8Cambridge United1456321:21021
9Sheffield Wednesday1355322:14+820
10Leicester1354422:19+319
11Mansfield Town1354420:18+219
12Milton Keynes Dons1346322:20+218
13Wycombe1346321:23-218
14Leyton Orient1352619:14+517
15Burton Albion1445518:21-317
16Stevenage1244417:13+416
17Notts County1235413:14-114
18AFC Wimbledon133469:21-1213
19Blackpool1233617:21-412
20Doncaster1333714:22-812
21Wigan1432911:22-1111
22Peterborough1324711:23-1210
23Barnsley1223712:22-109
24Bromley1323813:33-209

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg160%1.54X22%4.29218%5.21

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11 Nov 00:0014 Nov 12:401 1.55X 4.252 5.19
11.66 → 1.55 -6.6%X3.88 → 4.25 +9.5%24.53 → 5.19 +14.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.582.454.1%
Betfair1.502.555.9%
Betano1.602.306.0%
Bet3651.622.256.2%
BetVictor1.552.249.2%
1xBet1.522.2410.4%
Marathonbet1.522.2410.4%
Best of all books1.622.550.9%
Average1.562.327.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.602.306.0%
William Hill1.622.207.2%
Bet3651.702.057.6%
Betano1.652.127.8%
1xBet1.622.177.8%
Marathonbet1.622.148.5%
BetVictor1.602.159.0%
Best of all books1.702.302.3%
Average1.632.167.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Milton Keynes Dons 45%Draw 45%Burton Albion 10%

The statistical model rates Milton Keynes Dons at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Burton Albion at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.54 | 4.29 | 5.21, which imply roughly 64.9% for a Milton Keynes Dons win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League One table: Milton Keynes Dons are 12th (18 pts, 22-20 goals), Burton Albion 15th (17 pts, 18-21).

Over their last five matches, Milton Keynes Dons averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Burton Albion averaged 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Milton Keynes Dons.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Milton Keynes Dons

3-1-4-2

Coach: P. Warne

Goalkeeper

  • 23W. Dennis

Defence

  • 21M. Ekpiteta
  • 5C. Goode
  • 32J. Sanders

Midfield

  • 24R. Wintle
  • 17S. Silvera
  • 7D. Crowley
  • 8A. Gilbey
  • 20Elijah Xavier Campbell

Attack

  • 9S. Nombe
  • 13C. Paterson
Substitutes (7)
  • 35C. Nelson
  • 4D. Barlaser
  • 15C. Bramall
  • 22I. Fullah
  • 2G. Jones
  • 1C. MacGillivray
  • 26B. Wiles

Burton Albion

3-4-2-1

Coach: G. Bowyer

Goalkeeper

  • 34C. Addai

Defence

  • 24Harvey Araujo
  • 20J. Sraha
  • 16C. Tilt

Midfield

  • 17R. Borges Rodrigues
  • 41Sulyman Krubally
  • 4K. Chauke
  • 23Emeka Adeile
  • 29Kain Adom
  • 8C. Webster

Attack

  • 10Mark O’Mahony
Substitutes (5)
  • 56W. Earley
  • 52Miles Henry
  • 32J. Kean
  • 60Samuel Oyemade
  • 40Zac Scutt

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.554.255.19

Double chance

1XX212
1.142.331.19

Draw no bet

12
1.223.99

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.632.16

1st half

1X2
2.042.435.02

2nd half

1X2
1.882.774.64

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.3115.139.2
HT X4.526.7111.4
HT 219.715.78.66

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4716.12.72

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0214.5
1.51.164.75
2.51.562.32
3.52.431.53
4.54.291.19
5.57.971.05
6.515.81.02
7.534.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0212.0
1.251.066.25
1.751.183.97
21.233.50
2.251.412.68
2.751.682.07
31.911.83
3.252.141.63
3.752.711.38
43.351.25
4.253.681.21
4.755.051.10
56.901.04
5.257.201.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.441.50
-1.252.171.62
-11.911.87
-0.751.672.11
-0.51.552.41
-0.251.362.88
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.58.571.02
-37.901.02
-2.755.701.09
-2.54.451.16
-2.254.131.18
-23.761.23
-1.752.911.36
01.204.02
+0.251.174.42
+0.51.154.90
+0.751.076.50
+11.028.90
+1.51.0311.1

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.0210.0
6.51.086.50
7.51.204.00
8.51.362.86
9.51.652.14
10.52.101.67
11.52.741.40
12.53.831.22
13.56.001.10
14.58.001.05
15.511.01.01
7 more lines
LineOverUnder
9.251.502.28
9.751.702.01
101.831.97
10.251.961.84
10.752.201.60
112.281.61
11.252.511.44

Latest League One results

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1 NovSheffield Wednesday 1-1 Blackpool
31 OctMilton Keynes Dons 6-1 Doncaster
31 OctWigan 3-2 Bromley