Peterborough vs Luton• League One, England

#221.4:1.80-2FT31/10 · ABAX Stadium, Peterborough2.4:1.2#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.50PINX3.97PIN22.02DAFMargin at best3.3%Books10Markets74Rating28 · 72Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 09:44 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.49	4.06	1.98	3.8%
Dafabet	3.35	3.90	2.02	5.0%
Betfair	3.30	3.90	2.00	5.9%
BetVictor	3.40	3.90	1.95	6.3%
Betano	3.25	3.85	2.00	6.7%
1xBet	3.32	3.90	1.95	7.0%
Bet365	3.40	3.75	1.95	7.4%
Marathonbet	3.32	3.90	1.93	7.6%
William Hill	3.30	3.75	1.95	8.3%
SBO	2.87	3.36	1.91	17.0%
Best of all books	3.49	4.06	2.02	2.8%
Average	3.30	3.83	1.96	7.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PeterboroughLuton

Last 10#22Table position#40.77Points per game1.775Form pts · last 5121.4Goals for · last 52.41.8Goals against · last 51.237Attack rating6340Defence rating6029Form rating717H2H rating9340Goals model6028Overall rating72

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 00:11 UTC

Peterborough

3W 3D 4L · goals 17:18 · per match 1.7 for, 1.8 against

27 Oct	A	Bradford	0-2	L
24 Oct	A	Bromley	1-1	D
20 Oct	A	Huddersfield	1-4	L
17 Oct	H	Burton Albion	2-2	D
10 Oct	A	Leicester	3-1	W
6 Oct	H	Ipswich Town U21	4-1	W
26 Sep	A	Stockport County	0-1	L
22 Sep	H	Colchester	3-1	W
19 Sep	H	Doncaster	0-2	L
15 Sep	H	Barnsley	3-3	D

Luton

6W 1D 3L · goals 22:10 · per match 2.2 for, 1.0 against

31 Oct	A	Peterborough	2-0	W
27 Oct	H	Doncaster	3-1	W
24 Oct	H	Leicester	2-1	W
20 Oct	H	Barnsley	2-1	W
17 Oct	A	Milton Keynes Dons	1-2	L
10 Oct	A	Wycombe	4-1	W
3 Oct	A	Colchester	1-1	D
22 Sep	H	Ipswich Town U21	6-0	W
19 Sep	H	Bradford	0-1	L
10 Sep	A	Stevenage	1-2	L

Head to head

3Peterborough wins

2draws

5Luton wins

10 meetings · goals 9:16 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Peterborough

3 Apr 2026League One	League One	Luton2-1Peterborough
9 Aug 2025League One	League One	Peterborough0-2Luton
20 Jul 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Peterborough0-2Luton
5 Apr 2022Championship	Championship	Peterborough1-1Luton
7 Aug 2021Championship	Championship	Luton3-0Peterborough
19 Jan 2019League One	League One	Luton4-0Peterborough
13 Nov 2018EFL Trophy	EFL Trophy	Peterborough2-1Luton
18 Aug 2018League One	League One	Peterborough3-1Luton
9 Jan 2018EFL Trophy	EFL Trophy	Luton0-0Peterborough
6 Dec 2015FA Cup	FA Cup	Peterborough2-0Luton

League One tableLeague Oneupdated 3 Nov 18:30 UTC

In the League One table, Peterborough sit 22nd with 10 points from 13 games, while Luton are 4th with 23 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Huddersfield	13	8	4	1	27:11	+16	28
2	Stockport County	14	8	2	4	26:14	+12	26
3	Oxford United	12	6	5	1	20:11	+9	23
4	Luton	13	7	2	4	26:20	+6	23
5	Plymouth	14	7	2	5	21:19	+2	23
6	Reading	13	6	4	3	25:13	+12	22
7	Bradford	13	6	4	3	10:8	+2	22
8	Cambridge United	14	5	6	3	21:21	0	21
9	Sheffield Wednesday	13	5	5	3	22:14	+8	20
10	Leicester	13	5	4	4	22:19	+3	19
11	Milton Keynes Dons	13	4	6	3	22:20	+2	18
12	Mansfield Town	12	5	3	4	20:18	+2	18
13	Wycombe	13	4	6	3	21:23	-2	18
14	Leyton Orient	13	5	2	6	19:14	+5	17
15	Burton Albion	14	4	5	5	18:21	-3	17
16	Stevenage	12	4	4	4	17:13	+4	16
17	Notts County	12	3	5	4	13:14	-1	14
18	AFC Wimbledon	13	3	4	6	9:21	-12	13
19	Blackpool	12	3	3	6	17:21	-4	12
20	Doncaster	13	3	3	7	14:22	-8	12
21	Wigan	13	3	1	9	11:22	-11	10
22	Peterborough	13	2	4	7	11:23	-12	10
23	Barnsley	12	2	3	7	12:22	-10	9
24	Bromley	13	2	3	8	13:33	-20	9

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg128%3.30X24%3.83247%1.96

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.47 → 3.30 -4.9%X3.90 → 3.81 -2.3%21.88 → 1.97 +4.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.49	2.68	4.4%
Betfair	1.47	2.63	6.1%
Bet365	1.44	2.70	6.5%
Betano	1.47	2.55	7.2%
BetVictor	1.45	2.49	9.1%
1xBet	1.41	2.52	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.41	2.52	10.6%
Best of all books	1.49	2.70	4.2%
Average	1.45	2.58	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.44	2.70	6.5%
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
William Hill	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Betano	1.44	2.60	7.9%
1xBet	1.42	2.66	8.0%
BetVictor	1.40	2.70	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.61	8.7%
Best of all books	1.50	2.70	3.7%
Average	1.44	2.63	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Peterborough 0%Draw 50%Luton 50%

The statistical model rated Peterborough at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Luton at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.30 | 3.83 | 1.96, which imply roughly 26.1% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the League One table: Peterborough are 22nd (10 pts, 11-23 goals), Luton 4th (23 pts, 26-20).

Over their last five matches, Peterborough averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Luton averaged 2.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Luton.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Peterborough

4-2-3-1

Coach: Robert William Savage

Goalkeeper

1A. Bass

Defence

2C. Johnston
18Lucca Mendonça
6T. O'Connor
14Harley Mills

Midfield

4L. Kelly
45Harry Ashfield
19Bolu Shofowoke
10Ethan Williams
17Vernon Masara

Attack

9H. Leonard

Substitutes (7)

24Declan Firth
28M. Garbett
5S. Hughes
8B. Khela
3E. Weir
23C. Andeng Ndi
27D. Ormerod

Luton

4-1-4-1

Coach: J. Wilshere

Goalkeeper

1J. Shea

Defence

25I. Jones
5M. Andersen
6G. Johnston
12J. Johnson

Midfield

8L. Walsh
7J. Richards
18J. Clark
10J. Donley
45K. Palmer

Attack

9C. Marshall

Substitutes (7)

16Daniel Gore
24Joshua Keeley
17T. Mendel-Idowu
21N. Wells
33H. Ashby
11Emilio Lawrence
31B. Benagr

Match Statistics

PeterboroughLuton

0.95Expected Goals1.44

343Passes accurate252

7Shots insidebox9

10Shots outsidebox2

4Blocked Shots5

13Free Kicks8

6Shots on Goal4

2Goalkeeper Saves5

7Shots off Goal2

1Offsides3

461Total passes348

17Total Shots11

1Yellow Cards2

4Corner Kicks6

8Fouls14

0Red Cards0

57%Ball Possession43%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.30	3.83	1.96

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.80	1.30	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
2.51	1.48

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.44	2.63

1st half

1	X	2
3.55	2.46	2.42

2nd half

1	X	2
3.30	2.84	2.22

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.34	13.5	19.1
HT X	8.13	6.72	5.43
HT 2	26.7	13.4	3.00

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.16	21.5	1.66

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	16.3
1.5	1.12	5.56
2.5	1.45	2.58
3.5	2.15	1.67
4.5	3.48	1.26
5.5	6.49	1.09
6.5	13.0	1.03
7.5	27.5	1.01
8.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	13.0
1.75	1.12	4.75
2	1.17	4.17
2.25	1.30	3.04
2.75	1.55	2.31
3	1.69	2.06
3.25	1.89	1.85
3.75	2.41	1.51
4	2.81	1.35
4.25	3.08	1.30
4.75	4.11	1.17
5	5.35	1.09
5.25	5.65	1.08
6	9.00	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.88	1.37
0	2.52	1.46
+0.25	2.07	1.68
+0.5	1.85	1.94
+0.75	1.64	2.15
+1	1.46	2.64

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	12.0	1.02
-1.5	6.35	1.08
-1.25	5.93	1.09
-1	5.50	1.10
-0.75	3.96	1.19
-0.5	3.38	1.30
+1.25	1.36	2.91
+1.5	1.30	3.24
+1.75	1.19	3.92
+2	1.11	5.38
+2.25	1.10	5.67
+2.5	1.09	6.03
+3	1.05	10.5
+3.5	1.03	11.3

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.01	13.0
6.5	1.05	8.00
7.5	1.11	5.50
8.5	1.26	3.44
9.5	1.47	2.51
10.5	1.78	1.95
11.5	2.27	1.56
12.5	3.03	1.33
13.5	4.50	1.17
14.5	6.50	1.08
15.5	9.00	1.03

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
9.75	1.47	2.42
10	1.60	2.29
10.25	1.64	2.12
10.75	1.81	1.85
11	2.00	1.80
11.25	2.02	1.65
11.75	2.30	1.49

Next League One matches

3 Nov	Wigan – Mansfield Town
3 Nov	Huddersfield – Luton
4 Nov	Oxford United – Reading

All League One fixtures and the table

Latest League One results

1 Nov	Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Blackpool
31 Oct	Stockport County 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
31 Oct	Wigan 3-2 Bromley
31 Oct	Milton Keynes Dons 6-1 Doncaster
31 Oct	Barnsley 1-1 Oxford United
31 Oct	Leicester 2-2 Stevenage