Plymouth4th13 pts
Burton Albion7th12 pts
Plymouth4th13 pts
Burton Albion7th12 ptsIn the League One table, Plymouth sit 4th with 13 points from 8 games, while Burton Albion are 7th with 12 points from 8 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Plymouth at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Burton Albion at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.50 | 4.31 | 5.75, which imply roughly 66.7% for a Plymouth win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the League One table: Plymouth are 4th (13 pts, 14-11 goals), Burton Albion 7th (12 pts, 13-12).
Over their last five matches, Plymouth averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Burton Albion averaged 1.8 scored and 2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Plymouth or draw.
Plymouth vs Burton Albion — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bradford | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 |
| 2 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
| 3 |  Stockport County | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 |  Plymouth | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 |  Cambridge United | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 |
| 6 |  Huddersfield | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 |  Burton Albion | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 |  AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 |  Reading | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Oxford United | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Leyton Orient | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Wycombe | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 13 |  Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Leicester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 15 |  Blackpool | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 16 |  Luton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 17 |  Mansfield Town | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 18 |  Barnsley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 19 |  Bromley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 20 |  Notts County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 21 |  Doncaster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 22 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 23 |  Peterborough | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 |
| 24 |  Wigan | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
Starting Lineups
Plymouth
4-4-2Coach: Tom Cleverley
Goalkeeper
- 1M. Mahoney
Defence
- 45W. Harding
- 15A. Mitchell
- 5Julio Pleguezuelo
- 29M. Sorinola
Midfield
- 11R. Curtis
- 19T. Bakinson
- 7H. White
- 14O. Irow
Attack
- 9W. Evans
- 27A. Pepple
Substitutes (7)
- 10X. Amaechi
- 8J. Edwards
- 23B. Ibrahim
- 3Jack Mackenzie
- 2M. Ross
- 21James Storer
- 17C. Watts
Burton Albion
3-4-1-2Coach: G. Bowyer
Goalkeeper
- 34C. Addai
Defence
- 12G. Evans
- 26F. Delap
- 16C. Tilt
Midfield
- 17R. Borges Rodrigues
- 14W. Collar
- 8C. Webster
- 3J. Armer
- 18Caylon Vickers
Attack
- 29Kain Adom
- 4K. Chauke
Substitutes (7)
- 24Harvey Araujo
- 19M. Dennis
- 27K. Dudek
- 41Sulyman Krubally
- 40Zac Scutt
- 20J. Sraha
- 23Emeka Adeile
Match Statistics
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.62
X
3.88
2
4.69
Double chance
1X
1.16
X2
2.18
12
1.22
Both teams to score
Yes
1.69
No
2.07
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.20
Under 1.5
4.04
Over 2.5
1.67
Under 2.5
2.13
Over 3.5
2.59
Under 3.5
1.43
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
11.95
Over 4.5
4.80
Under 4.5
1.15
Over 7.5
41.00
Over 5.5
9.10
Under 5.5
1.04
Over 6.5
17.67
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.23
Under 1.75
3.51
Over 2
1.28
Under 2
3.15
Over 2.25
1.49
Under 2.25
2.49
Over 2.75
1.83
Under 2.75
1.91
Over 1
1.02
Under 1
9.25
Over 1.25
1.08
Under 1.25
5.55
Over 3
2.08
Under 3
1.67
Over 3.25
2.34
Under 3.25
1.53
Over 3.75
3.02
Under 3.75
1.30
Over 4
3.89
Under 4
1.19
Over 4.25
4.30
Under 4.25
1.14
Over 4.75
5.85
Under 4.75
1.07
Over 5
8.10
Under 5
1.02
Draw no bet
1
1.26
2
3.59
Asian handicap
Away 3.5
1.02
1st half
1
2.13
X
2.32
2
4.85
First team to score
Home
1.51
No Goal
14.00
Away
2.68
Corners 2-Way
Over 6.5
1.23
Under 6.5
3.95