Stevenage16th6 pts
Luton7th8 pts
Stevenage16th6 pts
Luton7th8 ptsIn the League One table, Stevenage sit 16th with 6 points from 5 games, while Luton are 7th with 8 points from 5 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Stevenage at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Luton at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.99 | 3.36 | 2.24, which imply roughly 29.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the League One table: Stevenage are 16th (6 pts, 9-6 goals), Luton 7th (8 pts, 11-11).
Over their last five matches, Stevenage averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Luton averaged 2.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Luton and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Stevenage vs Luton — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 |  Huddersfield | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 3 |  Stockport County | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 |  Bradford | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 |  Burton Albion | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 |  Cambridge United | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Luton | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 |  Reading | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 |  Leyton Orient | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 |  Oxford United | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Blackpool | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 12 |  Notts County | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 13 |  Plymouth | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Barnsley | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 15 |  AFC Wimbledon | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 17 |  Mansfield Town | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 18 |  Leicester | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 19 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 20 |  Peterborough | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 21 |  Bromley | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 22 |  Doncaster | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 23 |  Wycombe | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 24 |  Wigan | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
3.00
X
3.36
2
2.24
Double chance
1X
1.60
X2
1.35
12
1.28
Both teams to score
Yes
1.74
No
1.97
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.29
Under 1.5
3.29
Over 2.5
1.96
Under 2.5
1.80
Over 3.5
3.35
Under 3.5
1.28
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
9.08
Over 4.5
6.61
Under 4.5
1.09
Over 7.5
51.00
Over 5.5
13.58
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
27.63
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.39
Under 1.75
2.79
Over 2
1.48
Under 2
2.50
Over 2.25
1.71
Under 2.25
2.05
Over 2.75
2.19
Under 2.75
1.62
Over 0.75
1.02
Under 0.75
7.90
Over 1
1.03
Under 1
7.30
Over 1.25
1.17
Under 1.25
4.14
Over 3
2.64
Under 3
1.43
Over 3.25
2.88
Under 3.25
1.34
Over 3.75
3.89
Under 3.75
1.19
Over 4
5.40
Under 4
1.09
Over 4.25
5.75
Under 4.25
1.07
Over 5
9.90
Under 5
1.01
Draw no bet
1
2.17
2
1.62
Asian handicap
Home -2.5
12.00
Away -2.5
8.95
1st half
1
3.55
X
2.12
2
2.82
First team to score
Home
2.21
No Goal
9.00
Away
1.85
Corners 2-Way
Over 3.5
1.02
Under 3.5
13.00
Cards in match
Over 4.5
2.11
Under 4.5
1.67