OddsFilter

Exeter City vs Rotherham• League Two, England

#140.2:0.61-0FT03/10 · St James Park, Exeter1.4:1.4#20

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.45BFRX3.681XB22.94PINMargin at best2.0%Books8Markets74Rating40 · 61Exp. goals L51.8

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Sep 03:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.613.252.716.0%
Betfair2.503.402.706.4%
Betano2.553.202.727.2%
1xBet2.553.202.628.6%
Marathonbet2.553.202.628.6%
Bet3652.553.202.608.9%
William Hill2.503.252.628.9%
BetVictor2.503.252.609.2%
Best of all books2.613.402.724.5%
Average2.543.242.658.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Exeter CityRotherham
Last 10#14Table position#201.20Points per game1.008Form pts · last 520.2Goals for · last 51.40.6Goals against · last 51.413Attack rating8870Defence rating3033Form rating6729H2H rating7170Goals model3040Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 15 Oct 13:02 UTC

Exeter City

3W 5D 2L · goals 9:7 · per match 0.9 for, 0.7 against

10 OctAShrewsbury1-0W
6 OctHOxford United2-2D
3 OctHRotherham1-0W
26 SepABristol Rovers0-1L
22 SepACheltenham2-2D
19 SepHTranmere0-0D
12 SepAPort Vale0-1L
8 SepHTottenham Hotspur U212-0W
5 SepHWalsall0-0D
1 SepHBarnet1-1D

Rotherham

2W 4D 4L · goals 11:18 · per match 1.1 for, 1.8 against

10 OctHGillingham1-4L
6 OctHBradford0-4L
3 OctAExeter City0-1L
26 SepHCrewe1-1D
22 SepAYork1-1D
19 SepANorthampton1-0W
12 SepHSalford City3-3D
5 SepABristol Rovers0-1L
1 SepATranmere2-2D
29 AugHChesterfield2-1W

Head to head

1Exeter City wins
1draws
4Rotherham wins

6 meetings · goals 3:11 · last 6: 1W 1D 4L for Exeter City

31 Jan 2026League OneLeague OneExeter City0-4Rotherham
6 Sep 2025League OneLeague OneRotherham1-0Exeter City
15 Mar 2025League OneLeague OneRotherham1-1Exeter City
10 Aug 2024League OneLeague OneExeter City1-0Rotherham
9 Apr 2013League TwoLeague TwoRotherham4-1Exeter City
24 Nov 2012League TwoLeague TwoExeter City0-1Rotherham

League Two tableLeague Twoupdated 15 Oct 00:10 UTC

In the League Two table, Exeter City sit 14th with 12 points from 10 games, while Rotherham are 20th with 10 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Salford City1061315:10+519
2Barnet853020:11+918
3Crewe1046012:7+518
4Gillingham1044215:10+516
5York943217:11+615
6Walsall936012:6+615
7Chesterfield1043317:14+315
8Cheltenham1043316:16015
9Bristol Rovers1050515:17-215
10Rochdale1042411:12-114
11Grimsby1034313:11+213
12Newport County1034313:12+113
13Tranmere1026213:13012
14Exeter City103346:6012
15Accrington ST1025313:14-111
16Fleetwood Town1025310:11-111
17Swindon Town103259:14-511
18Shrewsbury103259:15-611
19Colchester924310:13-310
20Rotherham1024412:16-410
21Oldham92259:13-48
22Port Vale82244:9-58
23Northampton81434:7-37
24Crawley Town81258:15-75

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.42X28%3.31233%2.78

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

30 Sep 00:013 Oct 13:311 2.42X 3.312 2.78
12.54 → 2.42 -4.7%X3.24 → 3.31 +2.2%22.65 → 2.78 +4.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.951.855.3%
Pinnacle1.911.885.5%
Betano1.911.856.4%
1xBet1.871.867.2%
Marathonbet1.871.867.2%
Betfair1.851.858.1%
BetVictor1.861.819.0%
Best of all books1.951.884.5%
Average1.891.857.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.752.007.1%
Bet3651.732.007.8%
1xBet1.672.088.0%
Betano1.672.078.2%
BetVictor1.672.058.7%
Marathonbet1.672.058.7%
Best of all books1.752.085.2%
Average1.692.048.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Exeter City 10%Draw 45%Rotherham 45%

The statistical model rated Exeter City at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Rotherham at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.42 | 3.31 | 2.78, which imply roughly 30.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League Two table: Exeter City are 14th (12 pts, 6-6 goals), Rotherham 20th (10 pts, 12-16).

Over their last five matches, Exeter City averaged 0.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Rotherham averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Rotherham and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Exeter City

4-2-3-1

Coach: M. Taylor

Goalkeeper

  • 1J. Bycroft

Defence

  • 2L. Samuel
  • 5J. Fitzwater
  • 6J. Taylor
  • 3L. Woodhouse

Midfield

  • 31J. Doyle-Hayes
  • 8T. Perry
  • 10J. Gordon
  • 16C. Cummins
  • 20George Birch

Attack

  • 25A. Scully
Substitutes (7)
  • 19S. Cox
  • 7G. Edwards
  • 14H. Kite
  • 18Liam Oakes
  • 22Frankie Phillips
  • 23Ethan Sutherland
  • 46L. Cayless

Rotherham

3-4-2-1

Coach: A. Bruce

Goalkeeper

  • 13J. Eyestone

Defence

  • 14Sonny Aljofree
  • 27D. Iorfa
  • 5K. Ngwenya

Midfield

  • 17Marvin Marvellous Kaleta
  • 6O. Ashley
  • 4J. Austerfield
  • 24J. Buyabu
  • 12D. Hall
  • 15Jayce Fitzgerald

Attack

  • 10P. Mullin
Substitutes (7)
  • 8K. Spence
  • 2J. Rafferty
  • 23A. Nemane
  • 26H. Douglas
  • 1T. Cann
  • 9T. Bradshaw
  • 16E. Adegboyega

Match Statistics

Exeter CityRotherham
242Passes accurate267
11Shots insidebox6
5Shots outsidebox1
4Blocked Shots2
12Free Kicks8
7Shots on Goal0
5Shots off Goal5
3Offsides0
353Total passes397
16Total Shots7
2Yellow Cards1
8Corner Kicks2
0Goalkeeper Saves5
8Fouls13
0Red Cards0
47%Ball Possession53%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.543.242.65

Double chance

1XX212
1.441.471.31

Draw no bet

12
1.821.90

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.692.04

1st half

1X2
3.132.123.25

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.9510.51.99

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.049.15
1.51.273.41
2.51.891.85
3.53.171.31
4.56.181.09
5.511.71.04
6.523.31.01
7.550.5–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.85
11.028.30
1.251.124.64
1.751.322.92
21.432.61
2.251.662.12
2.752.111.66
32.511.46
3.252.781.35
3.753.821.19
45.301.09
4.255.701.08

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.753.051.32
-0.52.521.49
-0.252.171.63
01.851.90
+0.251.582.24
+0.51.462.62
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.510.01.03
-29.401.02
-1.756.931.06
-1.55.161.13
-1.254.681.14
-14.281.18
+0.751.303.15
+11.174.50
+1.251.134.90
+1.51.125.45
+1.751.067.33
+21.019.80
+2.51.0211.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.065.64
7.51.243.54
8.51.462.51
9.51.801.92
10.52.301.56
11.53.091.32
12.54.221.14
13.56.391.03
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.085.13
71.085.14
7.251.163.95
7.751.263.20
81.273.15
8.251.392.66
8.751.542.28
91.582.21
9.251.731.99
9.751.931.77
102.011.71
10.252.191.59
10.752.511.44
112.691.38
11.252.951.31
11.753.481.22
123.871.17
12.254.241.14
12.755.171.08
135.971.05
13.256.561.03