OddsFilter

FC Krasnodar vs Fakel• Cup, Russia

1.3:0.70-0LiveToday · Ozon Arena, Krasnodar0.7:1.3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.391XBX5.001XB28.65PINMargin at best3.5%Books5Markets74Rating77 · 23Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 16:19 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.395.008.453.8%
Marathonbet1.384.958.404.6%
Pinnacle1.374.998.654.6%
Dafabet1.334.808.208.2%
SBO1.304.217.2414.5%
Best of all books1.395.008.653.5%
Average1.354.798.196.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC KrasnodarFakel
Last 106Form pts · last 541.3Goals for · last 50.70.7Goals against · last 51.367Attack rating3367Defence rating3388Form rating1385H2H rating1576Goals model2477Overall rating23

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 15:40 UTC

FC Krasnodar

5W 4D 1L · goals 13:7 · per match 1.3 for, 0.7 against

10 OctHZenit2-3L
3 OctAFC Rostov3-0W
17 SepAFC Orenburg0-0D
13 SepHAkron1-1D
5 SepAKrylia Sovetov2-2D
1 SepAFakel1-1D
29 AugHFC Rostov1-0W
23 AugADinamo Makhachkala1-0W
19 AugADynamo1-0W
15 AugHAkhmat1-0W

Fakel

1W 3D 6L · goals 6:16 · per match 0.6 for, 1.6 against

10 OctHLokomotiv0-5L
3 OctHFC Vitebsk1-0W
16 SepASpartak Moscow0-1L
12 SepHBaltika2-2D
5 SepAFC Rostov1-3L
1 SepHFC Krasnodar1-1D
29 AugHZenit0-1L
22 AugHFC Orenburg0-0D
18 AugAAkhmat1-2L
15 AugACSKA Moscow0-1L

Head to head

3FC Krasnodar wins
5draws
0Fakel wins

8 meetings · goals 16:8 · last 8: 3W 5D 0L for FC Krasnodar

1 Sep 2026CupCupFakel1-1FC Krasnodar
2 Aug 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFC Krasnodar3-2Fakel
30 Mar 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFC Krasnodar5-0Fakel
4 Aug 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFakel0-0FC Krasnodar
19 Apr 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueKrasnodar2-0Fakel Voronezh
25 Aug 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFakel Voronezh0-0Krasnodar
5 Nov 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFakel Voronezh3-3Krasnodar
17 Jul 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueKrasnodar2-2Fakel Voronezh

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg169%1.35X19%4.79211%8.19

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

10 Oct 00:0113 Oct 17:101 1.35X 4.792 8.19
11.40 → 1.35 -3.6%X4.90 → 4.79 -2.2%27.57 → 8.19 +8.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.812.063.8%
Pinnacle1.792.064.4%
Marathonbet1.792.044.9%
SBO1.821.966.0%
Best of all books1.822.063.5%
Average1.802.034.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet2.031.727.4%
Marathonbet2.031.708.1%
Best of all books2.031.727.4%
Average2.031.717.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC Krasnodar 50%Draw 50%Fakel 0%

The statistical model rates FC Krasnodar at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Fakel at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.35 | 4.79 | 8.19, which imply roughly 74.1% for a FC Krasnodar win versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, FC Krasnodar averaged 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game; Fakel averaged 0.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : FC Krasnodar or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

FC Krasnodar

4-3-3

Coach: M. Musaev

Goalkeeper

  • 16A. Koryakin

Defence

  • 17V. Paltsev
  • 3Vítor Tormena
  • 2M. Rodríguez
  • 59A. Khmarin

Midfield

  • 6Kevin Pina
  • 27E. Burkin
  • 21M. Ozdoev
  • 11Batxi

Attack

  • 23J. Boselli
  • 10D. Vorobjev
Substitutes (10)
  • 1S. Agkatsev
  • 98S. Petrov
  • 15L. Olaza
  • 5Jubal
  • 40I. Vakhania
  • 53A. Chernikov
  • 47D. Utkin
  • 18Christian
  • 9J. Córdoba
  • 29E. Guseynov

Fakel

3-4-3

Coach: Oleg Vasilenko

Goalkeeper

  • 96I. Obukhov

Defence

  • 5A. Gabaraev
  • 27S. Magkeev
  • 53M. Bardachev
  • 55D. Todorović
  • 52R. Netfullin

Midfield

  • 8A. Bagamaev
  • 10I. Alshin
  • 11A. Sutormin

Attack

  • 19B. Pusi
  • 90A. Koksharov
Substitutes (11)
  • 9A. Gnapi Dable
  • 7M. Turishchev
  • 18K. Simonov
  • 17A. Kovalev
  • 23V. Yakimov
  • 97B. Magomedov
  • 22H. El Mahasni
  • 44Y. Zhuravlev
  • 40Clayton
  • 1D. Frolkin
  • 35V. Dorovskikh

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.354.798.19

Double chance

1XX212
1.083.021.17

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.031.71

1st half

1X2
1.842.447.25

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.3314.03.80

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0112.4
1.51.233.78
2.51.802.03
3.52.881.37
4.55.291.12
5.59.20–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.019.05
11.019.10
1.251.125.11
1.751.273.37
21.372.95
2.251.582.35
2.752.011.81
32.301.58
3.252.601.45
3.753.371.25
44.401.14
4.254.701.12
4.756.251.06
58.701.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-22.991.36
-1.752.431.57
-1.52.101.75
-1.251.832.00
-11.572.33
-0.751.472.60
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.56.751.04
-3.256.451.05
-36.101.06
-2.754.461.15
-2.53.581.23
-2.253.361.30
-0.51.363.24
-0.251.223.92
01.115.62
+0.251.124.75
+0.751.019.00

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.056.73
6.51.154.22
7.51.342.84
8.51.652.11
9.52.091.68
10.52.661.40
11.53.611.21
12.55.101.11
13.57.251.04
11 more lines
LineOverUnder
7.751.352.74
81.502.53
8.251.512.33
8.751.702.01
91.931.88
9.251.931.78
9.752.211.59
102.531.50
10.252.581.43
10.752.971.31
11.253.521.23