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Burnley vs Wolves• Championship, England

#211.8:1.41-2FTToday · Turf Moor, Burnley1.0:1.2#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.30PINX3.63PIN22.20WHMargin at best3.3%Books6Markets83Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 13:44 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.303.632.193.5%
Bet3653.103.602.205.5%
BetVictor3.133.502.157.0%
1xBet3.183.542.117.1%
William Hill3.103.402.207.1%
Marathonbet3.183.542.097.5%
Best of all books3.303.632.203.3%
Average3.173.532.166.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BurnleyWolves
Last 10#21Table position#100.80Points per game1.566Form pts · last 561.8Goals for · last 51.01.4Goals against · last 51.264Attack rating3646Defence rating5446Form rating5438H2H rating6242Goals model5846Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 16:50 UTC

Burnley

1W 5D 4L · goals 13:17 · per match 1.3 for, 1.7 against

13 OctHCharlton2-2D
10 OctAWatford4-0W
19 SepHDerby1-1D
12 SepASwansea1-3L
8 SepAWrexham1-1D
5 SepHBristol City1-2L
2 SepHMiddlesbrough1-1D
29 AugANorwich1-4L
26 AugABradford0-0D
23 AugAWest Brom1-3L

Wolves

5W 1D 4L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against

13 OctHBolton1-3L
10 OctAMiddlesbrough0-1L
20 SepHWest Brom1-0W
16 SepAEverton0-1L
13 SepASheffield Utd1-0W
6 SepABirmingham2-2D
1 SepAWest Ham2-4L
29 AugHStoke City4-1W
25 AugASheffield Wednesday2-0W
22 AugAPreston3-1W

Head to head

7Burnley wins
7draws
4Wolves wins

18 meetings · goals 21:16 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Burnley

24 May 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBurnley1-1Wolves
26 Oct 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueWolves2-3Burnley
28 Aug 2024League CupLeague CupWolves2-0Burnley
2 Apr 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBurnley1-1Wolves
5 Dec 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueWolves1-0Burnley
9 Jul 2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsWolves3-0Burnley
24 Apr 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBurnley1-0Wolves
1 Dec 2021Premier LeaguePremier LeagueWolves0-0Burnley
25 Apr 2021Premier LeaguePremier LeagueWolves0-4Burnley
21 Dec 2020Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBurnley2-1Wolves

Championship tableChampionshipupdated 15 Oct 22:50 UTC

In the Championship table, Burnley sit 21st with 8 points from 10 games, while Wolves are 10th with 14 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Swansea1072116:7+923
2Middlesbrough1063120:14+621
3West Ham1054129:12+1719
4Birmingham1045117:11+617
5QPR1045115:9+617
6West Brom1052312:10+217
7Southampton1062221:10+1116
8Stoke City1051417:16+116
9Blackburn1043315:13+215
10Wolves942316:14+214
11Millwall1042416:16014
12Bristol City1042412:14-214
13Charlton1035210:13-314
14Bolton1041515:18-313
15Sheffield Utd1033414:14012
16Portsmouth932412:13-111
17Wrexham1025311:15-411
18Lincoln103257:17-1011
19Cardiff1024416:15+110
20Norwich1030717:20-39
21Burnley1015415:19-48
22Watford102268:19-118
23Derby101369:19-106
24Preston101188:20-124

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.98X27%3.51242%2.26

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13 Oct 00:0016 Oct 14:301 3.17X 3.532 2.16
13.12 → 3.17 +1.6%X3.57 → 3.53 -1.1%22.12 → 2.16 +1.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.812.073.6%
Bet3651.802.005.6%
1xBet1.761.997.1%
Marathonbet1.761.997.1%
BetVictor1.731.959.1%
Best of all books1.812.073.6%
Average1.772.006.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.652.157.1%
Bet3651.622.207.2%
1xBet1.622.168.0%
Marathonbet1.622.138.7%
BetVictor1.602.159.0%
Best of all books1.652.206.1%
Average1.622.168.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Burnley 35%Draw 35%Wolves 30%

The statistical model rated Burnley at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Wolves at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.98 | 3.51 | 2.26, which imply roughly 33.6% for a Burnley win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Championship table: Burnley are 21st (8 pts, 15-19 goals), Wolves 10th (14 pts, 16-14).

Over their last five matches, Burnley averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Wolves averaged 1 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Burnley or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Burnley

4-2-3-1

Coach: N. Hayen

Goalkeeper

  • 37G. Coudert

Defence

  • 2K. Walker
  • 44Igor
  • 18H. Ekdal
  • 23Lucas Pires

Midfield

  • 3Max Alleyne
  • 5R. Hatate
  • 19L. Ramazani
  • 29J. Laurent
  • 7J. Bruun Larsen

Attack

  • 9J. Vardy
Substitutes (9)
  • 27A. Broja
  • 30L. Castell
  • 10M. Edwards
  • 17A. Hountondji
  • 8U. Raghouber
  • 14C. Roberts
  • 12D. Satpaev
  • 22O. Sonne
  • 1M. Weiß

Wolves

4-2-3-1

Coach: César Peixoto

Goalkeeper

  • 1José Sá

Defence

  • 38J. Tchatchoua
  • 34N. Djiga
  • 24Toti Gomes
  • 33G. Konan

Midfield

  • 5M. Munetsi
  • 7André
  • 27J. Bellegarde
  • 28Fer López
  • 19R. Saïd

Attack

  • 14S. Neave
Substitutes (9)
  • 2K. Trippier
  • 15Y. Mosquera
  • 13João Virgínia
  • 36M. Mane
  • 37L. Krejčí
  • 8J. James
  • 20T. Doyle
  • 23T. Chirewa
  • 3Hugo Bueno

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.173.532.16

Double chance

1XX212
1.651.331.27

Draw no bet

12
2.331.55

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.622.16

1st half

1X2
3.632.252.70

2nd half

1X2
3.262.502.52

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.1314.825.0
HT X7.505.705.40
HT 230.714.03.27

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.1612.81.77

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0410.8
1.51.233.78
2.51.772.00
3.52.871.37
4.55.491.12
5.510.31.03
6.521.01.01
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.048.60
1.251.124.85
1.751.273.23
21.362.92
2.251.562.32
2.751.961.79
32.271.56
3.252.561.45
3.753.311.25
44.401.15
4.254.901.11
4.756.881.05
57.701.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.53.141.34
-0.252.721.42
02.341.57
+0.251.911.83
+0.51.702.12
+0.751.502.42
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.758.681.01
-1.56.571.07
-1.256.031.08
-15.631.10
-0.753.901.22
+11.323.12
+1.251.263.52
+1.51.203.88
+1.751.134.90
+21.047.10
+2.51.027.90

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
2.51.362.93
31.532.44
3.51.851.85
42.421.53
4.52.911.37

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.037.60
6.51.124.85
7.51.273.20
8.51.532.34
9.51.881.84
10.52.401.51
11.53.141.28
12.54.451.14
13.55.801.08
14.55.591.04
20 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.124.46
71.144.23
7.251.223.49
7.751.283.05
81.382.71
8.251.432.56
8.751.572.19
91.732.05
9.251.791.91
9.752.021.69
102.221.62
10.252.331.52
10.752.661.37
113.161.27
11.252.921.31
11.753.981.16
124.741.10
12.254.931.09
134.321.11
145.471.05