Norwich vs Southampton• Championship, England

#192.4:2.40-1FTToday · Carrow Road, Norwich2.0:1.0#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.50PINX3.70MAR22.80PINMargin at best2.7%Books10Markets93Rating44 · 57Exp. goals L53.9

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Oct 16:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.50	3.63	2.80	3.3%
Dafabet	2.47	3.65	2.75	4.2%
Betano	2.45	3.65	2.72	5.0%
Bet365	2.45	3.50	2.70	6.4%
Betfair	2.40	3.60	2.70	6.5%
BetVictor	2.38	3.70	2.63	7.1%
1xBet	2.33	3.70	2.66	7.5%
Marathonbet	2.33	3.70	2.66	7.5%
William Hill	2.38	3.40	2.70	8.5%
SBO	2.32	3.49	2.56	10.8%
Best of all books	2.50	3.70	2.80	2.7%
Average	2.40	3.60	2.69	6.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NorwichSouthampton

Last 10#19Table position#131.00Points per game1.443Form pts · last 5102.4Goals for · last 52.02.4Goals against · last 51.055Attack rating4529Defence rating7138Form rating6338H2H rating6260Goals model4044Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 19:30 UTC

Norwich

4W 0D 6L · goals 18:23 · per match 1.8 for, 2.3 against

10 Oct	A	Swansea	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Bolton	3-4	L
17 Sep	A	Manchester City	0-5	L
12 Sep	A	Middlesbrough	3-4	L
9 Sep	H	Birmingham	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Sheffield Utd	3-1	W
1 Sep	A	Stoke City	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Burnley	4-1	W
25 Aug	A	Cardiff	2-1	W
22 Aug	A	Millwall	0-3	L

Southampton

5W 2D 3L · goals 21:14 · per match 2.1 for, 1.4 against

11 Oct	H	Portsmouth	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Wrexham	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Bristol City	4-1	W
8 Sep	H	Swansea	3-1	W
5 Sep	A	Lincoln	1-1	D
1 Sep	A	Birmingham	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Millwall	5-1	W
25 Aug	H	West Ham	1-4	L
22 Aug	H	Stoke City	3-1	W
16 Aug	A	Watford	1-2	L

Head to head

4Norwich wins

5draws

8Southampton wins

17 meetings · goals 17:29 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for Norwich

18 Mar 2026Championship	Championship	Southampton1-0Norwich
13 Dec 2025Championship	Championship	Norwich2-1Southampton
26 Aug 2025League Cup	League Cup	Norwich0-3Southampton
1 Jan 2024Championship	Championship	Norwich1-1Southampton
12 Aug 2023Championship	Championship	Southampton4-4Norwich
25 Feb 2022Premier League	Premier League	Southampton2-0Norwich
20 Nov 2021Premier League	Premier League	Norwich2-1Southampton
19 Jun 2020Premier League	Premier League	Norwich0-3Southampton
4 Dec 2019Premier League	Premier League	Southampton2-1Norwich
18 Jan 2017FA Cup	FA Cup	Southampton1-0Norwich

Championship tableChampionshipupdated 14 Oct 20:40 UTC

In the Championship table, Norwich sit 19th with 9 points from 9 games, while Southampton are 13th with 13 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Swansea	10	7	2	1	16:7	+9	23
2	Middlesbrough	10	6	3	1	20:14	+6	21
3	Birmingham	10	4	5	1	17:11	+6	17
4	West Brom	10	5	2	3	12:10	+2	17
5	West Ham	9	4	4	1	23:12	+11	16
6	Stoke City	10	5	1	4	17:16	+1	16
7	Blackburn	10	4	3	3	15:13	+2	15
8	QPR	9	3	5	1	11:8	+3	14
9	Wolves	9	4	2	3	16:14	+2	14
10	Millwall	10	4	2	4	16:16	0	14
11	Bristol City	10	4	2	4	12:14	-2	14
12	Charlton	10	3	5	2	10:13	-3	14
13	Southampton	9	5	2	2	20:10	+10	13
14	Bolton	10	4	1	5	15:18	-3	13
15	Sheffield Utd	9	3	3	3	12:11	+1	12
16	Wrexham	10	2	5	3	11:15	-4	11
17	Lincoln	9	3	2	4	7:11	-4	11
18	Cardiff	10	2	4	4	16:15	+1	10
19	Norwich	9	3	0	6	17:19	-2	9
20	Portsmouth	8	2	2	4	9:11	-2	8
21	Burnley	10	1	5	4	15:19	-4	8
22	Watford	10	2	2	6	8:19	-11	8
23	Derby	9	1	3	5	8:15	-7	6
24	Preston	10	1	1	8	8:20	-12	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.31X26%3.61233%2.80

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.27 → 2.40 +5.7%X3.74 → 3.60 -3.7%22.77 → 2.69 -2.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.61	2.41	3.6%
Betano	1.62	2.37	3.9%
Bet365	1.62	2.30	5.2%
Betfair	1.53	2.38	7.4%
BetVictor	1.55	2.25	9.0%
1xBet	1.50	2.28	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.50	2.28	10.5%
Best of all books	1.62	2.41	3.2%
Average	1.56	2.32	7.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.47	2.63	6.1%
Betano	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
1xBet	1.46	2.53	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.49	8.7%
BetVictor	1.44	2.55	8.7%
William Hill	1.44	2.50	9.4%
Best of all books	1.50	2.63	4.7%
Average	1.46	2.55	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Norwich 10%Draw 45%Southampton 45%

The statistical model rated Norwich at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Southampton at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.31 | 3.61 | 2.80, which imply roughly 27.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Norwich are 19th (9 pts, 17-19 goals), Southampton 13th (13 pts, 20-10).

Over their last five matches, Norwich averaged 2.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Southampton averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Southampton and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Norwich

4-2-3-1

Coach: P. Clement

Goalkeeper

32D. Grimshaw

Defence

3J. Stacey
15Ruairi McConville
33J. Córdoba
14B. Chrisene

Midfield

16Jacob Wright
7P. Mattsson
11A. Brooks
20A. Ben Slimane
29O. Schwartau

Attack

30M. Kvistgaarden

Substitutes (9)

40C. Ansen
17A. Crnac
6H. Darling
26S. Field
25P. Maghoma
12L. Mahovo
24J. Makama
49A. Musaba
13D. Yongwa

Southampton

4-2-3-1

Coach: Tonda Eckert

Goalkeeper

1Daniel Peretz

Defence

6Z. Abbott
5J. Stephens
13K. Schlotterbeck
3R. Manning

Midfield

4F. Downes
30J. Ward-Prowse
27K. Matsuki
10F. Azaz
23S. Edozie

Attack

11L. Dobbin

Substitutes (9)

14J. Bree
18T. Fellows
8C. Jander
9C. Larin
25G. Long
28D. Mubama
7Léo Scienza
34Welington
15N. Wood-Gordon

Match Statistics

NorwichSouthampton

1.15Expected Goals2.46

360Passes accurate392

8Shots insidebox11

4Shots outsidebox4

3Blocked Shots4

9Free Kicks15

4Shots on Goal4

3Goalkeeper Saves3

5Shots off Goal7

439Total passes469

12Total Shots15

2Yellow Cards2

5Corner Kicks3

0Offsides3

15Fouls9

0Red Cards0

49%Ball Possession51%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.40	3.60	2.69

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.44	1.53	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.76	2.00

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.46	2.55

1st half

1	X	2
2.82	2.38	3.12

2nd half

1	X	2
2.61	2.66	2.85

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.69	13.3	24.4
HT X	6.18	6.23	6.81
HT 2	23.7	13.2	4.22

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.82	17.9	1.99

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.6
1.5	1.15	4.94
2.5	1.56	2.32
3.5	2.38	1.56
4.5	4.25	1.20
5.5	7.87	1.06
6.5	14.9	1.02
7.5	24.8	1.01
8.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.70
1.75	1.17	4.12
2	1.20	3.71
2.25	1.36	2.74
2.75	1.66	2.11
3	1.88	1.88
3.25	2.12	1.66
3.75	2.66	1.42
4	3.28	1.29
4.25	3.64	1.21
4.75	5.10	1.10
5	7.10	1.04
5.25	7.50	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.73	1.40
-0.5	2.38	1.58
-0.25	2.06	1.72
0	1.76	2.02
+0.25	1.56	2.32
+0.5	1.46	2.69

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	13.0	1.01
-2.5	9.37	1.04
-2	8.40	1.01
-1.75	5.56	1.10
-1.5	4.35	1.16
-1.25	3.96	1.21
-1	3.61	1.25
+0.75	1.30	3.23
+1	1.18	4.41
+1.25	1.14	4.86
+1.5	1.12	5.20
+1.75	1.06	6.93
+2	1.02	8.80
+2.5	1.02	9.90

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.45	2.61
4	1.67	2.15
4.5	1.88	1.86
5	2.52	1.50
5.5	2.74	1.42

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.01	17.0
5.5	1.03	9.88
6.5	1.08	6.01
7.5	1.18	4.04
8.5	1.36	2.82
9.5	1.63	2.17
10.5	2.07	1.68
11.5	2.66	1.40
12.5	3.56	1.22
13.5	4.89	1.13
14.5	7.32	1.05
15.5	10.0	1.02
16.5	11.0	1.02

24 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.03	6.58
7	1.08	4.67
7.25	1.09	4.92
7.75	1.17	3.92
8	1.20	3.32
8.25	1.27	3.06
8.75	1.38	2.59
9	1.47	2.50
9.25	1.53	2.27
9.75	1.71	1.97
10	1.86	1.92
10.25	1.93	1.74
10.75	2.16	1.54
11	2.32	1.54
11.25	2.51	1.40
11.75	2.86	1.33
12	2.85	1.27
12.25	3.40	1.23
12.75	4.04	1.16
13	3.77	1.15
13.25	4.98	1.09
13.75	5.37	1.07
14	4.87	1.07
14.25	6.76	1.02